Kentucky Derby 5/3/14

[Gravy]

Ok everybody this is the Super Bowl of horse racing as we have the Kentuicky Derby on Saturday.Feel free to share your thoughts and picks on this race and please make this thread pleasant as this thread is to help you out making out your selections on this race:

140TH KENTUCKY DERBY​

PP		HORSE		TRAINER		JOCKEY		ODDS
1		Vicar's In Trouble		Mike Maker		Rosie Napravnik		30-1
2		Harry's Holiday		Mike Maker		Corey Lanerie		50-1
3		Uncle Sigh		Gary Contessa		Irad Ortiz Jr.		30-1
4		Danza		Todd Pletcher		Joe Bravo		10-1
5		California Chrome		Art Sherman		Victor Espinoza		5-2
6		Samraat		Rick Violette Jr.		Jose Ortiz		15-1
7		We Miss Artie		Todd Pletcher		Javier Castellano		50-1
8		General a Rod		Mike Maker		Joel Rosario		15-1
9		Vinceremos		Todd Pletcher		Joe Rocco Jr.		30-1
10		Wildcat Red		Jose Garoffalo		Luis Saez		15-1
11		Hoppertunity		Bob Baffert		Mike Smith		6-1
12		Dance With Fate		Peter Eurton		Corey Nakatani		20-1
13		Chitu		Bob Baffert		Martin Garcia		20-1
14		Medal Count		Dale Romans		Robby Albarado		20-1
15		Tapiture		Steve Asmussen		Ricardo Santana Jr.		15-1
16		Intense Holiday		Todd Pletcher		John Velazquez		12-1
17		Commanding Curve		Dallas Stewart		Shaun Bridgmohan		50-1
18		Candy Boy		John Sadler		Gary Stevens		20-1
19		Ride On Curlin		Bill Gowan		Calvin Borel		15-1
20		Wicked Strong		James Jerkens		Rajiv Maragh		8-1
		Also-Eligible
		Pablo del Monte		Wesley Ward				50-1

 

[Gravy]

Here is a link to the past performances for this race:

http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_viewer.php?track=CD&race=11&param1=3740&param2=204&param3=1484318

 

[Gravy]

By the way the #11 Hoppertunity is now scratched

 

[thekeyman]

gravy just give me the winner of the race,hopefully it is one with value to it,lol,...but seriously i just want a good winner,im not playing any exoctic's .....thanks pal

 

[Gravy]

gravy just give me the winner of the race,hopefully it is one with value to it,lol,...but seriously i just want a good winner,im not playing any exoctic's .....thanks pal

OK Im still working on the Derby as I have down to 5 horses who can win so I will have something for you on Saturday morning as your making it hard on me bud to come up with 1 horse

 

[thekeyman]

OK Im still working on the Derby as I have down to 5 horses who can win so I will have something for you on Saturday morning as your making it hard on me bud to come up with 1 horse

​hahaha,i like that comment,..okay ill go this way,give me your top 3 horses after you figure it out,..i guess it was too much to ask for the precise horse out of 20,...thanks my friend

 

[Akillies]

Been 23 Derby favorites made 5-2 or shorter on the ML since 1980. The only one that won was Fusaichi Pegasus in 2000

chalk burner

 

[JoeBrasco]

Been 23 Derby favorites made 5-2 or shorter on the ML since 1980. The only one that won was Fusaichi Pegasus in 2000

chalk burner

Big Brown?

 

[Akillies]

some significant stuff from andy beyer:

The favorite’s prospects at 1 1/4 miles also are uncertain. For much of Derby history, pedigree was a crucial factor; horses needed the right genes to succeed at 10 furlongs. In recent years, this requirement has diminished in importance. Nevertheless, California Chrome’s bloodlines are unusually weak. His sire, Lucky Pulpit, never won a race longer than 5 1/2 furlongs.

 

[Akillies]

California Chrome is quick. He’s not a one-dimensional front-runner, but in his last two victories he was on or near the lead over a racetrack that favored horses with his style. (On the day of the Santa Anita Derby, six of the seven dirt races were won by horses who took a clear lead or dueled for the lead.)

 

[Akillies]

"As expected, undefeated Florida Derby winner Big Brown was sent off as the heavy favorite at 5-2, breaking out of post 20."

i think his point was heavy fav's do very poorly in the derby, bb did pay $6.80, but its hard to write/read 2.4/1

 

[Akillies]

what is your best guess at chromes odds?
9/5?

 

[Gravy]

Just a quick update the AE of Pablo del Monte is now scartched

 

[thekeyman]

id like to go bet it tonight and avoid the madness at the track tomorrow

 

[Gravy]

id like to go bet it tonight and avoid the madness at the track tomorrow

Ok no particular order Keyman and dont kill me if none of these hit

#5 California Chrome
#6 Samratt
#16 Intense Holiday

 

[thekeyman]

Ok no particular order Keyman and dont kill me if none of these hit

#5 California Chrome
#6 Samratt
#16 Intense Holiday

you know better than that buddy,..i would never call you out on any picks you give me,thanks a bunch and good luck with all you wagers


one question,...what do you think about medal count

 

[Gravy]

you know better than that buddy,..i would never call you out on any picks you give me,thanks a bunch and good luck with all you wagers


one question,...what do you think about medal count

Best place would be either 3rd or 4th as I dont see that horse winning if that is what you want to know

 

[wabashwonders]

Ride On Curlin WPS

Intense Holiday WPS