Tips and Trends
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners [NESN | 4:40 PM ET]
Red Sox: Clay Buchholz is currently on a three-game slide and hasn't recorded a win since May 2. In his last four outings, Buchholz has been lit up for 31 hits and an alarming 24 runs in just 18 innings. Buchholz has been a disaster away from home, going 0-4 with an 8.49 ERA in six road starts this season. As expected, the OVER has been a wise play with Buchholz on the mound. The OVER is 8-2 in his last 10 starts, including cashing in five straight.
Red Sox are 4-10 in their last 14 road games.
Red Sox are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings at Seattle.
Key Injuries - SS Julio Lugo (.268; quad) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: 3
Mariners (-140, O/U 8.5): Felix Hernandez has been on the mark in his last seven starts, allowing three runs or less six times over that stretch. During that seven-game span, the Mariners are 6-1. King Felix has also had his fair share of success against the Red Sox over his career, going 3-1 with a solid 3.06 ERA in five career starts versus Boston. In his last 10 starts Hernandez has given up a total of 21 runs, while striking out 60 batters.
Mariners are 3-10 in their last 13 games overall.
The UNDER is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Key Injuries - NONE
PROJECTED SCORE: 5
Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles [7:05 PM ET]
Blue Jays: A.J. Burnett is 1-1 in his last two starts but he's pitched remarkable both times out. In a 4-1 victory against the Yankees and a tough 2-1 loss to the Rays, Burnett allowed just three runs, while striking 14 in 15.1 innings of work. Burnett has a stellar 6-1 career record against Toronto but his ERA is an unimpressive 5.26. Burnett was lit up his last time out against the Birds, giving up seven runs over five innings. Burnett's last two starts against the Orioles have gone way OVER the total.
Blue Jays are 5-14 in their last 19 road games.
The OVER is 14-2 in the last 16 meetings.
Key Injuries - OF Vernon Wells (.287; leg) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: 5 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)
Orioles (-120, O/U 8): Jeremy Guthrie hasn't recorded a loss since June 12. In six starts since, Guthrie has allowed just 16 runs in 40.1 innings of work. Guthrie is only 1-0 in five career starts versus Toronto but he does possess a stellar 2.65 ERA. In his outing against the Jays on July 10, Guthrie took a no-decision but pitched well, giving up only two runs over seven innings. Games with Guthrie on the mound tend to be high scoring. The OVER is 7-3 in his last 10 starts.
Orioles are 4-10 in their last 14 games overall.
The OVER is 21-7-1 in Baltimore's last 29 games overall.
Key Injuries - 2B Alex Cintron (.275; hamstring) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: 6
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets [ESPN | 7:10 PM ET]
Phillies: Phillies fans close your eyes because Brett Myers is taking the mound tonight. Myers is 1-7 with two no-decisions in his last 10 and Philly is just 1-9 over that span. Myers has been blasted in his last four starts, giving up a whopping 20 runs in 21 innings of work. Myers has been painfully bad on the road this season going winless (0-8) with an 8.18 ERA in nine starts. The OVER is 4-2 in Myers' last six starts.
Phillies are 10-2 in their last 12 games as an underdog.
Phillies are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings at New York.
Key Injuries - NONE
PROJECTED SCORE: 3
Mets (-140, O/U 9): John Maine is winless in his last four outings, losing twice and receiving two no-decisions. Over those four games, Maine has allowed 16 runs in just 19 innings pitched. On the bright side, Maine is a perfect 4-0 with a 2.36 ERA in his career against the Phillies and he's 4-1 at Shea Stadium this season. In Maine's last 10 starts, the OVER is 7-3.
Mets are 11-3 in their last 14 games overall.
The UNDER is 8-2 in New York's last 10 home games.
Key Injuries - Closer Billy Wagner (24 saves; shoulder) is questionable.
PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (Side Play of the Day)
Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals [8:15 PM ET]
Brewers (-140, O/U 8.5): C.C. Sabathia has been an absolute beast for the Brewers since coming over from Cleveland. Sabathia has won all three of his starts, pitched two complete games, struck out 24 and allowed just six runs. For a Brewers team with a questionable bullpen, Sabathia is just what the doctor ordered. As good as he's pitched for the Brew Crew, ironically two of the three games he's started have gone OVER the total.
Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 games overall.
The OVER is 8-3 in Milwaukee's last 11 games overall.
Key Injuries - NONE
PROJECTED SCORE: 5
Cardinals: Braden Looper hasn't pitched well in his last two starts, allowing 10 runs in nine innings on the mound. He hasn't been great at home, going just 4-4 with a 4.95 ERA in 11 starts. Looper has a losing record versus the Brewers (4-5) and was hit hard the last time he took the mound against them, giving up seven hits and four runs in just six innings. After cashing two easy UNDERs, Looper's last outing went well OVER the posted total.
Cardinals are 11-5 in their last 16 Wednesday games.
Cardinals are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings.
Key Injuries - OF Brian Barton (.246; hand) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: 4
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners [NESN | 4:40 PM ET]
Red Sox: Clay Buchholz is currently on a three-game slide and hasn't recorded a win since May 2. In his last four outings, Buchholz has been lit up for 31 hits and an alarming 24 runs in just 18 innings. Buchholz has been a disaster away from home, going 0-4 with an 8.49 ERA in six road starts this season. As expected, the OVER has been a wise play with Buchholz on the mound. The OVER is 8-2 in his last 10 starts, including cashing in five straight.
Red Sox are 4-10 in their last 14 road games.
Red Sox are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings at Seattle.
Key Injuries - SS Julio Lugo (.268; quad) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: 3
Mariners (-140, O/U 8.5): Felix Hernandez has been on the mark in his last seven starts, allowing three runs or less six times over that stretch. During that seven-game span, the Mariners are 6-1. King Felix has also had his fair share of success against the Red Sox over his career, going 3-1 with a solid 3.06 ERA in five career starts versus Boston. In his last 10 starts Hernandez has given up a total of 21 runs, while striking out 60 batters.
Mariners are 3-10 in their last 13 games overall.
The UNDER is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Key Injuries - NONE
PROJECTED SCORE: 5
Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles [7:05 PM ET]
Blue Jays: A.J. Burnett is 1-1 in his last two starts but he's pitched remarkable both times out. In a 4-1 victory against the Yankees and a tough 2-1 loss to the Rays, Burnett allowed just three runs, while striking 14 in 15.1 innings of work. Burnett has a stellar 6-1 career record against Toronto but his ERA is an unimpressive 5.26. Burnett was lit up his last time out against the Birds, giving up seven runs over five innings. Burnett's last two starts against the Orioles have gone way OVER the total.
Blue Jays are 5-14 in their last 19 road games.
The OVER is 14-2 in the last 16 meetings.
Key Injuries - OF Vernon Wells (.287; leg) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: 5 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)
Orioles (-120, O/U 8): Jeremy Guthrie hasn't recorded a loss since June 12. In six starts since, Guthrie has allowed just 16 runs in 40.1 innings of work. Guthrie is only 1-0 in five career starts versus Toronto but he does possess a stellar 2.65 ERA. In his outing against the Jays on July 10, Guthrie took a no-decision but pitched well, giving up only two runs over seven innings. Games with Guthrie on the mound tend to be high scoring. The OVER is 7-3 in his last 10 starts.
Orioles are 4-10 in their last 14 games overall.
The OVER is 21-7-1 in Baltimore's last 29 games overall.
Key Injuries - 2B Alex Cintron (.275; hamstring) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: 6
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets [ESPN | 7:10 PM ET]
Phillies: Phillies fans close your eyes because Brett Myers is taking the mound tonight. Myers is 1-7 with two no-decisions in his last 10 and Philly is just 1-9 over that span. Myers has been blasted in his last four starts, giving up a whopping 20 runs in 21 innings of work. Myers has been painfully bad on the road this season going winless (0-8) with an 8.18 ERA in nine starts. The OVER is 4-2 in Myers' last six starts.
Phillies are 10-2 in their last 12 games as an underdog.
Phillies are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings at New York.
Key Injuries - NONE
PROJECTED SCORE: 3
Mets (-140, O/U 9): John Maine is winless in his last four outings, losing twice and receiving two no-decisions. Over those four games, Maine has allowed 16 runs in just 19 innings pitched. On the bright side, Maine is a perfect 4-0 with a 2.36 ERA in his career against the Phillies and he's 4-1 at Shea Stadium this season. In Maine's last 10 starts, the OVER is 7-3.
Mets are 11-3 in their last 14 games overall.
The UNDER is 8-2 in New York's last 10 home games.
Key Injuries - Closer Billy Wagner (24 saves; shoulder) is questionable.
PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (Side Play of the Day)
Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals [8:15 PM ET]
Brewers (-140, O/U 8.5): C.C. Sabathia has been an absolute beast for the Brewers since coming over from Cleveland. Sabathia has won all three of his starts, pitched two complete games, struck out 24 and allowed just six runs. For a Brewers team with a questionable bullpen, Sabathia is just what the doctor ordered. As good as he's pitched for the Brew Crew, ironically two of the three games he's started have gone OVER the total.
Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 games overall.
The OVER is 8-3 in Milwaukee's last 11 games overall.
Key Injuries - NONE
PROJECTED SCORE: 5
Cardinals: Braden Looper hasn't pitched well in his last two starts, allowing 10 runs in nine innings on the mound. He hasn't been great at home, going just 4-4 with a 4.95 ERA in 11 starts. Looper has a losing record versus the Brewers (4-5) and was hit hard the last time he took the mound against them, giving up seven hits and four runs in just six innings. After cashing two easy UNDERs, Looper's last outing went well OVER the posted total.
Cardinals are 11-5 in their last 16 Wednesday games.
Cardinals are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings.
Key Injuries - OF Brian Barton (.246; hand) is on the 15-day DL.
PROJECTED SCORE: 4
