Looks too good. The easy reason would be short fields created by two defenses that pound turnovers and expose all 4 quarterbacks playing who are all basically either inexperienced or terrible.
I also think 37 is a pretty low freaking number. I also expect it to go under, but how much lower can they really set the number? You can't put out a realistic number like 26 or so which is where I think this comes in at.. a 15-10 type game.