Coming off of back to back winning weeks in college and now 9-5 the last two weeks, hopefully the positive momentum will continue this weekend, after a sluggish start to the season.
Home team in caps.
S CAROLINA -7.5 Kentucky
A fundamental mismatch in this game with one team being able to run the ball, the opposing team not being able to stop the run and our running team playing solid defense. That, along with a fair line, makes this play an easy one. S. Carolina is running the ball very well, including a 217 yard effort (4.9 ypr) against a very good Tennessee rush defense (3.5 ypr against teams averaging 3.9 ypr) on Tennessee's home field. S. Carolina has rushed for 200+ yards in three of the last four games, with the only non 200 yard effort at Georgia against a very tough Georgia defense. They shouldn't have any problem rushing against a Kentucky rush defense that is allowing 4.6 ypr against teams averaging only 3.9 ypr. Kentucky has faced two solid rushing offenses, like S. Carolina (4.5 ypr against 4.1 ypr) and they allowed Louisville to gain 240 yards (5.5 ypr) and Alabama to gain 269 yards (5.1 ypr). They lost to Louisville by 16 and to Alabama by 10. S. Carolina isn't throwing the ball very well, averaging just 6.5 yps against teams allowing 6.6 yps but they should have some success in the air against a porous Kentucky pass defense, which is allowing 7.7 yps against teams averaging just 7.0 yps. And, Kentucky has only faced one good passing team, which was Louisville. All of their other opponents are about average throwing the ball. Meanwhile, the Kentucky offense has been below average all year, gaining just 5.0 yppl against teams allowing 5.3 yppl. And, I don't see them moving the ball against a very good S. Carolina defense (4.3 yppl against 5.1 yppl), which is especially efficient at stopping the pass, allowing just 5.2 yps against teams averaging 6.8 yps. Kentucky could only muster 17 points against a good Alabama defense on the road and I don't see them getting much more against S. Carolina, knowing the Gamecocks will control the clock with their running game and put plenty of points on the board as well. Better offense and defense, at home, having played the tougher schedule, laying a short number and my numbers indicating a 15 to 17 point S. Carolina victory. S. Carolina also qualifies in a 73-23-2 fundamental rushing situation. S CAROLINA 33 KENTUCKY 16
YTD 13-16-1 -12.00%
2% S CAROLINA -7.5
Home team in caps.
S CAROLINA -7.5 Kentucky
A fundamental mismatch in this game with one team being able to run the ball, the opposing team not being able to stop the run and our running team playing solid defense. That, along with a fair line, makes this play an easy one. S. Carolina is running the ball very well, including a 217 yard effort (4.9 ypr) against a very good Tennessee rush defense (3.5 ypr against teams averaging 3.9 ypr) on Tennessee's home field. S. Carolina has rushed for 200+ yards in three of the last four games, with the only non 200 yard effort at Georgia against a very tough Georgia defense. They shouldn't have any problem rushing against a Kentucky rush defense that is allowing 4.6 ypr against teams averaging only 3.9 ypr. Kentucky has faced two solid rushing offenses, like S. Carolina (4.5 ypr against 4.1 ypr) and they allowed Louisville to gain 240 yards (5.5 ypr) and Alabama to gain 269 yards (5.1 ypr). They lost to Louisville by 16 and to Alabama by 10. S. Carolina isn't throwing the ball very well, averaging just 6.5 yps against teams allowing 6.6 yps but they should have some success in the air against a porous Kentucky pass defense, which is allowing 7.7 yps against teams averaging just 7.0 yps. And, Kentucky has only faced one good passing team, which was Louisville. All of their other opponents are about average throwing the ball. Meanwhile, the Kentucky offense has been below average all year, gaining just 5.0 yppl against teams allowing 5.3 yppl. And, I don't see them moving the ball against a very good S. Carolina defense (4.3 yppl against 5.1 yppl), which is especially efficient at stopping the pass, allowing just 5.2 yps against teams averaging 6.8 yps. Kentucky could only muster 17 points against a good Alabama defense on the road and I don't see them getting much more against S. Carolina, knowing the Gamecocks will control the clock with their running game and put plenty of points on the board as well. Better offense and defense, at home, having played the tougher schedule, laying a short number and my numbers indicating a 15 to 17 point S. Carolina victory. S. Carolina also qualifies in a 73-23-2 fundamental rushing situation. S CAROLINA 33 KENTUCKY 16
YTD 13-16-1 -12.00%
2% S CAROLINA -7.5
