LAKERS -350 to win SERIES over HOUSTON.. Solid wager here $

gynecologist · May 5, 2009

1* LAKERS (SERIES) -350

Before losing last nights game vs the Rockets the Lakers swept the season series beating the Rockets in four straight regular season games. Many of those games were without the services of Andrew Bynum.

Lakers road record this season is 30-13 almost 70%

Lakers aren't going to shoot 11% from the 3 pt line frequently throughout this series season. I also doubt the Rockets are going to shoot 87% from the line throughout the series either..

The Lakers were just flat, dull and rusty in game one.. Rockets played their game hit their FTs and came out with a win.. Lakers will not come out flat anymore, and will get control back of this series too.

Its not always smart to bet into -350 lines, but I strongly believe this situation presents itself with immense value..

gynecologist · May 5, 2009

05-05-2009, 02:10 PM </TD><TD class=thead style="BORDER-RIGHT: #fdde82 1px solid; BORDER-TOP: #fdde82 1px solid; FONT-WEIGHT: normal; BORDER-LEFT: #fdde82 0px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #fdde82 1px solid" align=right> #21 </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=alt2 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #fdde82 1px solid; BORDER-TOP: #fdde82 0px solid; BORDER-LEFT: #fdde82 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #fdde82 0px solid" width=175>that one guy<SCRIPT type=text/javascript> vbmenu_register("postmenu_6664288", true); </SCRIPT>
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<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1>Quote:
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=6 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=alt2 style="BORDER-RIGHT: 1px inset; BORDER-TOP: 1px inset; BORDER-LEFT: 1px inset; BORDER-BOTTOM: 1px inset">Originally Posted by gynecologist

Uh, have we all forgotten that the Lakers still won four out of five from the Rockets this season..

I know that a lot of people(especially on these forums) like to feel like they are sharp and try to seperate themselves from public perception by picking the underdog..

But C'mon, its just one game and the Lakers are definitely a team who is built to win on the road..
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0-25. that's the series record of nba playoff teams against a team they got season swept by. zero wins, twenty five losses... but who knows, if the lakers only give kobe the ball once every four possessions like they did last night in the second half, maybe houston makes it 1-25.
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Bennyshoe · May 5, 2009

Kobe didn't seem too worried after the game last night. they do have a great road record. Don't know why they won't be able to steal one in Houston. It will be interesting to see how they respond in Game 2.

HPark1 · May 5, 2009

Lakers are obviously still more likely to progress than Houston but this version of the Lakers are full of softies. Asides from Kobe who is a true playoff tough like customer? Nobody.

I don't see any value here, line looks accurate. Lakers to win this series 75-80% of the time seems about right.

gynecologist · May 5, 2009

77% is what the line is calling for.. I have them winning this series 85% of the time..

Once the Lakers win game 2, and get one in Houston the line will jump back up to what it was before the series started.. Pretty much twice as much as it is now..

gynecologist · May 5, 2009

Hpark, you are a sharp guy that makes good decisions.. I was really hoping you saw the value that I see with this line..

HPark1 · May 5, 2009

gynecologist said:
77% is what the line is calling for.. I have them winning this series 85% of the time..

I don't see how 85% is reasonable. That means before they lost game one you would've had them near a 95% fav in this series. That is unrealistic imo.

*Gyno just not sold on this roster, too many soft/inconsistent players. Kobe will have to really carry the load, which he probably will.

gtc08 · May 5, 2009

lakers are a soft team and they have nobody to stop yao. if lakers win, its 7.

moneymike+ · May 5, 2009

sorry but dont see the value in -350 if your only putting 40 bucks on it. not a real good return for your money. wouldnt it be smarter to put 1 unit on a game where you win almost that amount back that something where you only get back about 1/3 of what you bet?

gynecologist · May 5, 2009

Lakers lose one game and now we're all giving up on them???

Lakers won 65 games on the season, had the best road record in the NBA, were the only team to beat the Cavs in Cleveland.

That resume is extremely impressive to me..

Two All Stars with Kobe and Gasol, with one of them considered a top 2 player.. Ariza gets no love but he is solid and a great defender, Odom is capable of dropping 20-10, Bynum is solid.. Its only a matter of time until Fisher starts hitting the open 3s..

gynecologist · May 5, 2009

moneymike said:
sorry but dont see the value in -350 if your only putting 40 bucks on it. not a real good return for your money. wouldnt it be smarter to put 1 unit on a game where you win almost that amount back that something where you only get back about 1/3 of what you bet?

units are profit, not what is bet..

moneymike+ · May 5, 2009

just dont think getting only about 12 bucks back from a 40 dollar bet is really worth it.

gynecologist · May 5, 2009

AGAIN for the second time,

units are (profit), not what is wagered!!!!! If you dont get that, then sorry man..

gynecologist · May 5, 2009

HPark1 said:
I don't see how 85% is reasonable. That means before they lost game one you would've had them near a 95% fav in this series. That is unrealistic imo.

*Gyno just not sold on this roster, too many soft/inconsistent players. Kobe will have to really carry the load, which he probably will.

I dont think losing game one is all that important..

billhill999 · May 5, 2009

moneymike said:
sorry but dont see the value in -350 if your only putting 40 bucks on it. not a real good return for your money. wouldnt it be smarter to put 1 unit on a game where you win almost that amount back that something where you only get back about 1/3 of what you bet?

I don't either, this ain't the Bird's Celtics of the 80's or the Jordan's Bulls, this a good team, but no way a super team.
Laying 3.5 -1 on a team that has to win 4 out 6, three on the road is risky, very risky business.

Teddykgb · May 5, 2009

moneymike said:
just dont think getting only about 12 bucks back from a 40 dollar bet is really worth it.

If you can get it back at a 4-1 clip it's worth it.....no doubt.

HawkN-Flight · May 5, 2009

How do you know if the Lakers are not in the beginning of a slump.

That was a brutal effort .Talk about discombulation. Odom look like he never handle a basketball before. Fisher couldn,t hit a shot if is life depended on it. Gasol couldn,t get to basket and was clanking jumpers of the iron. Bynum look like a bust under pressure. Kobe is firing from the grandstand and drew one foul for the game.Phil Jackson post game comment on how "we couldn,t play a worse game " is lame. The Lakers had 9 days to get ready. Jackson should of figure out to break down that Houston defence. The Rockets were the better team in the paint.

gynecologist · May 5, 2009

So we should just forget everything that happened during the regular season right? The season sweep, the 65 wins, the best road record and just judge the Lakers off that one game last night, right?

X-Files · May 5, 2009

Look for LA to win by 20+ tomorrow.

X-Files · May 5, 2009

LA is -400 @ Piny now, btw.

LAKERS -350 to win SERIES over HOUSTON.. Solid wager here $

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