Everyone's heard of the KISS method...Simplify, don't try to weigh so many factors. I feel like sometimes when I weigh many factors, I dilute the really important ones that I initially had thought about. So, I am siding with one factor for WCW: Betting on the teams that have beaten actual playoff squads against teams who haven't beaten shit.
*Indy/ SF/NO*
We all know Indy beat quite a few top tier teams, no need to list. SF beat Seattle and GB with AR. NO beat San Fran/Car.
Chiefs- Have only beaten ONE playoff team all year, and that was the Eagles with Vick back in week three when the Eagles stunk(Vick threw 2 INTs and a fumble) and KC was playing well to boot. So technically they have not beaten anyone, because the Eagles with Vick were NOT a playoff team so to me the Chiefs have "ZERO" wins against playoff teams.
Eagles- Have beaten ONE playoff team, and that was the packers the week after AR was hurt. GB one week removed from a AR injury (Tolzen/Wallace were Qbs) is not a playoff team. So therefore, they also have beaten "zero" playoff teams.
Green Bay- Has beaten ZERO playoff teams. Not even a fake win here.
Basically what we have here is INDY/SF/NO each have beaten at least two playoff teams, and their matchup is against teams that havent beaten a playoff team this whole season. I just feel like, if these teams haven't done it in 17 weeks, what makes this week so different?
For what its worth on other game, I like CIN at 7. CIN is stellar at home and San Diego is meh on the road, just 4-4. Everyone keeps bringing up the Bronco game, and if you look at how they preformed on the road this year, THAT game is the anomaly. Every other game on the road this year has been a subpar showing mins Jax and KC a div opponent. Losses at Oakland, Tenn, Wash..ugh.
I think a good stat I am going to look up is Dalton after throwing 2INT+ games, see if he bounces back or not historically. I just see CIN as a very good run stopping D and SD is not going to be able to mythodically go down the field like they want to. They are going to have to throw the ball down the field, which can be good or bad, but one thing that usually helps is the over:think1:
*Indy/ SF/NO*
We all know Indy beat quite a few top tier teams, no need to list. SF beat Seattle and GB with AR. NO beat San Fran/Car.
Chiefs- Have only beaten ONE playoff team all year, and that was the Eagles with Vick back in week three when the Eagles stunk(Vick threw 2 INTs and a fumble) and KC was playing well to boot. So technically they have not beaten anyone, because the Eagles with Vick were NOT a playoff team so to me the Chiefs have "ZERO" wins against playoff teams.
Eagles- Have beaten ONE playoff team, and that was the packers the week after AR was hurt. GB one week removed from a AR injury (Tolzen/Wallace were Qbs) is not a playoff team. So therefore, they also have beaten "zero" playoff teams.
Green Bay- Has beaten ZERO playoff teams. Not even a fake win here.
Basically what we have here is INDY/SF/NO each have beaten at least two playoff teams, and their matchup is against teams that havent beaten a playoff team this whole season. I just feel like, if these teams haven't done it in 17 weeks, what makes this week so different?
For what its worth on other game, I like CIN at 7. CIN is stellar at home and San Diego is meh on the road, just 4-4. Everyone keeps bringing up the Bronco game, and if you look at how they preformed on the road this year, THAT game is the anomaly. Every other game on the road this year has been a subpar showing mins Jax and KC a div opponent. Losses at Oakland, Tenn, Wash..ugh.
I think a good stat I am going to look up is Dalton after throwing 2INT+ games, see if he bounces back or not historically. I just see CIN as a very good run stopping D and SD is not going to be able to mythodically go down the field like they want to. They are going to have to throw the ball down the field, which can be good or bad, but one thing that usually helps is the over:think1:
