Louisville might win, but it won't have to do with freshman being rattled.
I mean, Monk committed to UK before his senior season in Arkansas (turning down Arkansas). That kid went through hell in every opponents gym. These kids have already shown they aren't really rattled on big stages - and Briscoe, Fox and Monk have already mentioned in interviews that they love road games even more.
It will come down to rebounding and officials. UK struggles on the boards and that is a Uof Louisville.
The big key will be the officials. There are two officials that hate Calipari and it is Jamie Luckie and Roger Ayers. I won't do the research for you, but take a look at Calipari's record with those two officials (and technicals given), you will quickly realize the importance of those two doing tonights game. If Bam gets in foul trouble early, it could lean towards Louisville.
I am a UK fan, but will back the other team when I feel like it will win me money - I am going to stay away from this game, but I would lean Kentucky. Only thing keeping me away is Luckie and Ayers (just from previous experiences)
Louisville will play matchup zone and so far, UK has looked VERY good against zones (better than previous years).