I'm still researching some of the games but I initially liked Miami as well but after further thought I think I may lay off it. With Wade coming off the 50 point game this could be a letdown spot. Detroit is on a 6 game losing streak and after tonight's games they play @New Orleans, @Orlando, @Boston, and Denver. I think they give everything they got in this game because this is their "easy" one. I still think Miami probably wins a tight one but I'm skeptical on the cover. Good luck if you play it. I'm rooting for Miami.
Trap game in the sense where many cappers here felt that since 77% percent of the public was on Boston without the line moving, Vegas was betting on Denver. Public bit on it and won. Theres a difference between thinking "Why the line is so low, there must be a catch" to "Analyze who will win the game and how the teams match up".
Personally, Chicago has played its whole season without a True Center with experience (Noah and Gray are not Brad Miller). Now they have to adjust to their new teammates. Orlando has adjusted well with Rafer at the point and look at what they have done to their last two opponents who have an elite gaurd and a servicable center:
Blew out the Heat (Wade and J.O'Neal)
Blew out the Bobcats away (Felton/Wallace and Okafore)
I see this game being like the Bobcats game. Chicago has a similiar playing style to theirs and with Brad Miller and John Salmons, they might play a little bit more unorganized.
there was 65 percent on Boston 1st off mate and 2ndly Denver opened up -1 and became +2 underdog by start of game vegasinsider pretty much will show you all that good stuff......... now look at ot like this IF you dont think this is a trap game........ then what do u think???? Vegas is in a giving mood? Ill tell u RIGHT NOW there is 83 percent of 5,000 votes on MAGIC ATS the LINE has mOVED from MAGIC - 3 to MAGIC -1. granted last week they beat charlotte and almost the exact same scenario but yet in still MAgic -1.5 sounds fishy esp after a week ago they JUST beat them by 20??
I'm just contributing to my knowledge and my experience to betting. If you want to compete then go ahead but OP asked for opinions on leans and I gave him mine. I'm on Orlando -2.5. I personally think "trends" and "traps" are nothing more but psychological tactics. I'll rely on scouting the teams and playing habits. Good luck to you though.
shot selection i love that reply im on your boat with that comment i think magic have another good night i think the trap situation is just another way to stir things up everyday and every game is different. great reply taking the magic too dwight will have a big night and magic win by atleast 8
