Jumping on Cin/Hou OVER 9.5 O/L

Search

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
1,869
Tokens
The overnight line will go up tomorrow. Trends for both these teams is OVER. Houston has the bats to score most if not all 10-runs needed vs. Claussen 8.53 ERA L3 starts, Clemens 5.95 ERA L3 starts. Perhaps Clemens age wearing on him towards end of season? No doubt he's still a good pitcher, but he will give up his 3-4 runs and Cincy offense is decent although the team can't win. Why? No starting pitching and no bullpen.

Taking OVER w/Cincy you're never out of it b/c you can always get 5 late runs vs. shoddy bullpen. Astros get at least 7 runs here and Cincy should get us the rest of the way if Astros don't do it themselves.

Also, day game in Houston with warmer weather and open roof the ball should be flying farther than usual. It is also supposed to rain tonight, clearing the air. Some don't look at weather except in exterme cases but there is value in consider weather, temperature, air resistance, etc. for that extra edge.
 

The Straightshooter
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
7,118
Tokens
i like it....looks like a 9-5 or 10-6 game to me
 

New member
Joined
Feb 20, 2002
Messages
2,200
Tokens
Home plate ump is Gerry Davis. Davis has 2nd highest BB/K ratio of any ump in baseball for last 8 seasons. Houston has scored 7 or more in 7 straight vs Reds.
1036316054.gif
 

New member
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
1,403
Tokens
icon_cool.gif
I JUST WENT TO PLAYERS SB.AND THEY DON'T EVEN HAVE THE GAME UP. DAMM THAT SUCKS. GLTU THE DUDE :)&gt
icon_wink.gif
~
canttouchthis.gif
 

New member
Joined
Nov 21, 2002
Messages
2,187
Tokens
pitching change for cincy
acevado last 3 starts 6.48 era
clemens last 3 starts 5.95
still looks like the play
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
322
Tokens
Not really seeing this, guys...Clemens came close to pitching a no-run game against the Pirates and won't be left in through the 7th again. Acevedo had a nice game against Arizona.

"Over" and Clemens doesn't ring right to me. I did see the line creep to 10.5 and it's now settled at 10.
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
1,869
Tokens
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by Royler:
Acevedo had a nice game against Arizona. <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
If I didn't know you were serious, I'd think you were joking. Arizona offense has made minor league pitchers look like Cy Young this year!

Although I much preferred Claussen and my 9.5 -110 line, Acevedo should get the job done for us. Acevedo pitching means it's going to be a busy bullpen day for the reds.

Houston gets 5-6 runs off Acevedo and a few more off the bullpen. Cincy should be able to get at least 3 (despite how bad this team is playing they do have a decent offense).
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
1,869
Tokens
May be silly stat but, when Orlando Palmeiro is in the game, Houston has gone OVER 8-of-L9, 13-of-L15.
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
1,869
Tokens
Line went from OVER 10 -109 to OVER 10 +104 at Pinny, prolly as bettors are noticing Beltran is out.
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
1,869
Tokens
I'm telling you guys, weather angles are not to be ignored.

Muwahahaha!!!!
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
5
Tokens
Damn, so far nice call dottom. I followed the over on this one. So far 2-1 1st inning!!!
 

New member
Joined
Nov 20, 2003
Messages
2,002
Tokens
Biggio, Bagwell and Berkmen all go yard in the first. 3-1 with 1 out bottom of 1
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
1,869
Tokens
And Lamb... after Kent walked.

Ball is FLYING with weather today and clear air (no wind resistance).
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
322
Tokens
*4* homers in the first!

Dottom, I call 'em like I see 'em, and I call that you know your shit.

Any other weather angles today?
 

Banned
Joined
Jun 25, 2002
Messages
4,684
Tokens
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR> lets get the over in the first inning <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

icon_smile.gif


I got this parlayed with the st louis game being over 8.5. Every time I have watched wells pitch at home he has given up a ton of runs. That was my reasoning.

Am I safe??
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,875
Messages
13,574,531
Members
100,879
Latest member
am_sports
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com