Making up for my MLB GOY loss today!

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Saturday, June 19, 2004

After dropping my big game a few days back, you all didn't think I'd tuck my tail between my legs and run and hide like a beaten pup did ya? Hope not! Today I got a 6 pack for you, followed by some trends I hope you all can use, followed by a NASCAR piece! Let's start with my 6/19 selections....

The strongest play on my card is the D'Backs...Tampa Bay's streak gets snapped tonight! Count on it!

MLB
Athletics +135
Yankees -140
Giants +190
Expos +105
Braves -107
Diamondbacks -110

All plays rated at 5 units

Some trends for ya....

7:15 PM ET Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals

• Under is 4-0 in Carlson's last four BHP.
• Reds are 0-3 in Acevedo's last three starts.
• Over is 7-3 in CIN last 10 overall.
• STL is 3-1 in Williams' last four starts.
• Cards are 6-1 in their last seven overall.
• STL is 7-2 in the last nine meetings.

Cincinnati
Reds are third last in the league in hits at 8.5 per game.
Reds are second in the league in free passes at 4.3 per game.
Reds are second worst in K's per game with 7.9.
Reds are third last in the league in ringing up opponents with 5.8 per game.

St Louis
Cardinals are the highest scoring team in the league at 5.3 runs per game.
Cardinals give up the fewest free passes in the league allowing 2.8 per game.
Cardinals strike out the second least opponents in the league with 5.7 per game.

1:05 PM ET Oakland Athletics at Chicago Cubs

• Over is 7-2 in Drake's last nine BHP.
• OAK is 8-2 in Mulder's last 10 starts.
• A's are 7-3 in their last 10 overall.
• CHC are 6-3 in Prior's last nine starts.
• Cubs are 6-1 in their last seven overall.
• Under is 12-5 when the wind is 10-20 MPH.

Oakland
Athletics have the second stingiest defence in the league at 4.5 runs per game.

Chicago Cubs
Cubs lead the league in hits with 9.6 per game.
Cubs have the second stingiest defence in the league at 4.0 runs per game.
Cubs are second best in the league in giving up hits, allowing 8.3 per game.
Cubs strike out the second most opponents in the league with 8.1 per game.

3:05 PM ET Boston Red Sox at San Francisco Giants

• Road team is 3-10 in Nauert's last 13 BHP.
• BOS is 7-3 in Martinez' last 10 starts.
• BOS is 8-3 in Game 2 of a series after a win.
• Giants are 4-1 in their last five overall.
• SF is 9-1 in their last 10 at home.
• Over is 3-0 in SF last three overall.

Boston
Red Sox are second in the league in free passes at 4.4 per game.
Red Sox strike out more than any team in the league with 7.6 per game.
Red Sox are second best in the league in giving up hits, allowing 8.7 per game.
Red Sox are the third best in base on balls allowed, allowing 3.1 per game.

San Francisco
Giants lead the league in walks with 4.5 per game.
Giants are third best in the league in times rung up with 5.5 per game.
Giants are second worst in the league in giving up hits, allowing 9.8 per game.

3:05 PM ET New York Yankees at Los Angeles Dodgers

• Road team is 3-1 in Iassogna's last four BHP.
• Yanks are 18-5 in their last 23 overall.
• NYY are 8-3 in their last 11 on the road.
• LA is 1-6 in Nomo's last seven starts.
• Dodgers are 6-2 in their last eight overall.
• Under is 7-3 in LA last 10 overall.

NY Yankees
Yankees are third highest scoring team in the league at 5.5 runs per game.
Yankees are third last in the league in hits at 9.0 per game.
Yankees lead the league in walks with 4.6 per game.
Yankees give up the fewest free passes in the league allowing 2.5 per game.

Los Angeles
Dodgers are the third lowest scoring team in the league at 4.4 runs per game.
Dodgers have the second best hits stat in the league at 9.6 per game.
Dodgers have the third-lowest base on balls in the league at 2.8 per game.
Dodgers are the toughest team to score on in the league, allowing just 3.9 runs per game.
Dodgers have the best hits allowed in the league, allowing 8.2 per game.

6:05 PM ET Texas Rangers at Florida Marlins

• Road team is 6-0 in O'Nora's last six BHP.
• TEX is 1-4 in their last five overall.
• Under is 22-9 in TEX last 31 on the road.
• FLO is 3-1 in Willis' last four starts.
• FLO is 2-5 in their last seven at home.
• Over has played in the last three meetings.

Texas
Rangers have the third-lowest base on balls in the league at 2.9 per game.

Florida
Marlins allow the third least hits in the league at 8.4 per game.

7:05 PM ET Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers

• Over is 5-1-2 in Poncino's last eight BHP.
• Under is 8-2 in Radke's last 10 starts.
• MIN is 7-3 in their last 10 overall.
• Under is 3-0-1 in Obermueller's last four starts.
• MIL is 7-3 in their last 10 overall.
• Under is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings.

Minnesota
Twins have the worst hits allowed in the league, allowing 10.2 per game.
Twins are second best in walks allowed in the league at 3.0 per game.
Twins strike out the second most opponents in the league with 6.8 per game.

Milwaukee
Brewers strike out more than any team in the league with 8.1 per game.

7:05 PM ET Chicago White Sox at Montreal Expos

• Under has played in Foster's last three BHP.
• CWS is 3-6 in their last nine on the road.
• Over is 8-2 in the White Sox last 10 overall.
• MON is 1-6 in Armas' last seven starts.
• Expos are 2-10 in their last 12 overall.
• MON is 5-11 in Game 2 of a series after a loss.

Chi White Sox
White Sox are the highest scoring team in the league at 5.6 runs per game.
White Sox have allowed the third fewest points in the league at 4.6 runs per game.
White Sox are third last in the league in ringing up opponents with 5.8 per game.

Montreal
Expos are lowest scoring team in the league at 3.0 runs per game.
Expos trail the league in hits with 7.8 per game.
Expos are second worst in the league in free passes at 2.5 per game.
Expos are second best in K's per game with 5.4.

7:05 PM ET Cleveland Indians at Atlanta Braves

• Over is 7-3 in Bucknor's last 10 BHP.
• CLE is 3-1 in Westbrook's last four starts.
• Indians are 7-3 in their last 10 overall.
• ATL is 3-7 in Byrd's last 10 starts.
• ATL is 2-7 in their last nine overall.
• ATL is 7-2 in Game 2 of a series after a loss.

Cleveland
Indians are second highest scoring team in the league at 5.5 runs per game.
Indians have the second best hits stat in the league at 9.8 per game.
Indians have the third-most base on balls in the league at 4.1 per game.
Indians have allowed the third most points in the league at 5.4 runs per game.
Indians allow the third most hits in the league at 9.9 per game.
Indians are the third worst in base on balls allowed, allowing 3.8 per game.

7:05 PM ET Kansas City Royals at Philadelphia Phillies

• Under is 9-4 in Winters' last 13 BHP.
• Under is 4-0-1 in Greinke's last five starts.
• KC is 10-21 in their last 31 on the road.
• PHI is 9-1 in Milton's last 10 overall.
• PHI is 8-3 in Game 2 of a series after a loss.
• Over is 12-4 when the wind is between 10-20 MPH.

Kansas City
Royals have the second worst hits stat in the league at 9.0 per game.
Royals are second worst in the league in free passes at 2.7 per game.
Royals are third best in the league in times rung up with 5.8 per game.
Royals have the second weakest defence in the league at 5.4 runs per game.
Royals are second worst in the league in giving up hits, allowing 10.1 per game.
Royals trail the league in K's with 4.9 per game.

Philadelphia
Phillies are third highest scoring team in the league at 5.1 runs per game.
Phillies have the third-most base on balls in the league at 4.0 per game.
Phillies are second best in walks allowed in the league at 3.0 per game.

7:05 PM ET Anaheim Angels at Houston Astros

• Road team is 2-7 in Kelley's last nine BHP.
• ANA is 3-7 in Ortiz' last 10 starts.
• ANA is 1-5 in their last six overall.
• HOU is 7-1 in Clemen's last eight vs ANA.
• HOU is 2-6 in their last eight overall.
• HOU is 6-3 in Game 2 of a series after a win.

Anaheim
Angels trail the league in walks with 2.5 per game.
Angels lead the league in K's with 7.0 per game.

Houston
Astros lead the league in K's with 8.3 per game.

7:05 PM ET Seattle Mariners at Pittsburgh Pirates

• Over is 6-2 in Emmel's last eight BHP.
• SEA is 1-9 in Pineiro's last 10 starts.
• Under is 7-3 in SEA last 10 overall.
• PIT is 2-8 in their last 10 overall.
• Under is 6-1 in PIT last seven at home.
• PIT is 5-15 in Game 2 of a series.

Seattle
Mariners are lowest scoring team in the league at 4.0 runs per game.
Mariners are the toughest team to score on in the league, allowing just 4.5 runs per game.
Mariners allow the third least hits in the league at 9.0 per game.
Mariners are third in the league in ringing up opponents with 6.8 per game.

Pittsburgh
Pirates are third in the league in hits at 9.6 per game.
Pirates trail the league in walks with 2.4 per game.
Pirates have allowed the third most points in the league at 5.3 runs per game.
Pirates allow the third most hits in the league at 9.6 per game.
Pirates are the third worst in base on balls allowed, allowing 3.8 per game.
Pirates are third in the league in ringing up opponents with 7.1 per game.

7:10 PM ET Detroit Tigers at New York Mets

• Over is 4-1-1 in Randazzo's last six BHP.
• DET is 3-7 in Johnson's last 10 starts.
• Under has played in DET last three overall.
• Under is 8-1-1 in Leiter's last 10 overall.
• Under is 7-3 in the Mets last 10 overall.
• NYM are 3-18 in Game 2 of a series.

Detroit
Tigers lead the league in hits with 9.8 per game.
Tigers are second worst in K's per game with 6.9.

NY Mets
Mets have the second worst hits stat in the league at 8.5 per game.
Mets have allowed the third fewest points in the league at 4.1 runs per game.
Mets trail the league in K's with 5.5 per game.

8:05 PM ET Baltimore Orioles at Colorado Rockies

• Under is 4-1-1 in Kulpa's last six BHP.
• Over is 9-1 in DuBose's last 10 overall.
• BAL is 2-8 in their last 10 overall.
• COL is 3-7 in Fassero's last 10 starts.
• Rockies are 3-7 in their last 10 overall.
• Under is 4-1 in COL last five overall.

Baltimore
Orioles are third in the league in hits at 9.8 per game.
Orioles are second best in K's per game with 5.4.
Orioles are the easiest team to score on in the league, allowing just 5.9 runs per game.
Orioles give up the most free passes in the league allowing 4.7 per game.

Colorado
Rockies are second highest scoring team in the league at 5.2 runs per game.
Rockies are third worst in the league in times rung up with 7.4 per game.
Rockies are the easiest team to score on in the league, allowing just 6.4 runs per game.
Rockies have the worst hits allowed in the league, allowing 10.2 per game.
Rockies give up the most free passes in the league allowing 4.6 per game.

10:05 PM ET Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Arizona Diamondbacks

• Road team is 4-9 in DeMuth's last 13 BHP.
• TB is 2-8 in Brazelton's last 10 starts.
• TB is 9-1 in their last 10 overall.
• ARI is 1-3 in their last four overall.
• ARI is 3-9 in Game 2 of a series after a loss.
• Over is 11-4 when the wind is 0-10 MPH.

Tampa Bay
Devil Rays trail the league in hits with 8.6 per game.
Devil Rays strike out less than any team in the league with 5.3 per game.
Devil Rays have the best hits allowed in the league, allowing 8.7 per game.
Devil Rays are second worst in walks allowed in the league at 4.1 per game.
Devil Rays strike out the second least opponents in the league with 5.6 per game.

Arizona
Diamondbacks have the second weakest defence in the league at 5.6 runs per game.
Diamondbacks are second worst in walks allowed in the league at 4.3 per game.

10:05 PM ET Toronto Blue Jays at San Diego Padres

• Road team is 4-10 in Meals' last 14 BHP.
• TOR is 7-3 in Towers' last 10 starts.
• TOR is 2-6 in their last eight overall.
• SD is 1-9 in Tankersley's last 10 BHP.
• Padres are 2-8 in their last 10 overall.
• SD is 9-3 in Game 2 of a series after a loss.

Toronto
Blue Jays are the third lowest scoring team in the league at 4.5 runs per game.
Blue Jays are third worst in the league in times rung up with 6.7 per game.

San Diego
Padres strike out less than any team in the league with 5.3 per game.
Padres are the third best in base on balls allowed, allowing 3.0 per game.

Gordan will be tough to beat in Michigan!

Jeff Gordan has his DuPont Chevy on the pole and should be one of the several cars capable of dominating this race. "There's not too many tracks we visit that are like Michigan – it's unique," said Gordon, a 66-time winner in NASCAR's premier series. "California Speedway is not the same but it's the closest, and we'll use a lot of our notes from that track here this weekend."

In 22 career starts at the two-mile Michigan track, Gordon has two victories, 14 top-fives, 16 top-10's and an 8.0 average finish. In 11 events held here during June, Gordon has failed to complete only one lap (2,193 of 2,194) and has an average finish of 5.0. In eight starts at California, he has completed all but one lap and has a 5.9 average finish. In addition to using the same notes from California, Gordon will also race the same chassis this weekend. Car No. 2479 has visited Victory Lane twice (California in 2004 and Atlanta in 2003) and has carried Gordon to five top-five finishes in seven starts. "This is a great race car, one that seems to work well on mile-and-a-half tracks and two-mile tracks," Gordon said.

This week I'm going with Gordan! He'll be one of the favorites, but you still get pretty fair odds on picking the winner. Another driver to watch is Tony Stewart. He's starting about mid-pack but with all the passing lanes, staying out of trouble and making his way to the front should be no prob. If you do the driver vs driver matchup, use Gordan and Stewart over who ever your book has them matched up against.

GL To those who follow!
-Chance
 

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Good stuff!

Where'd you found this so early Saturday AM????
toast.gif
 

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regarding the cubs game, does it matter what direction the wind is blowing?
 

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never bet that a hot team is due to lose. too many meaningless stats here.
 

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For every statistic that you show in favor of your selection, there is another statistic that will go against your selection.

Chalk
 

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After quickly reading some of those stats I found out that the Yanks, White Sox and Cardinals are all leading the league in runs scored...I feel dumber after reading that.
 

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