Marquee Week 12 Picks - YTD: 18-10-1 , +$211

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Coming with a play after all


PACKERS +4.5 @ Eagles (-120)
$30 to win $25

This is a half-unit bet, and merely one in effort improve my undesirable 1-3-1 spreads record (though I am now 10-5 on totals and 11-2 with teasers lol). At the end of the day, though, the Packers are (for them) at rock bottom and in an absolute must-win situation. Those who pay attention know they're not actually as bad as their record. The Eagles, meanwhile, really aren't that good and they should sink further to the bottom of that tough NFC East as we roll thru these next few weeks. The Pack wins outright here


1st off I just want to say I've got the over only .

I wanted to say that IMHO the Packers are as bad as its record.. The secondary is awful , been hurt and whoever this banged up unit plays against has been able to pass at will and hang 30+ . Colinsworth quoted a stat from Pff about QB ratings vs each member of GB secondary The numbers was incredible. QBs rating are over 110 vs each DB . QB's are having MVP stats vs them . They've surrendered more then 40pts its last 2 games vs Tennessee and Washington. To me I'd say something is wrong with GB. Are the due for a good week ? Without a doubt. I can't muster up enough faith in that Defense to pull the trigger.

best of luck tonite.
 

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1st off I just want to say I've got the over only .

I wanted to say that IMHO the Packers are as bad as its record.. The secondary is awful , been hurt and whoever this banged up unit plays against has been able to pass at will and hang 30+ . Colinsworth quoted a stat from Pff about QB ratings vs each member of GB secondary The numbers was incredible. QBs rating are over 110 vs each DB . QB's are having MVP stats vs them . They've surrendered more then 40pts its last 2 games vs Tennessee and Washington. To me I'd say something is wrong with GB. Are the due for a good week ? Without a doubt. I can't muster up enough faith in that Defense to pull the trigger.

best of luck tonite.

Agree with what you said about how bad the defense has been, but as you said, they're well overdue for, at least, a decent performance, and that's how they've fared thus far, with Aaron Rodgers having his usual stellar game. Those two items were exactly what I was banking on.

Just disagree with you saying they've been as bad as their record. Very easily could have won at least two of those losses (ATL, IND, off the top of my head), if not more, so when a sub-.500 team is constantly getting that close and in winnable games, I put them on a higher pedestal, especially when led by someone the caliber of Rodgers.

Hope they can hang on here
 

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PACKERS +4.5 @ Eagles (-120)
$30 to win $25

This is a half-unit bet, and merely one in effort improve my undesirable 1-3-1 spreads record (though I am now 10-5 on totals and 11-2 with teasers lol). At the end of the day, though, the Packers are (for them) at rock bottom and in an absolute must-win situation. Those who pay attention know they're not actually as bad as their record. The Eagles, meanwhile, really aren't that good and they should sink further to the bottom of that tough NFC East as we roll thru these next few weeks. The Pack wins outright here

Looks like I should've taken the +175 ML bet as well. Those who have been following all year know I rarely make a declaration like this on an underdog, so I'll just re-emphasize this a bit, as I really needed that spread win.

And that'll do it for Week 12. 5-0 , +$205 for the week.

And now a mind-boggling 23-10-1 for the season... That's 69.7% for the season. Who out there is doing any better than this? This is as good as it gets anywhere, I work too hard at this to expect anything less. If you haven't been tailing me, I highly suggest you do so over the next five weeks
 

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Loving this time of year, bowl season, NFL,
Rxers are hitting this time of year, especially primetime/playoffs/bowls/championships
I got 3 I'm tailing , ur in there
 

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Loving this time of year, bowl season, NFL,
Rxers are hitting this time of year, especially primetime/playoffs/bowls/championships
I got 3 I'm tailing , ur in there

Youre making a wise decision including me amongst those 3 :)

Wont be able to help you with the Bowls (except the Super one, of course heh), as I don't do college, but I expect to continue this dominance into the postseason. And I'm very much looking forward to it, which is the best state of mind a handicapper can be in when seeking to continue success. I feel like I'm seeing everything perfectly right now, including recognizing which games to lay off of and which games I don't have a string beat on... "Feel" is a very underrated tool in gambling and I would argue that until my death
 

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Youre making a wise decision including me amongst those 3 :)

Wont be able to help you with the Bowls (except the Super one, of course heh), as I don't do college, but I expect to continue this dominance into the postseason. And I'm very much looking forward to it, which is the best state of mind a handicapper can be in when seeking to continue success. I feel like I'm seeing everything perfectly right now, including recognizing which games to lay off of and which games I don't have a string beat on... "Feel" is a very underrated tool in gambling and I would argue that until my death

Going to take a huge -2000 bet like a couple years ago in the Super Bowl when you bet $200 to win $10 on "Broncos score in both halves" prop bet, and called it "FREE MONEY" ?


KC6wrh.jpg
 

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Going to take a huge -2000 bet like a couple years ago in the Super Bowl when you bet $200 to win $10 on "Broncos score in both halves" prop bet, and called it "FREE MONEY" ?

?
 

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