Live Handicapping Thread Sunday 3/7/21

[Melniko]

wager: $89.00
return: $9.20

Another dismal start to the day. Time to go to Cajun country and more familiar surroundings...

FG Race 1 - looks like a 3-horse race. but why is Hartman running running the #6 for $12.5k? Destroyed the field sprinting at $15k. This is a 3 yr old son of Cairo Prince. Something's fishy.
$6 WP #3 Lynchburg
$3 ex box 1,3

 

[Michelangelo]

FG
1st
$48.00 Win
#6 Passageway
1 min to post

 

[Jack1999]

Oak R1: 6 Miss Malevolence $12 w/p

out

 

[Melniko]

wager: $89.00
return: $9.20

Another dismal start to the day. Time to go to Cajun country and more familiar surroundings...

FG Race 1 - looks like a 3-horse race. but why is Hartman running running the #6 for $12.5k? Destroyed the field sprinting at $15k. This is a 3 yr old son of Cairo Prince. Something's fishy.
$6 WP #3 Lynchburg
$3 ex box 1,3

Was right about the #6, but picked the wrong one between 1 and 3 as the rail horse had his way with them.

 

[Michelangelo]

Lrl
4th
$6.00 Exacta Box 4, 6
loading

Virgin breaker with my smallest bet of the day.

24.00 x 3 = 72.00

-220.00 -12.00 = -232.00
+72.00

 

[Michelangelo]

FG
1st
$48.00 Win
#6 Passageway
1 min to post

And my biggest bet of the day is a total stiff as Niko warned. Astute eye, Niko.

-232.00 -48.00 = -280.00
+72.00

 

[Melniko]

wager: $107.00
return: $9.20

Tampa Race 5 - rarity as we get a 10-horse field without Centeno, Gallardo, or Camacho. Obviously they'll over-bet Castillo.
$6 WP #2 Wordman

 

[Jack1999]

TB R5: 5 Pachi $10 w/p $2 box 5/9

 

[Michelangelo]

TBy
5th
$48.00 Win
#1 Courageous Craft
2 min to post

Here's where Beyer Par comes into play. The Beyer Par for this race is 53. The #1 running his third race back and first on the dirt had a 58 when running second at 35-1, 4 lengths better than the third place horse (my second check to make sure the Beyer # is accurate). Let's see if this horse can get me into the winners circle

 

[pennspride]

+202. TB 5. $1 box. 1-5-9

 

[Melniko]

tampa - adding a 50 cent Pk 3
1,2,5,9/3,4,5/7

 

[Michelangelo]

Aqu
3rd
$12.00 Win
#2 Gold Bear
1 min to post

 

[Melniko]

wager: $107.00
return: $9.20

Tampa Race 5 - rarity as we get a 10-horse field without Centeno, Gallardo, or Camacho. Obviously they'll over-bet Castillo.
$6 WP #2 Wordman

got stuck in the gate, never had a chance

 

[Melniko]

TBy
5th
$48.00 Win
#1 Courageous Craft
2 min to post

Here's where Beyer Par comes into play. The Beyer Par for this race is 53. The #1 running his third race back and first on the dirt had a 58 when running second at 35-1, 4 lengths better than the third place horse (my second check to make sure the Beyer # is accurate). Let's see if this horse can get me into the winners circle

he sure can

 

[pennspride]

TBy
5th
$48.00 Win
#1 Courageous Craft
2 min to post

Here's where Beyer Par comes into play. The Beyer Par for this race is 53. The #1 running his third race back and first on the dirt had a 58 when running second at 35-1, 4 lengths better than the third place horse (my second check to make sure the Beyer # is accurate). Let's see if this horse can get me into the winners circle

nice job

 

[Jack1999]

TB R5: 5 Pachi $10 w/p $2 box 5/9

2nd Pays $15

 

[Jack1999]

TBy
5th
$48.00 Win
#1 Courageous Craft
2 min to post

Here's where Beyer Par comes into play. The Beyer Par for this race is 53. The #1 running his third race back and first on the dirt had a 58 when running second at 35-1, 4 lengths better than the third place horse (my second check to make sure the Beyer # is accurate). Let's see if this horse can get me into the winners circle

winner good call

 

[Jack1999]

Oak R2: 2 Allen $6 w/p $2 box 1/2 $2 box 2/9

 

[Melniko]

wager: $119.00 (pending $6 PK 3)
return: $9.20

I believe I was down about a c-note yesterday when things began to turn around. Okay, racing gods - it's time.

FG Race 2
$4 WP #3 Izzy's Baby Boy
$2 ex 2/3
$1 ex 3/2

 

[Michelangelo]

TBy
5th
$48.00 Win
#1 Courageous Craft
2 min to post

Here's where Beyer Par comes into play. The Beyer Par for this race is 53. The #1 running his third race back and first on the dirt had a 58 when running second at 35-1, 4 lengths better than the third place horse (my second check to make sure the Beyer # is accurate). Let's see if this horse can get me into the winners circle

Finally got something to happen the way I envisioned it.

-280.00 -48.00 = -328.00
+72 + 139.20 = +211.20