Listing some Totals from a Program that ive been working on

Man in the Mirror · Sep 5, 2014

Ive been working on a Totals program and have been fairly successful with some back testing of a multitude of games and the Model that ive been working on has been giving very good results.. Guess i will give this the "kiss of death" and publicly list some plays..

1. Nevada/Wash St Over 67 (5 units)

The projected total that i have for this game is 75pts, so there is still 8pts of value by my calculations.. Ill see how this goes for a while..

Cantpickem · Sep 5, 2014

Man in the Mirror said:
Ive been working on a Totals program and have been fairly successful with some back testing of a multitude of games and the Model that ive been working on has been giving very good results.. Guess i will give this the "kiss of death" and publicly list some plays..

1. Nevada/Wash St Over 67 (5 units)

The projected total that i have for this game is 75pts, so there is still 8pts of value by my calculations.. Ill see how this goes for a while..

Both teams have horrible defenses and rushing stats. Both like to air it out.
I suspect this could go to 80 and possible overtime.
BOL

Man in the Mirror · Sep 5, 2014

Thanks, best of luck to you as well.. Going to go ahead and list a saturday play..

2. OU/Tulsa Over 57.5 (5 units)

More on Saturday...

Man in the Mirror · Sep 5, 2014

The OU/Tulsa total i have at 67... So im showing a Value of almost 10pts on this game.. Good luck to everyone..

ThaDude · Sep 5, 2014

Cantpickem said:
Both teams have horrible defenses and rushing stats. Both like to air it out.
I suspect this could go to 80 and possible overtime.
BOL

The problem is neither team can stop the run, so will the offenses try to exploit it? For Wazzu no, probably not. For Nevada? I expect them to run it plenty, which could lead to some longer possessions.