Before I get too my point I am going to give myself a pat on the back too support my statement here. I feel I am very good at making lines and predicitng line moves, that is all I have done for the past 6 months since I have been here, every single day I do this. I would like to think this has become my strength as bettor. I have gotten very good at this. Most of my plays are bet at the open and very very rarely am I way off on my lines or the line goes the wrong way. I have worked my ass off developing this and I am very confident in the process I use. I feel this is pretty much the complete reason for my success as a gambler. So this is not a prediction of the game but a prediction of the line, though they both go hand in hand. With all that said I have to disgaree you FH.
Florida would be a minimum 17 point favorite in this game. The line would be set obviously too get even money on both sides (as I think that is what the ultimate goal would be).
This line is not a diss of Utah as you know I have always been a huge supporter of them and you know my stance on how unfair I think this current setup is but with that said I feel strongly that Florida -17.5 is what the line would be, maybe close to 20.
I couldnt bet enough if Florida was less then 14, no way. The books would be completely swamped with Florida money and no way they put up less then 2 td's. I disagree 100%. I feel very confident Florida -17.5 is about right.