Kidman232's Season Long Beaver Ball Thread

[kidman232]

thought we had it after the 3rd qtr, all good things must come to an end, only to start another one tomorrow.

wnba record: 15-3

 

[kidman232]

atl dream over 168

 

[kidman232]

liberty -1 1h

fever/liberty over 71.5 1h

liberty -2.5

mystics -5

 

[Donkwin47]

GL, Kidman.. Let's get another winning day!

 

[kidman232]

GL, Kidman.. Let's get another winning day!

one can only hope. a day in green is always a good day

 

[gynecologist]

Lines moved the other way a little today.. GL kidman.

 

[kidman232]

yea, always nice to get the best line possible, but its not the first time this yr i won't.

ny 1h plays basically breaks down to ny over 36 1h when you think about it, they hit 36, can't lose both

 

[barman]

K, do you have a source for last year's (and any previous if possible) 1H and 2H performances?

Covers provides that data for season in progress, but it's not useful until probably third to mid-season

 

[kidman232]

sky/mystics over 76.5 2h

 

[kidman232]

barman- ill see what I can come up with for you, with roster changes and coaching changes (a lot most off seasons), i dont know how much id go off of last years stats, without a sound knowledge of the players on the current roster and their style

 

[barman]

thanks

I'm taking the 2H Under in WAS.....but don't worry...with my modestly endowed Unit size, you'll hardly feel a thing

 

[kidman232]

no fever/liberty 2h

 

[kidman232]

dream/stars over 82.5 2h line dropped when i entered it, had to reconfirm

1/16 from three combined, basically no free throws 1h, not a bad pace. ill take my chances

 

[kidman232]

rather surprised pinnacle has dropped from 83 to 81.5

 

[Donkwin47]

I got 81.5.. Nice start to the 2H with each team nailing a 3.. The Wash/Chi 2H over cashes by the hook to get back the Mystics loss, hopefully this 2H over can get back the game over so we can profit after the NY Liberty's pathetic collapse at home in the 4th..

 

[kidman232]

yea, not sure what the frick ny did in that fourth qtr, i was not following it closely, was watching ufc. they were up 80-77 with under 3 when i refreshed. Went back a few mins later and indiana had scored 7 straight and only 23 seconds left

 

[Donkwin47]

UFC.. Nice. I have a friend who is my age (just turned 21) but he is a legit MMA sharp. He's actually a pro poker player that used to play $5k HU sit n go's all day.. He just came in 4th in a WSOP event ($200k+ cash) after 2nd in HPT ($80k+)a couple weeks ago.. Also made the FT of the PCA ($10k buy in) for over a quarter mil ($300k, I had a stake in him for that! ), really shoulda won a Mil + (legitimately) but took a bad beat.. Anyways.. 2 big bets for him tonight.. Munoz and Dos Santos. I always ride with him, and we always kill it. UFC 130 we had Story +190 and Browne in a near pick'em getting the 1st round KO. I like Munoz cuz I booked it at -110 and now it's -143.. JDS is standin' pat and Carwin has revamped and made adjustments, so we could get surprised, but I like our chances at 2-0. I'd suggest hopping on..

 

[kidman232]

i like both of those picks as well. I also like under 1 1/2 rounds in the carwin fight. I dont think were going to see too many take down attempts and I expect someone to get clipped after a minute or two of feeling out. Carwin dropping weight will hurt his wrestling/take downs in my mind, leading to a more standing match than possibly before

 

[kidman232]

4-3 night, think it could have been better, the only bet I feel bad about was the mystics -5. but 4-3 puts us in the green and thats the goal.

wnba record: 19-6

 

[Donkwin47]

Nice 2H over hit in SA/ATL.. If it werent for that 13-12 2nd quarter the game soars over.. Still got to 160 with that. Typical variance..

Munoz about to start.. Up to -162, higher than Dos Santos, lol.. You on this one, Kidman?

EDIT: Wow! Munoz now -190 on Pinny!