Hate going against the Pats but think if I can get something good I will do it. Bills tend to do better in their first meeting. This game is their whole season. For them to have a chance they need to win or atleast give it all they got and hopefullty that will translate into a cover. A loss here makes them 6-6......they play the Pats again on the road which is almost a definite loss....bringing their record to 6-7. Even winning the other three will probably leave them out. So....looking for a home dog situation or something worth while for the Bills. Otherwise can't see playing against the Pats. Not really interested in trends...just systems if anyone has something specific to a situation either team is in. Will be looking at mine if I can find something
I would be more than happy to respond with my projected formulated line for this game when I have them all completed, either tonight or tomorrow morning, if you are interested.
The Pats & Brady broke every trend & system under the sun last year through out the playoffs, & they did the same vs Atlanta on SNF this year......try finding another game to bet......good luck either way!
ran across this while researching this game a little while ago.......not sure I would trust it that much but it is something...here it is....... since 2014 if NE is off a win and they play in an open stadium with artificial turf as a favorite of 7 to 9- points they are 5/0 SU and 0/5 ATS.....avg margin of victory is 24.8 for NE and 20.6 for opponent AMOV is +4.2 there are a couple more like it but I didn't write them down
No...not really. Because I already like the play. But....I know what you are saying. There are games I like .....and I play. There are games I like backed by a system I like more. And there are systems with good records ......I look at whether the system make sense...I then look at the game to see the teams involved and how much I like it. Sometimes no matter how good a system is.....if a team is elite enough or if a team you play on s bad enough.... it can still lose. It is a combination of things. For this game it is different....only because it is the Pats. They will screw you. They go for the throat. They don't try to run the clock out and escape with a win. They will pile on you and cover. That is who they are. And that goes for about 2-4 elite NFL teams a year. Pats are just always one of them.
| Buffalo is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games |
| The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games |
| Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home |
| The total has gone OVER in 12 of Buffalo's last 13 games at home |
| Buffalo is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New England |
| Buffalo is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games when playing New England |
| Buffalo is 2-10-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against New England |
| Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New England |
New England -4.75 (New England -4 to -5).
My formulated line would be New England -9.18 (New England -9 to -10) if they were playing at home so the current line is inflated for a road game in my opinion.
