Bear you're scaring me with my Lions!
If Tony Johnson doesn't play the offense is that much worse (and it is pretty bad). Of course Tony can't catch anything this year when he does play so it may be a good thing but Joe would be taking his best wideout off the field if TJ is suspended.
Everything else taken into account I like our chances to win this one since Joe has had an extra week to prepare for this one. Plus we usually kick butt at Iowa (3-1 since joining the Big 10).
Good luck I'm still debating on whether or not I want to take W Va tonight. Va Tech has had 11 days off to prepare for W Va and they will have another 10 days to prepare for Miami. Not saying they haven't been looking at the Canes all year but Beamer has enough time to get them ready for a close rival and I'm sure that team saw the Miami game.
Good luck!