Look for Florida BIG over UK ...

[jbragg10]

Update 1:30 PM: According to the press conference report, MLB Micah Johnson (the same high ankle sprain), CB David Jones (arm/elbow), and FS Marcus McClinton (sprained MCL) all are questionable for the Florida game on Saturday. DT Myron Pryor (high ankle sprain) is doubtful for Saturday’s game.

Plus
Derrick Locke is out
Dicky Lyons is out

WOW .... Blowout! UK has a good defense, but not when they are all injured.

I am something like 27-2 in picking UK Games ... this one looks like Florida making me 28-2

 

[fadethepublic1]

My formula has uf projected to win by 17 pts. Gl to you anyways.

As always... Aloha.

 

[jbragg10]

My formula has uf projected to win by 17 pts. Gl to you anyways.

As always... Aloha.

does your formula put into account that
3 of the best defensive players are out?

We are down to our 3rd string CB and Safety
Top DT and Linebacker is out.

Plus we can't score any points. Florida will win by 28 points

Ouch

 

[AR_23]

Its a huge spread already, little worried for a 3+ TD cover. Sure wont play UK especially seeing this info. Thank you.

 

[sdf]

Urban Meyer likes to cover the spread...

 

[SoonerBS]

Thanks for the info, dude, it's always great to have someone local who is posting good info on his/her team . . . .

 

[TOOTIGHT]

Since Kentucky won't put up more than 10 points, I think Meyer has fun running it up in this one. Not a play but this could get out of controll. I never play on big spreads in the SEC either...

How's Kentucky's special teams? Particularly return coverage...

 

[jbragg10]

Since Kentucky won't put up more than 10 points, I think Meyer has fun running it up in this one. Not a play but this could get out of controll. I never play on big spreads in the SEC either...

How's Kentucky's special teams? Particularly return coverage...

Their special teams is hurting.
Lyons and Locke were the two bright spots on the team.
Now they are both out.

Their is a lot of "negativity" going on within the program. Half the fans left during the Arkansas game .. yet they came back and won

Aaron Boyd is complaining he is not getting enough touches. The RB's are complaining they are not running enough.

We are playing 3-4 WR's that are freshmen. They are running the wrong routes and it is a MESS right now.

Our defense has won our games for us.

Look at the TD's this year ... most of them are from defense or special teams (or defense giving us good field position).
Right now we have so many injuries on defense, it is not looking good going to Florida.

 

[jbragg10]

Since Kentucky won't put up more than 10 points, I think Meyer has fun running it up in this one. Not a play but this could get out of controll. I never play on big spreads in the SEC either...

How's Kentucky's special teams? Particularly return coverage...

Yea ... it might not be a play, but I would urge no one to pick UK in this game.

I would play Florida or stay away completely!
Good luck to you this week

 

[AR_23]

We are playing 3-4 WR's that are freshmen. They are running the wrong routes and it is a MESS right now.

hno:

 

[RickDel]

UK was my first pick for this week, but I wanted to get your opinion first and this just talked me off (hope your right).

 

[KennyB]

I know some people don't put any stock in homecoming games but this is Florida's homecoming.

 

[JohnnyP]

I couldnt agree more with jbrag but Ive been backed doored so much this past weekend with teams not continueing to score in the second half and then giving up points(tampa bay cough cough) ..think ill just stay away ha.

 

[bellyputter]

I am something like 27-2 in picking UK Games ... this one looks like Florida making me 28-2[/quote] Nice record!

 

[bellyputter]

Yea ... It Might Not Be A Play, but I would urge no one to pick UK in this game.

:wink:

 

[MajorGCG]

The only concern I have is the 12:30 kickoff, but UF seems to be coming together at the right time for a run at the title. We had the week off as well - so Meyer has had more time to plan and our players have had more time to get healthy.

Arky should have had a 17-0 lead at one point on Saturday. I can see UF playing a decent game and with all of those UK players out winning 35-7 or 38-10 - something like that.

 

[jbragg10]

:wink:

I was just stating to that person that if you are not playing Florida ... just stay away from that game.

Not looking good.

 

[AR_23]

24.5 im seeing..wow. Im tempted to take the points.. lol

 

[MajorGCG]

Some interesting trends:

KENTY are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games.

Florida: Over is 7-2 in FLA last 9 conference games.
FLA are 9-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
FLA are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.

Head to Head: Road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

Wagerline has the concensus at 53% Kentucky right now.

ATS TrendsKentucky
Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.
Wildcats are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games.
Wildcats are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Wildcats are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Wildcats are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.


Florida
Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.
Gators are 9-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Gators are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
Gators are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Gators are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Gators are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.


OU TrendsKentucky
Under is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 road games.
Under is 5-1 in Wildcats last 6 games on grass.
Under is 5-1 in Wildcats last 6 games overall.
Under is 7-2 in Wildcats last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 14-5 in Wildcats last 19 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 conference games.
Under is 9-4 in Wildcats last 13 games following a ATS loss.


Florida
Over is 4-0 in Gators last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 5-1 in Gators last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 10-2 in Gators last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Gators last 5 games following a bye week.
Over is 4-1 in Gators last 5 home games.
Over is 4-1 in Gators last 5 games in October.
Over is 7-2 in Gators last 9 conference games.
Over is 7-2 in Gators last 9 games following a ATS win.
Over is 8-3 in Gators last 11 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 13-5 in Gators last 18 games on grass.
Over is 10-4 in Gators last 14 games overall.


Head to HeadWildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Florida.
Road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

 

[Sekrah]

MajorGCG.. How on earth are Florida going to cover 24 points if Urban Meyer is shutting down the offense everytime they get up 17?