Opening Week Lines Released on VegasInsider
<HR SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message --><!-- BEGIN TEMPLATE: ad_showthread_firstpost_start --><!-- END TEMPLATE: ad_showthread_firstpost_start -->Thursday Sept. 3
South Carolina @ NC State -3.5
Troy @ Bowling Green +3
North Texas @ Ball State -16
Utah State @ Utah -24
Oregon @ Boise State -4.5
Friday Sept. 4
Tulsa @ Tulane +14
Saturday Sept. 5
Navy @ Ohio State -22
Akron @ Penn State -27
Kentucky vs. Miami Ohio +14
Minnesota @ Syracuse +6
Toledo @ Purdue -13
Western Kentucky @ Tennessee -28
Western Michigan @ Michigan -11
Nevada @ Notre Dame -17
Georgia @ Oklahoma State -4.5
Missouri vs. Illinois -5
Baylor @ Wake Forest -4.5
San Jose State @ USC -32
Rice @ UAB +2
Middle Tennessee @ Clemson -21.5
Connecticut @ Ohio +6
BYU vs. Oklahoma -21
Army @ Eastern Michigan -6
Northern Illinois @ Wisconsin -14
Louisiana Tech @ Auburn -13
New Mexico @ Texas A&M -12
Florida Atlantic @ Nebraska -20
Louisiana-Monroe @ Texas -38
San Diego State @ UCLA -21
Stanford @ Washington State +17
Virginia Tech vs. Alabama -4
Idaho @ New Mexico State -3
Buffalo @ UTEP -4.5
Maryland @ California -17
Central Michigan @ Arizona -14
LSU @ Washington +14
Sunday Sept. 6
Mississippi @ Memphis +17
Colorado State @ Colorado -13
Monday Sept. 7
Cincinnati @ Rutgers -6
Miami FL @ Florida State -4
<HR SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message --><!-- BEGIN TEMPLATE: ad_showthread_firstpost_start --><!-- END TEMPLATE: ad_showthread_firstpost_start -->Thursday Sept. 3
South Carolina @ NC State -3.5
Troy @ Bowling Green +3
North Texas @ Ball State -16
Utah State @ Utah -24
Oregon @ Boise State -4.5
Friday Sept. 4
Tulsa @ Tulane +14
Saturday Sept. 5
Navy @ Ohio State -22
Akron @ Penn State -27
Kentucky vs. Miami Ohio +14
Minnesota @ Syracuse +6
Toledo @ Purdue -13
Western Kentucky @ Tennessee -28
Western Michigan @ Michigan -11
Nevada @ Notre Dame -17
Georgia @ Oklahoma State -4.5
Missouri vs. Illinois -5
Baylor @ Wake Forest -4.5
San Jose State @ USC -32
Rice @ UAB +2
Middle Tennessee @ Clemson -21.5
Connecticut @ Ohio +6
BYU vs. Oklahoma -21
Army @ Eastern Michigan -6
Northern Illinois @ Wisconsin -14
Louisiana Tech @ Auburn -13
New Mexico @ Texas A&M -12
Florida Atlantic @ Nebraska -20
Louisiana-Monroe @ Texas -38
San Diego State @ UCLA -21
Stanford @ Washington State +17
Virginia Tech vs. Alabama -4
Idaho @ New Mexico State -3
Buffalo @ UTEP -4.5
Maryland @ California -17
Central Michigan @ Arizona -14
LSU @ Washington +14
Sunday Sept. 6
Mississippi @ Memphis +17
Colorado State @ Colorado -13
Monday Sept. 7
Cincinnati @ Rutgers -6
Miami FL @ Florida State -4
That LSU - 14 @ Udub game jumps out at me in a big way. Only 14 points?
Maryland @ Cal -17 is worth a look at too.
I do think Stanford is capable of beating another bad WSU team by +17 or
better.
Stanford returns 80+% of their team, 83% of their offensive yards and 77% of their tackles. Harbaugh seems to start the season strong (not yet enough data for a trend)and WSU is, well WSU again, even at home.
Western Kentucky @ Tennessee +28,
Lane Kiffen will want to make a statement in his 1st game as the Vol. coach. Lane's ego won't allow anything different (I'm a USC fan and had enough of the guy). I also see Kiffen giving Crompton alot of work in this game, to give him,as well as the team confidence to start the season. As putrid as Tennessee was on offense last year, Kiffen won't stop short in this game and another reason to work the offense.
Next up, UCLA @ home, who beat them last year in the Rose Bowl, even with intercepting 4 ucla passes in the first half.
I gotcha on the no research part and in no way am I throwing any stones at your post, just stating my thoughts and understanding on the Navy pick.
Tressell's father was a Navy Officer and I have a feeling OSU isn't going to run up the score on Navy due to the respect JT has for the Acadimies. I have also looked at OSU's first 2 -3 games of every season since Tressell's been the coach at OSU and he only has a +14.3 scoring margin vs FBS schools in that time. Two of those games involved Texas and if you take those games out (the 2nd game in '05 & '06) and add in their 3rd game vs. SDSU & Cincinnati, they only score 12.8 points per game margin for those game only.
Bama has some issues on O with a brand new QB (who should be pretty good) and an brand new OL. They also need a WR or two to step up to help Jones. But, VT has been such a disappointment it's had to put anything on them IMO.
I think UGA loses in Stillwater. They have real problems in the secondary and their rush D wasn't the best - meanwhile Okie State's O is for real. Kendall Hunter is a beast and I believe UGA will have problems with Robinson and Bryant. OSU doesn't have great D, but Im not sure UGAs O will be that great either. UGA gave up a ton of points last year too and the only thing that's changed is they lost some good players (like Asher Allen). I would imagine that UGA will try to control the clock with their running game to keep it close.
texas AM -12. if this is what 5dimes is going to start out with i'll keep buying as much as i can. new mexico is drastically changing schemes and imo don't have no where's near the personnel to run it. AM has talent and they are a huge step ahead in year 2 with sherman. i don't like how AM beat the lobos last year but theres nothing in their arsenal that keeps this game remotely close imo. i was expecting to see a 21 here and i don't think the books can move enough to offer a lobo's cover.
uab +2 over rice
simple...wrong team is favored.
uab +2 over rice
simple...wrong team is favored.
-- Last year South Carolina was a -14 favorite in this game at their place, this year they are a +3.5 underdog. That is a +17.5 point turnaround. I still think NCST is the right side, but I don't want to play them unless they are under the 3 . . . .
-- I really like North Texas +16. I think Ball State will take a step back this season and North Texas will take a half of a step forward . . .
-- I really like Navy +22, too. Navy is good in the dog roll and I was thinking the breaking point on this bet was +14. This line is +8 more than I expected.
-- I like Minnesota -6. I think getting under a TD in this game is a gift. Hell, I think getting under 10 in this game is a gift.
-- I like Michigan -11. I think this is a very doable line in this game. I'm not big on playing the MAC outside their own conference in any game.
-- It's not a popular bet with a lot of people, but I really like georgia getting +4.5 on the road against OSU.
-- Hold off on Notre Dame -17 because I think that line will get better before game time.
-- I like Illinois -5 right now, but I want to look into that game some more.
-- I like Baylor straight up against Wake Forest so the points are a gift.
-- -32 sounds like a lot of points to play on with USC, but they are really good as home favorites.
-- UAB could very well win that game SU against Rice. I'll be looking deeper into that game.
-- I like Oklahoma -21 for now, but if that goes up, I may not like it any longer.
-- I'll be watching for info on Army and Eastern Michigan in Fall Camp. Army beat Eastern Michigan last season and I think they could be better this year. I don't like it that this is the first game because it gives Eastern Michigan more time to work on the triple option offense that Army will be throwing against them. It may not matter though. Right now, I lean Army +6 in this game.
-- I think Auburn thumps La Tech at home. I also think this line could get better in Auburn's favor because there are some who actually believe a WAC team could hang with a good SEC team. This will be a different team than last year's Auburn bunch and they will not be as easy to push around defensively as Mississippi State was for Lat Tech.
-- Nebraska -20 is the only "play on" game I have listed this season. I think they put away FAU fairly easily, but then the rest of the season the lines get tighter for Nebraska.
-- -38 is proof that Vegas plans to get tougher with Texas lines this season. I'll be thinking about taking ULM in this spot, especially if it goes higher. Likely I will not play it all though.
-- I like Alabama -4. I think the polish has worn off of Alabama with the public after their bowl loss to Utah, but I can guarantee you this team will be competing for the SEC crown. In my comparisons, the best of the SEC can beat the best of the ACC. Lay the 4.
-- Don't fall asleep on the Idaho/New Mexico St. game, guys. It may look like a shit game, but New Mexico State is breaking in a new QB and they only return 10 starters off a bad team. Idaho is not great, but they bring back more experience, they beat New Mexico St last year, they lead in this series 11-4 over last 15 years, and they are catching points in this game. Don't just look at the marquis games without giving some thought to the lesser noticed jewels.
-- I like UTEP -4.5 as well, but I want to see how Buffalo comes along in Fall camp.
-- California in anything under -21 is a definite play . . . .
-- Central Michigan doesn't have a good enough defense to test Arizona's new starting QB, Scott. I'll be playing on Arizona in this game. CMU is not good playing out of conference, I don't care how much experience they bring back.
-- I'll take me some Colorado -13 as well. Although, they just suspended their best receiver for 2 games. Still, I think they will run right through Colorado state's defense.
-- I really like North Texas +16. I think Ball State will take a step back this season and North Texas will take a half of a step forward . . .
-- I really like Navy +22, too. Navy is good in the dog roll and I was thinking the breaking point on this bet was +14. This line is +8 more than I expected.
-- I like Minnesota -6. I think getting under a TD in this game is a gift. Hell, I think getting under 10 in this game is a gift.
-- I like Michigan -11. I think this is a very doable line in this game. I'm not big on playing the MAC outside their own conference in any game.
-- It's not a popular bet with a lot of people, but I really like georgia getting +4.5 on the road against OSU.
-- Hold off on Notre Dame -17 because I think that line will get better before game time.
-- I like Illinois -5 right now, but I want to look into that game some more.
-- I like Baylor straight up against Wake Forest so the points are a gift.
-- -32 sounds like a lot of points to play on with USC, but they are really good as home favorites.
-- UAB could very well win that game SU against Rice. I'll be looking deeper into that game.
-- I like Oklahoma -21 for now, but if that goes up, I may not like it any longer.
-- I'll be watching for info on Army and Eastern Michigan in Fall Camp. Army beat Eastern Michigan last season and I think they could be better this year. I don't like it that this is the first game because it gives Eastern Michigan more time to work on the triple option offense that Army will be throwing against them. It may not matter though. Right now, I lean Army +6 in this game.
-- I think Auburn thumps La Tech at home. I also think this line could get better in Auburn's favor because there are some who actually believe a WAC team could hang with a good SEC team. This will be a different team than last year's Auburn bunch and they will not be as easy to push around defensively as Mississippi State was for Lat Tech.
-- Nebraska -20 is the only "play on" game I have listed this season. I think they put away FAU fairly easily, but then the rest of the season the lines get tighter for Nebraska.
-- -38 is proof that Vegas plans to get tougher with Texas lines this season. I'll be thinking about taking ULM in this spot, especially if it goes higher. Likely I will not play it all though.
-- I like Alabama -4. I think the polish has worn off of Alabama with the public after their bowl loss to Utah, but I can guarantee you this team will be competing for the SEC crown. In my comparisons, the best of the SEC can beat the best of the ACC. Lay the 4.
-- Don't fall asleep on the Idaho/New Mexico St. game, guys. It may look like a shit game, but New Mexico State is breaking in a new QB and they only return 10 starters off a bad team. Idaho is not great, but they bring back more experience, they beat New Mexico St last year, they lead in this series 11-4 over last 15 years, and they are catching points in this game. Don't just look at the marquis games without giving some thought to the lesser noticed jewels.
-- I like UTEP -4.5 as well, but I want to see how Buffalo comes along in Fall camp.
-- California in anything under -21 is a definite play . . . .
-- Central Michigan doesn't have a good enough defense to test Arizona's new starting QB, Scott. I'll be playing on Arizona in this game. CMU is not good playing out of conference, I don't care how much experience they bring back.
-- I'll take me some Colorado -13 as well. Although, they just suspended their best receiver for 2 games. Still, I think they will run right through Colorado state's defense.
A few early leans for me but still might cut this list down:
Thursday Sept. 3
NC State -3.5
Troy +3 and the over would be a look also
Saturday Sept. 5
Minnesota -6
Nevada +17
Illinois -5
Baylor +4.5
UAB +2
Ohio +6
Eastern Michigan -6
Texas A&M -12
Nebraska -20
UTEP -4.5
California -17
LSU -14
Rutgers -6
Thursday Sept. 3
NC State -3.5
Troy +3 and the over would be a look also
Saturday Sept. 5
Minnesota -6
Nevada +17
Illinois -5
Baylor +4.5
UAB +2
Ohio +6
Eastern Michigan -6
Texas A&M -12
Nebraska -20
UTEP -4.5
California -17
LSU -14
Rutgers -6
