Mach's Monday CBB (20-9 YTD)

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20-9 YTD

5 Star: 5-1
4 Star: 4-1
3 Star: 3-5
2 Star: 7-2
1 Star: 1-0

I have been hitting the 4 and 5 stars at a good rate to start the season. Keep an eye out for them.
 

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Mach,

What % of your bankroll is a 1,2,3,4, and 5 * play? Been following you, Thanks.
Bud

I started with a 20K Bankroll.

5* is 10%
4* is 8%
3* is 4%
2* is 2%
1* is 1%

I hope that helps you, sir.
 

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Hi.

I see the NC Charlotte line is now at -11.5. We got it at -10.5 late last night. If you are wondering what to do in this case, I would take it at -11.5 for less than what you would have at -10.5. If you are scared of the jump, just stay off. There is other value on the board.
 

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I also just saw that Oregon total is now all the way down to 147.5 (we posted it and got it when it was 149) and the E. Washington total is at 139.5 (we posted it and got it at 138.5). If you are not sure what to do because of these line moves, don't hesitate to ask in this thread.
 

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I just took a glance at Pinnacles numbers at 11:35 Eastern Time.

Orgeon total now all the way down to 146 (when we posted it was 149)
E. Washington total is now 140.5 (when we posted it was 138.5)
Charlotte side is -11.5 -111 (when we posted it was -10.5 -105)

If you haven't placed a bet on these plays yet and all you can get now are these numbers and you dont know what to do, don't hesitate to ask here.
 

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Mach,

That does help. Should we still bet these at their current #'s?
Bud
 

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MACH,

i inquired about the SMU/Montana St in PITBULL's thread already. if youve capped this game out, i would welcome your input as well. thanks again for the no nonsense value you provide this forum and its members. best of luck tonight.

stoner :suomi:
 

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Budworth22 said:
That does help. Should we still bet these at their current #'s?
Bud
I would still bet the NC Charlotte game. I capped it as a 15-18 point win.
I would bet the Oregon under. I capped it between 137 - 142 total points.
E. Washington is a tough call. I capped it between 143 -147 total points.

I hope this helps a bit.
 

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STONER said:
MACH,

i inquired about the SMU/Montana St in PITBULL's thread already. if youve capped this game out, i would welcome your input as well. thanks again for the no nonsense value you provide this forum and its members. best of luck tonight.

stoner :suomi:
I could find no real advantage with its current line/total. Sorry, sir.
 

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Troy St. under 128 *

I was not going to play the under at the opning line of 125.6 or 126. But now its 128 and I feel it warrants a 1* play.
 

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Origin of a "Mach Play"...

Step 1. Research the game.

Step 2. Cap the game; predict the outcome.

Step 3. Look at the official lines. (Usually from Pinnacle...but I shop too)

Step 4. Decide whether it should be a "Mach Play".

Step 4. (a) If my predicted outcome (Step 2) is at least 5 points in my favor on a total or 4 points in my favor on a side, it becomes a "Mach Play (1,2 or 3*)"

Step 4. (b) If my predicted outcome (Step 2) is at least 8.5 points in my favor on a total or 7.5 points in my favor on a side it becomes a 4* play.

Step 4. (c) If my predicted outcome (Step 2) is at least 12.5 points in my favor on a total or 10 points in my favor on a side it becomes a 5* play.

Step 4. (d) 2nd half plays depend on the feeling I got from the 1st half.

(I have very few 1 star plays because 1 star plays are the games I cap right at about the actual line. They are very close and may only become plays on a hunch or a line move.)
 

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For those interested....I will be watching the Texas game on ESPN and I may come back with a 2nd half play.
 

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MACH,

i know this is the wrong forum, but felt compelled to ask if you are going to have a play for MNF today? the college hoops forum is the most active during the day this time of year and felt it appropriate to ask you here. also, do you cap the NBA? thanks.

and here is hoping you are :dancefool and the end of the night tonight!

stoner
 

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