Line moves for Thurs ?

[Doug]

Anybody have thoughts on line moves for tomorrow ?

I'm thinking Denver +2.5 against Detroit gets bet down. Detroit favored in Denver with Wallace out because of brother's ( ?) death. I think public will look at that and bet against Detroit.


Any other ideas guys ?

 

[SportSavant]

money coming on on Detroit thus far....

Pinny -2.5 -119, most others have -3......

I think Dallas closes at + 6 & the total closes at 203........

 

[SportSavant]

OH MY GOD... I REFRESHED SCREEN TWICE & SOMEONE HAMMERED DENVER...

WENT FROM -2.5 -119 to -2.5 -103 in 15 seconds!!!!!!!!!

 

[Doug]

I got +107, but I didn't move the line

 

[SportSavant]

too bad you didnt move the line, cauz you could have bought right back at -103


I have + 3 -107 available to me now.... wonder if I should bite?

 

[Doug]

SS: I'm not going to sell it for a 4-cent scalp, when I think the line will move 2-3 points or more.

 

[dottom]

OH MY GOD... I REFRESHED SCREEN TWICE & SOMEONE HAMMERED DENVER...

WENT FROM -2.5 -119 to -2.5 -103 in 15 seconds!!!!!!!!!

O/L lines move very quickly at Pinnacle, especially for circled games. I moved Washington -1 to -121 with just two dime bets (you have to wait 1 minute before you can bet again). I checked back an hour later and it was back down to -1 -103. I took another 2 dimes and was happy to see it at -3 -120 in the morning.

So in summary, don't put too much into Pinny O/L moves, especially for circled games, b/c it doesn't take much to move it.

 

[danielousooner]

detroit/denver total

i've got detroit/denver down to 183.5 from 185.5 on my book

what's your guys' thoughts on that one?
here's mine-
both teams are averaging 192 pt totals in their last 3 games
all 6 games went OVER the total
denver's giving up an average of 105.3 in their last 3
detroit's offense is heating up and averaging 99 pts in their last 2
denver's averaging 90 pts per game in their last 2 games
detroits giving up an average of 94 pts per game in their last 2
looks like the OVER might be a good play.
here's what's holding me back-
the UNDER is 5-7 in the last 12 games these 2 have played at denver
the average score in the last 2 meetings in denver is only 166 pts
is that enough to disregard this years performances? the OVER is 6-2-1 in all detroit and denver games played this season.
any opinions?

 

[WizardofWins]

Det at 11:52

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 align=center border=0><TBODY><TR class=odd vAlign=center><TD>11/11/04 </TD><TD align=right>105</TD><TD>Pistons(Detroit)</TD><TD align=right>OFF</TD><TD> </TD><TD align=right>-1</TD><TD><INPUT onclick=checkPoint(this.name) type=checkbox value=Bskt-Pisto-Nugge-111104,1 name=POINT_004> </TD><TD align=right>Over 182.5</TD><TD><INPUT onclick=checkPoint(this.name) type=checkbox value=Bskt-Pisto-Nugge-111104,3 name=TOTAL_004> </TD></TR><TR class=odd align=middle><TD vAlign=center align=right colSpan=5>Buy Points: </TD><TD vAlign=top colSpan=2><INPUT onfocus="this.blur(); getPoints(this.name)" size=4 value=0.0 name=BUY_POINTS_POINT_002> </TD><TD vAlign=top colSpan=2><INPUT onfocus="this.blur(); getPoints(this.name)" size=4 value=0.0 name=BUY_POINTS_TOTAL_002> </TD></TR><TR class=odd vAlign=center><TD>22:40 ET</TD><TD align=right>106</TD><TD>Nuggets(Denver)</TD><TD align=right>OFF</TD><TD> </TD><TD align=right>+1</TD><TD><INPUT onclick=checkPoint(this.name) type=checkbox value=Bskt-Pisto-Nugge-111104,2 name=POINT_005> </TD><TD align=right>Under 182.5</TD><TD><INPUT onclick=checkPoint(this.name) type=checkbox value=Bskt-Pisto-Nugge-111104,4 name=TOTAL_005></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[Doug]

The move is starting. Denver may close as favorite. The public is going to eat up the angle about Wallace's grandbrother's death.

 

[Doug]

Closed at pick -105 on ML at Pinny, middle was there.