Keep your eyes on these 6 states. If Obama wins 1 of these, he wins the election

[gtc08]

Missouri: 11
Virginia: 13
North Carolina: 15
Florida: 27
Indiana: 11
Ohio: 20

 

[hater]

he's got it

 

[gtc08]

yea i think so to.

virginia is almost a gimmie right now.
ill give indiana and missouri to mccain even though i think missouri is a toss up.
cant believe im saying this, but i think north carolina and florida are going blue as well.
ohio like ive said from the beginning i have no idea.

 

[3peet]

I see it like this. Virgina will turn to lean by end of next week to push him over then Florida turns it into a sure thing.

 

[Sekrah]

We'll know real quick on November 4th who will win this.

Kentucky and Indiana close at 7pm.. When the results show McCain winning Indiana by double-digits, we can all goto bed and wake up to President-elect John McCain.


It was funny in 2004.. News idiots were watching Virginia closely telling us it was too close to call and this was horrible news for Bush.. Checking the county numbers I could see he was ahead of his 2000 vote totals. I knew it was in the bag pretty quickly right there.

 

[D2bets]

Missouri: 11
Virginia: 13
North Carolina: 15
Florida: 27
Indiana: 11
Ohio: 20

It's funny how things have changed in favor of Obama. Yes, any of those would work but he could lose all of those and still win pretty easy. All he has to do is hold Kerry (252) states (and he will) and pick up Iowa (easy 7), Colorado (9) and New Mexico (5), that's 273. Of course he's going to win a bunch of those 6 so that won't need to be the route, but this just goes to show this is a 10-team parlay for McCain.

 

[D2bets]

We'll know real quick on November 4th who will win this.

Kentucky and Indiana close at 7pm.. When the results show McCain winning Indiana by double-digits, we can all goto bed and wake up to President-elect John McCain.


It was funny in 2004.. News idiots were watching Virginia closely telling us it was too close to call and this was horrible news for Bush.. Checking the county numbers I could see he was ahead of his 2000 vote totals. I knew it was in the bag pretty quickly right there.

Haha hilarious. Yeah, all McCain needs is a big Indiana win. Boy are you clueless. Obama can win real quick but if McCain is to pull it off we will have to know the late results from the west (CO, NM, NV) for him to have any chance.

 

[cussin'it]

Virginia closes at 7 pm too. By that time you'll not need to watch Faux any longer since it's over.

 

[gtc08]

yea, i was just saying if obama won any of those states, which mccain has to win all, then obama wins.

obama can still win with colorado and new mexico which is a lock.

 

[D2bets]

yea, i was just saying if obama won any of those states, which mccain has to win all, then obama wins.

obama can still win with colorado and new mexico which is a lock.

I think those are locks too. Maybe McCain could steal away NH, though I doubt it. Then we would back into that 269 tie scenario (Kerry 252 -4NH +7IA +9CO +5NM = 269). That is the BEST BEST BEST BEST case scenario for Mac, and he would still eventually lose.

 

[gtc08]

nothing out there to indicate mccain has a shot in NH. i agree new mexico is safe. colorado i think obama is up 4 in the rcp avg.

 

[Sekrah]

Haha hilarious. Yeah, all McCain needs is a big Indiana win. Boy are you clueless. Obama can win real quick but if McCain is to pull it off we will have to know the late results from the west (CO, NM, NV) for him to have any chance.

Nonsense as usual. If McCain is outperforming the polls in Indiana, we're going to see Bradley effect all over the country.

 

[Mistermj]

I think those are locks too. Maybe McCain could steal away NH, though I doubt it. Then we would back into that 269 tie scenario (Kerry 252 -4NH +7IA +9CO +5NM = 269). That is the BEST BEST BEST BEST case scenario for Mac, and he would still eventually lose.

Locks...I love that word.

Red Alert...red alert...upset specials coming right up.

Lost half of my survivor pool Monday night...Giants were a lock...couldn't possibly lose straight up to Clevland.

:cripwalk:

 

[3peet]

Locks...I love that word.

Red Alert...red alert...upset specials coming right up.

Lost half of my survivor pool Monday night...Giants were a lock...couldn't possibly lose straight up to Clevland.

:cripwalk:

Nah. I saw New York getting bitchslapped a mile away. Clevland paid handsomely.

 

[Sekrah]

nothing out there to indicate mccain has a shot in NH. i agree new mexico is safe. colorado i think obama is up 4 in the rcp avg.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=a8255cdc-82a4-4a10-8cf2-063b666e514c&c=24

New Hampshire SurveyUSA sample.

39% Independent
34% Democrat
26% Republican


2004 NH Electorate: 44% Independant, 32% Republican, 25% Democrat

McCain is down 9 to Indies in this poll. Bush lost Indies by 14 to Kerry. Bush lost the state by 1%.


Again, if you keep wanting to pushing bogus polls, be my guest. You're going to be that much disappointed on election day.

 

[Sekrah]

Then we would back into that 269 tie scenario (Kerry 252 -4NH +7IA +9CO +5NM = 269). That is the BEST BEST BEST BEST case scenario for Mac, and he would still eventually lose.

Which is why he's going after Maine's 2nd district, which has a good chance to fall into his column IMO.

 

[gtc08]

Which is why he's going after Maine's 2nd district, which has a good chance to fall into his column IMO.

i pretty much discard what you say after you proclaimed an easy pennsylvania win for mccain.

you dont know what your talking about. you support mccain which is fine, but you don't think realistically in regards to his slight chance of winning. if you want to think that way, go ahead think that way.

in your world mccain is up 5 in PA.

<table class="data"><tbody><tr><th class="noCenter">Poll</th><th class="date">Date</th><th>Sample</th><th>Obama (D)</th><th>McCain (R)</th><th class="spread">Spread</th></tr><tr class="rcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">RCP Average</td><td>10/05 - 10/15</td><td>--</td><td>53.8</td><td>39.8</td><td class="spread">Obama +14.0</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Morning Call Tracking</td><td>10/11 - 10/15</td><td>595 LV</td><td>53</td><td>37</td><td class="spread">Obama +16</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">SurveyUSA</td><td>10/11 - 10/13</td><td>516 LV</td><td>55</td><td>40</td><td class="spread">Obama +15</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Marist</td><td>10/05 - 10/08</td><td>757 LV</td><td>53</td><td>41</td><td class="spread">Obama +12</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">Strategic Vision (R)</td><td>10/05 - 10/07</td><td>1200 LV</td><td>54</td><td>40</td><td class="spread">Obama +14</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Rasmussen</td><td>10/06 - 10/06</td><td>700 LV</td><td>54</td><td>41</td><td class="spread">Obama +13</td></tr></tbody></table>See All Pennsylvania: McCain vs. Obama Polling Data
Intrade Market Prices for Pennsylvania: McCain vs. Obama

<table class="data"><tbody><tr><th> </th><th>Obama</th><th>McCain</th><th> </th></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Intrade Real Time Quotes</td><td><iframe src="http://www.intrade.com/promo/Affiliates/sites/realclearpolitics.com/mdInfo.jsp?contractId=416595&valueName=lastTradePrice" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0" frameborder="0" height="17" scrolling="no" width="35"></iframe>
</td><td><iframe src="http://www.intrade.com/promo/Affiliates/sites/realclearpolitics.com/mdInfo.jsp?contractId=416597&valueName=lastTradePrice" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0" frameborder="0" height="17" scrolling="no" width="35"></iframe>
</td><td class="spread">(See More Data)</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[cussin'it]

Oh wait, didn't you guys realize....McPalin is gonna run the table on the battleground states, flip Maine, flip Penn, and flip Caul-i-for-ni-a.

would be the ultimate dog win in history. (if he managed to win just Penn)

Fuck.

 

[D2bets]

Which is why he's going after Maine's 2nd district, which has a good chance to fall into his column IMO.

And Obama is going after a district in Nebraska.

 

[Sekrah]

Morning Call poll has a 14% democrat edge (53-39) when it was 2 (41-39) in 2000, and never more than 5 any other year.

The Survey USA has a 19% democrat edge (54-35)


How can you post with a straight face and think they are anything close to legimate samples?

2006 - 43-38
2004 - 41-39


53-54% democrats? 35% republicans?

These polls are BOGUS! Just like the ones that had Gore up 12 on Bush and Clinton up 20 on Dole in this state.