Favorites: 52-25 for +18.06 units
Underdogs: 19-9 +15.64 units
Total: 71-34 for +33.70
Well, I screwed up yesterday. Went 3-4 and lost a little under a half a unit. But I feel great about today. Lots of games I like and will be adding some soon. Want to get the 1.5 unit play out on the Braves now because this line will only rise IMO.
Atlanta -145: I've been hesitant to pay the juice for Hudson so far this season. But no more. The guy is pitching lights out and has never lost to Florida. In 8 starts, he's 5-0 against the Marlins (52 IPs) with a 1.90 ERA, a 1.15 WHIP, and a .224 BAA. In 4 starts in Dolphin Stadium he's 3-0 with a 2.19 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .239 BAA. While he's put up slightly better numbers at home throughout his career, he clearly isn't that affected by playing on the road.
Olsen is taking the hill for the Marlins. While he's got a lot of promise, I don't think he can tame this offense the way they're playing. He's had a lot of trouble against the Braves in the past (1-3, 11.02 ERA, 2.02 WHIP, & .328 BAA in 4 starts) and this offense has never been hotter. The Braves have been winning at home and on the road so I don't think that's a big factor here. Both offenses are playing great right now, but we know that Hudson can shut this team down. This number is only going to get higher but is readily available on Matchbook. 2.18 to win 1.5.
Underdogs: 19-9 +15.64 units
Total: 71-34 for +33.70
Well, I screwed up yesterday. Went 3-4 and lost a little under a half a unit. But I feel great about today. Lots of games I like and will be adding some soon. Want to get the 1.5 unit play out on the Braves now because this line will only rise IMO.
Atlanta -145: I've been hesitant to pay the juice for Hudson so far this season. But no more. The guy is pitching lights out and has never lost to Florida. In 8 starts, he's 5-0 against the Marlins (52 IPs) with a 1.90 ERA, a 1.15 WHIP, and a .224 BAA. In 4 starts in Dolphin Stadium he's 3-0 with a 2.19 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .239 BAA. While he's put up slightly better numbers at home throughout his career, he clearly isn't that affected by playing on the road.
Olsen is taking the hill for the Marlins. While he's got a lot of promise, I don't think he can tame this offense the way they're playing. He's had a lot of trouble against the Braves in the past (1-3, 11.02 ERA, 2.02 WHIP, & .328 BAA in 4 starts) and this offense has never been hotter. The Braves have been winning at home and on the road so I don't think that's a big factor here. Both offenses are playing great right now, but we know that Hudson can shut this team down. This number is only going to get higher but is readily available on Matchbook. 2.18 to win 1.5.