LSU / Oregon State

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Well I don't have to deal with the modding HERE now. I am one very busy dude. I've been hacking TV for a couple years and a hacking site out there sucked me right in like Johnny with a stiff one and a $50 bill at the bar over at Sam's Town.

All kidding aside, some of you that remember me may know I'm friends with Dave Cokin and we have been conversing for a few years so here's a little bit I wrote to him just today about the LSU/Or.St. game on Saturday.

Hope you like it and as always.... GOOD LUCK!

OK Dave... you got a bit from me on the Pac-10 a while ago. I was very high on the Beavers in my Pac-10 report mostly because they are returning an experienced offense with QB Derek Anderson now a senior and "hopefully" ready for prime time. It took USC's Carson Palmer 3 years to come into his own and I'm counting on Anderson much for the same reasons. If he can add a little more accuracy, better judgment and field generalship to his mobility and that cannon of an arm he posesses, he will be a QB to reckon with. I believe he still owns most of Oregons High School QB records when he played for Scappoose.

The Beaver secondary at the corners was their weak spot last year, mostly due to inexperience, certainly not lack of speed. Their LBs can also do sub 4.4 40s and so can their DE's. Yes they are a fast bunch. Hopefully a year of seasoning has improved them. It should. This game to them is EXTREMELY important to Oregon State, more than LSU's season opener is to them vs. a "so called" 2nd rate Pac-10 team they probably think they should walk right over. The Beavers have a very positive attitude about their chances this year, having perhaps the best schedule in critical home field conference games since I can remember. I see this year as a peak year for their football program. Their defensive secondary remains the big question but their offense will be volitile and explosive. They represent the fruits of ex-coach Dennis Erickson's recent recruiting efforts and most are now seniors.

To make a long story short, I think 18 points is too many for LSU to spot Oregon State. Even if the Tigers prove to be a good team again this year, it's not unusual to sputter a bit at the start of the season. LSU is playing a highly spirited opponent in their opener, a setup similar to the USC Trojans last week, who's first game was somewhat less than dominating against the Hokies. As last season's "other" #1 team, LSU, may win this game but I can't see 3 TDs separating them, probably not even 2. It could even be worse than that still so a small play on the moneyline just might be a prayer that gets answered (but keep it small.) Oregon State agreed to play this game with LSU only on the condition that it would be nationally televised. So just what do they want to showcase on national TV -- a 3 TD embarassment? I don't think that's what they have in mind. But they got their TV wish so I'll take some of that action. I'm in for the flop, the turn and the river too. I'll take the points and likely the whole pot against the squares on the LSU side. They probably think I'm bluffing.

Dave's private picks for Saturday:

> 146 Rutgers
> 164 Vanderbilt
> 178 Maryland
 

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Thanks for the information Conan. I was already betting this game but was thinking of how nice it would be to see some of your old west coast game write-ups to help confirm my decision. I'm already on the money line as well. If the defense is there I have a shot.
 

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First of all, I agree with you in that OSU is the play here. However, allow me to point out a few developments from this week that could spoil our trip to the cashier.

1. BECAUSE of USC's (the media's champion) performance against Va. Tech, the Tigers got an example of what happens when you come out flat and underestimate a quality opponent. Coach Saban has voiced this at every prectice this week.

2. That dumbass Derick Anderson was asked how he would handle the environment on Saturday night, and he said "well, it's a 100 yard field with goal posts at each end....right". TRUST me, this idiot has NO clue how tough that heat will be or how loud the fans will be for the home opener following a National Championship season. His quote will surely be on the bulletin board, and I doubt he has the same comment after the game.

I also think the UNDER 48 will be a very nice play.
 

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Hey Conan, Just decided to pop in and low and behold, there be da man. I was wondering when you could scrape up bail money and show up somewhere. I'll be in Vegas for the DeLaHoya/Hopkins fight. You??

I'm with ya in that 18-ish is too many points on this game. I love the hairy Beavers in this spot. Luck.....and good "seeing" you.
 

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Conan, It's good hearing from you. You aught to drop by more often now that football is back - it al;ways helps to have input from a knowledgable 'capper.

Good luck!
 

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conan,
good to see you back. we have had our differences in the past but when it comes down to it we both take pride in knowing the pac ten conf and both do rather well through out the season. good luck. i agree this is to many points.
 

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Conan,

Thanks for the info and I sure missed the banter with ya. Hopefully we'll get those Pac10 flames going. As for me, I'm off this game as I just don't trust QB Anderson. He's burned my wallet too many times.

But it should be a good game as LSU QB situation a bit shaky for the first few games despite Randall having experience. From what I was told he's been out played by a freshman, but Saban hate's playing freshmen. Randall was not impresive when he started 2 yrs ago.

GL,

WinOne!!
 

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conan

good to see you buddy

hope everything has been going well

good luck

panther
 

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Oh wow I haven't seen you around in ages. I'm going to drop you an email later today.

GL this season!
 

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Hey what a reception! Wow.

Thanks for the props all you guys. I'm really glad to see you all too. Geez, if this was a sportsbar I'd happily accept them props in beer.
icon_smile.gif


I just hope I can do my little part in all of this well and the light in my head keeps poppin on here and there. That's my game this time around. I'll just take it a la carte and eat light. I don't want to be the expert here -- a few opportunities and a little luck is all I want. It's not about pride or reputation. I'd rather be rich than famous any day, especially in this game.

To my good buds, you know who you are and we'll be doin some catchin up and hopefully share some good sense with each other. And to all of you, I really appreciate the warm welcome. I really do.


PS.. Prophet, you know I showed up just to fade you.
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(just kiddin buddy -- I'd hate to do all the hard work you put into this)

PPS... anyone here know how to kick a PAT?
 

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