Lock of the Day

assassin · May 21, 2003

I have never posted a pick here, so I have no track record.
My Lock of the Day, Week, MOnth,

San Antonio Money Line

I'm blowing my load on this one.

General, you have been forwarned, don't play Dallas tonight in the LMS tourney.

RobFunk · May 21, 2003

really, the odds of both road teams going up 2-0 in the confrence finals must be astronomical.

lander · May 21, 2003

The bookies just read this and the line jumped to Dallas -2

blueedwards · May 21, 2003

calling a game a "lock" is the equivalent of saying "seven" at the craps table...it just ain't smart.

Halifax · May 21, 2003

Bad idea.

You've got to put out $350 or $400 just to win $100, and Dallas has shown that they can play with these guys.

San Antonio will probably win tonight, but at -350 or -400, it's far from a Value Bet.

jerseymike111 · May 21, 2003

You will go broke playing heavy moneyline favorites.If you think they are that much of a lock,buy the line down to five and win more.A lock should win by more than 5 right?

jateeluv · May 21, 2003

if u r playing the money line u r saying that the spurs might win by enough to cover. Why not play dallas and the points?

i think it would be better to wager 100 and get 90 or lose 100 than to wager 100 and get 40 or lose 100.

I would either bet mavs or nothing. Unless you have ALOT of confidence of spurs covering, but me personally wouldn't do that

bigboydan · May 21, 2003

i'm betting NJ tonight -150 (10 units) in pucks action.

the trends back NJ in this game too much not to bet it big IMHOO

MrKennedy · May 21, 2003

Way to go out on a limb and call a -400 a lock. nothing good will come of this.. even if they win. granted Dallas won't hit 49 of 50 again, Spurs wont get much more from Duncan than they got in gm 1. while Nick The Quick had a bad shooting night and should bounce back.

Go Mavs

assassin · May 21, 2003

Thanks for the input guys.
Lander: LAO, didn't know I had that much negative power
Blue: I hear ya, but I got confidence
Halifax: $1600 buddy. Last time I felt this strong on a play was Syracuse ($1100)
Jersey: Don't like the points angle. Strange shit can happen at the end of a game to turn an 8 point lead into a 3 point win.
jateeluv: Can;t go against the play. Lot of conifidence here my friend
bigboydan: I like the Devils, haven't had a chance to look at the line though. Will research if I get the chance
MrK: Thanks for the support.

Go SA Spurs.

bigd0gg · May 21, 2003

New Jersey Devils are undefeated at the Continental Airlines Arena this year in the playoffs.

Martin Brodeur might put up a shutout.
Scott Stevens might hand out a concussion.

I took the -1.5 goals +220.

Jeff Friesen will have a good game.

RPM · May 21, 2003

s.a. a lock huh? ok, im on dallas on the ml now. thanks!~

assassin · May 21, 2003

Your welcome RPM. Come on everyone get on Dallas and bring the line down more.
All who have ACTUALLY wagered on Dallas, please sign in.

RPM · May 21, 2003

dallas +300 here.

no offense buddy, but i try to fade the play anytime someone posts the word lock.

bigd0gg · May 21, 2003

I took Dallas +300 for 1 UNIT and Dallas +7.5 -110 for 1 UNIT.

assassin · May 21, 2003

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by RPM:
dallas +300 here.

no offense buddy, but i try to fade the play anytime someone posts the word lock.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Could be a good strategy, how's it workin' for you so far?

But not tonight!!!

RPM · May 21, 2003

assassin,

believe it or not, i bet it works better than any system ive ever seen.

dont know why, but when people post that something is a lock, i bet it loses at least 75 or 80% of the time.

assassin · May 21, 2003

I'll keep an eye out for that. I haven't posted a pick since joing, but fading me would probably have been a wise move.

BUT NOT TONIGHT.

VaultedTreehouse · May 21, 2003

The play is fine, but I'd much rather swallow a big moneyline in football than in Basketball, not even close....The Devil game tonight is a tie going into OT, so giving 1.5 I don't like.

SPIVE · May 21, 2003

NJ Net +470 (PP) to WIN NBA Championship...should be a profitable position in the not to distant future.

Today's fades.

MLB:
Flo +132
Mil -125
SF -139
Phi +101
Cle -192
Chn/Pit >7 -104
Nyy/Bos >9 -113

Tonight's MLB Special plays: Stl -128, Stl -1.5 +125.

"It's better to burn-out than "2" fade away...

Hey, Hey, My, My..."

[This message was edited by SPIVE on May 21, 2003 at 05:12 PM.]