Kojak's Saturday College Hoops

[Kojak]

I had a subpar day on Thursday in terms of raw numbers but in reality was a big winner with my play of the year on Washington and the moneyline. We have a large slate on Saturday and see some great value on teams in payback situations.

Clemson +6 - The Tigers have provided the best teams in the ACC a difficult road game even pulling off straight up wins over NC and NC State. They could pull the upset here but G.Tech imo will win a very tight game to escape.(loss)

Wake Forest +2- Maryland needs this win but Wake Forest is gaining a lot of momentum going into tournament by beating Duke, G. Tech on the road, and big comeback ot win vs Florida State. They have too much experience and are playing to well to lose against inexperienced Terrapins.(win)

Memphis +8 - Louisville is reeling while Memphis is looking to improve their seed for Big Dance. Memphis has played well on the road and won't be intimidated in Freedom Hall. IMO Memphis is live here but won't call su win but will for sure keep it under the number.(win)

Xavier -14.5 - X is money at home and should easily blow out the Dukes in this one.(lost-su)

Illinois -15 - This is a revenge game for Illini after Northwestern knocked them off in Evanston earlier this year. Illini will get their revenge big time in this one.(loss)

Marquette +7 - Golden Eagles will possibly win this one su. Both teams fighting for tournament bid but I will go with Diener and Company. Difference in this game will be Merritt who is starting to play better.(loss)

Cincinnati -1 - Bearcats lost at home earlier this year to Charlotte but will get a little payback in Charlotte's backyard tomorrow.(win)

Texas Tech +12 - TT scored the lowest number of points in a game at Nebraska this week since Bobby came to Lubbock. They usually are competitive vs Longhorns even in Austin. They won't win but will keep it under the number.(win)

Mississippi St. +2 - Bulldogs will get hard fought road victory at Vandy working their way towards top seed not only in SEC but NCAA tournament.(win)

Washington -1.5 - I will ride these Huskies for the third time in a week. This line is way off as Huskies should win this game by double digits vs ASU team that has basically packed it in for the year.(win)

Oregon St. +9- Don't let the blowout at Stanford fool you as Beavers are playing as well as any team in conference but Stanford and Washington. They will keep it close and maybe pull upset at Berkeley.

Utah State -8 - Utah State will blow out Cal Irvine to solidify at large berth in dance regardless of what happens in the conference tournament.

Austin Peay -12.5 - AP will blow out an undermanned Eastern Kentucky team to clinch 1 seed in upcoming conference tournament. (win)

Southern Illinois -14 - Salukis will finish regular season in style by pummelling Bradley.(loss)


Leans that I may add: Fairfield,Georgia Southern, Wisc Milwaukee, Idaho, Stanford, Butler, Minnesota, Notre Dame, Colorado St., Buffalo,Arizona, Texas A&M, Michigan St. and St.Josephs.

Best of luck.

[This message was edited by Kojak on February 28, 2004 at 07:10 PM.]

[This message was edited by Kojak on February 28, 2004 at 10:24 PM.]

[This message was edited by Kojak on February 28, 2004 at 10:57 PM.]

[This message was edited by Kojak on February 29, 2004 at 12:20 AM.]

 

[DJ6593]

Kojak,

Nice plays shaping up tomorrow. I am planning to play strong on Texas against Texas Tech. Tech has lost to Nebraska, Colorado, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St, & Kansas on the road all my double digits. Plus the word I hear is the AE is still nursing his thigh, not 100% - If you get any additional injury info I would appreciate it.
GL

 

[Kojak]

ncaahoopster,

Nothing to report on Don Best on injuries or suspensions for either team. I think TT will keep it close as they finally find themselves on the bubble due to 2 other hot teams in conference in Colorado and Missouri. I think Texas will win but barely as I think they will be looking ahead to Monday Night's game with Oklahoma St. Best of luck.

 

[jaypaw]

GL tomorrow dude

The only one I'm into right now is Wake.

I thought I liked washington but I didnt wanna fall into the classic trap situation taking a team thats favored on the road after a huge upset...

Well I guess it could be a classic example of a team on a roll as well - but regardless I feel like I know better.


GL

 

[Kojak]

jaypaw,

IMO Wake should be favored. In regards to Washington, they are on a roll and I don't think they are looking ahead as they know they have Stanford and Cal next weekend and they know that this is the only sure W. Best of luck.

 

[jaypaw]

GL man

I got notre dame MO and wake

 

[Kojak]

jaypaw,

I agree with all of those. Best of luck.

 

[Kojak]

My top three games tomorrow I will list here to those that are selective:

Xavier -14.5(loss)

Cincinnati -1(win)

Utah State -8

[This message was edited by Kojak on February 28, 2004 at 07:11 PM.]

 

[Kojak]

Adding...

UCLA -1 - I had been leaning the other way but I think this is a good spot for the Bruins as I think Irish really don't care about NCAA as saw quote recently from Chris Thomas who said that just as long as they go to postseason they will be happy and that the NCAA isn't life or death. I don't see a sense of urgency with this team.(loss)

Gonzaga -24.5 - Zags had off game vs San Diego but I expect big performance in not only last home game of season but last game at the Kennel.(loss)

Butler +9- Butler playing as well as about anybody in Horizon short of Detroit. I look for them to slow it down and keep it close vs UIC. (loss-1pt)

Wisconsin Milwaukee -17.5- They haven't been playing well but a win here clinches conference and since it is against conference doormat Cleveland St., I expect them to not only win but make statement going into conference tournament.(win)

Colorado St. +6.5 - When Matt Nelson plays, Rams usually win or are very competive. In border war, I expect Rams to beat up on conference doormat.(win)

Oklahoma St. -15 - Boys beat Bears by 30+ pts just 2 weeks ago. I don't think much has changed since then and Cowboys coming off of loss so should be in a rowdy mood.(loss)

Nevada -2 - Nevada fighting for conference championship and possible at large berth so I expect them to be motivated against a below average Fresno St. team.(win)

[This message was edited by Kojak on February 28, 2004 at 07:11 PM.]

[This message was edited by Kojak on February 28, 2004 at 10:09 PM.]

[This message was edited by Kojak on February 28, 2004 at 11:10 PM.]

 

[Kapusta]

Kojak on 3 of your games,early action, take a look at Dayton it's a steal today. Their gonna wax the explorers. Like a few of the night games as well. Good Luck on your plays today!

 

[mickj]

Any higher rated? Thanks

 

[jaypaw]

I know its probably too late but I gotta warn you with TTU - you are playing with fire man...

If you are confident then I wish you luck - but if theres any way I can sway you off that one I'd like to know:

Almost every team Texas has hosted this year has lost by 12 or more. That list includes - Kansas, Oklahoma, Colorado, and Wake...

Im not saying take texas but my guess is that TTU will have yet another rough time competing on the road.

 

[Kojak]

kapusta,

I will take a look at Dayton. Best of luck on your card today. Which 3 games do we agree?

 

[Kojak]

mickj,

I put above your post the 3 games I like the most so far today. Hope that helps.gl

 

[Kojak]

jaypaw,

I am very confident on TT though I am going against the grain. This game is a national tv game which I think will help keep the game competitive. Best of luck. PS I will put less on the game though as a result of your feelings.

 

[Kapusta]

Illinois, Cinci, Col.St. early. Love the Nevada play think that will be a 5* for me along with Fairfield! Good Luck!

 

[jwblue]

Kojak:

That Memphis +8 seems too easy. I am on it as well though.

Good luck to us.

IS

 

[jstu11]

Excellent looking card my brother

Best of luck to ya

I'm all over St.Joe's -5.5 half
St.Joe's -11 game

PEACE

 

[Kojak]

Ball Breaker,

Best of luck with your card today and also with your St. Joe's plays.

 

[Kojak]

In Spades,

Getting that many points with the better team imo in Memphis is a gift. Best of luck to us.