I just mentioned this in Penny's thread but... The sabermetrics (and in turn the oddmakers) love Pineda. His lines were steamed hard early in the year and have been real tight since. Pineda gets a lot of swings and misses and WHEN he doesn't walk anybody has been real effective. It was set up nicely for Pineda to go 6 (he's usually passing 100 pitches half way thru) then turn it over to Big 3...but that no longer exists, though the new back end is still better that what the Yankees other midde relief guy were earlier in the year.
The Indians proved last series that they are human. I think the line is probably right, and I would be on Yanks other than I don't trust their bats, and have less trust in their pen than I once did (obviously.) With all of that, I've been on the under since last night.