Other UFC bets:
Manny -110 over Nate Diaz
Manny's short and stout and is going to be hard for Diaz to sub. The only way I see Nate winning is by decision but he hasn't shown he's strong enough to take a guy like Manny down, much less hold him there. The only way I see Diaz winning is if he just runs from Manny all day and keeps his distance and just uses the jab. I can't see a Diaz brother fighting a fight like that. Manny via decision. Should be -150.
Emerson +321 over Gray Maynard
Emerson showed decent takedown defense and he's experienced. Gray looks very good but he's still really new to the sport. Gray probably wins, but should not be this big of a dog at all.
Lauzon at -530 over Melendez is a nice bet but I'm not gonna touch the juice. Melendez will keep it standing and Lauzon will likely catch him. If not, Lauzon can take him down at will and GNP him. I like Melendez, he actually beat my roommate about 8 months ago, but that's a bad matchup for him. I'm not betting it, but it has some value if huge favs are someone's bag.