Post 6/27/07 record:
Favorites: 1-0 for +1 units.
Underdogs: 2-2 for +0.92 units.
Total: 3-2 for +1.92 units.
Totals: 0-0 for 0 units.
Run lines: 0-0 for 0 units.
Pre 6/27/07 record:
Favorites: 156-106 for +5.61 units.
Underdogs: 63-71 for +11.82 units.
Total: 219-177 for 17.43.
Totals: 5-2 for 3.33 units.
________________________________________________________
I'm just splitting my record up for the time being as a mental thing. Not sure why, but I think that starting "fresh" at zero units might be good for me. Both records are listed though, and it's not like I'm trying to forget a terrible first half, as I still was in the black. I'll likely just combine them after awhile, but I'm hoping this will give me a mental boost.
So yesterday was a very weird day. Could have easily won every game, and could have easily lost every game. When playing mostly dogs, that's usually a good thing though. And it turned out nice going 3-2 for +1.92 units. Got screwed earlier in the season with the Cubs/Pirates game, so it feels good to get one back like the O's game. On to today. These are both official plays that I am putting in as I type this.
Cardinals +132: Something seems fishy about this line, but I can't resist. Bronson Arroyo is just horrible this year at home. Hitters have caught up to his stuff and have been pounding him lately, but yet he's favored with this line? St. Louis is nothing special to be sure, but they have a solid pitcher going tonight and happen to not have the fewest wins in baseball, as the Reds do. Cincinatti is a measly 14-23 at home this year, and Arroyo has had a lot to do with that. In 7 starts at home this year, he is 1-3 with a 7.17 ERA, a 1.75 WHIP, and a .300 BAA. In his last 9 starts overall, he's 0-7 with a 7.28 ERA and a .345 BAA. And finally, he hasn't had much success in the past against St. Louis. So why is he favored over Wainwright, who's sporting a 2.91 ERA in his last 7 starts? Got me. 1 unit to win 1.32.
Diamondbacks +124: After a tough series with the Dodgers, Arizona will look to get back on track against the woeful Giants tonight. And the only reason that they're dogs in this game is because they'll be facing Matt Morris. But IMO, he's not nearly enough reason to make the last place Giants favored at this price over a team that is a half game out of the division lead and that is 10 games over .500. Morris has been a nice story so far this year, but I don't think he'll continue the impressive season much longer. And I like the fact that the D-Backs just got a chance to see him a couple weeks ago. I can't see him matching the great performance he put up against them last time around.
Arizona sends Livan Hernandez to the hill tonight, and I think he has a god shot at getting back on track now that he gets to face weak NL offenses again. Hernandez has been horrible in his last 3 starts, going 0-3 with a 7.67 ERA and a .371 BAA. But that was somewhat expected. After all, who would really back the old vet against 3 solid AL East offenses? As we saw in the 5 games prior to that interleague stretch, Hernandez is much better against the pitcher-friendly National League. In his previous 5 games, he had gone 2-1 while giving up only 11 ERs in 37 innings against SF, NYM, Houston, and back to back starts against Colorado. Finally, Hernandez comes in with a 2.82 ERA against the Giants in 10 starts. Should be a tight game but in the end I think the far better team takes this one. 1 unit to win 1.24.
Will be back in a bit as I continue to sift through today's card.
Favorites: 1-0 for +1 units.
Underdogs: 2-2 for +0.92 units.
Total: 3-2 for +1.92 units.
Totals: 0-0 for 0 units.
Run lines: 0-0 for 0 units.
Pre 6/27/07 record:
Favorites: 156-106 for +5.61 units.
Underdogs: 63-71 for +11.82 units.
Total: 219-177 for 17.43.
Totals: 5-2 for 3.33 units.
________________________________________________________
I'm just splitting my record up for the time being as a mental thing. Not sure why, but I think that starting "fresh" at zero units might be good for me. Both records are listed though, and it's not like I'm trying to forget a terrible first half, as I still was in the black. I'll likely just combine them after awhile, but I'm hoping this will give me a mental boost.
So yesterday was a very weird day. Could have easily won every game, and could have easily lost every game. When playing mostly dogs, that's usually a good thing though. And it turned out nice going 3-2 for +1.92 units. Got screwed earlier in the season with the Cubs/Pirates game, so it feels good to get one back like the O's game. On to today. These are both official plays that I am putting in as I type this.
Cardinals +132: Something seems fishy about this line, but I can't resist. Bronson Arroyo is just horrible this year at home. Hitters have caught up to his stuff and have been pounding him lately, but yet he's favored with this line? St. Louis is nothing special to be sure, but they have a solid pitcher going tonight and happen to not have the fewest wins in baseball, as the Reds do. Cincinatti is a measly 14-23 at home this year, and Arroyo has had a lot to do with that. In 7 starts at home this year, he is 1-3 with a 7.17 ERA, a 1.75 WHIP, and a .300 BAA. In his last 9 starts overall, he's 0-7 with a 7.28 ERA and a .345 BAA. And finally, he hasn't had much success in the past against St. Louis. So why is he favored over Wainwright, who's sporting a 2.91 ERA in his last 7 starts? Got me. 1 unit to win 1.32.
Diamondbacks +124: After a tough series with the Dodgers, Arizona will look to get back on track against the woeful Giants tonight. And the only reason that they're dogs in this game is because they'll be facing Matt Morris. But IMO, he's not nearly enough reason to make the last place Giants favored at this price over a team that is a half game out of the division lead and that is 10 games over .500. Morris has been a nice story so far this year, but I don't think he'll continue the impressive season much longer. And I like the fact that the D-Backs just got a chance to see him a couple weeks ago. I can't see him matching the great performance he put up against them last time around.
Arizona sends Livan Hernandez to the hill tonight, and I think he has a god shot at getting back on track now that he gets to face weak NL offenses again. Hernandez has been horrible in his last 3 starts, going 0-3 with a 7.67 ERA and a .371 BAA. But that was somewhat expected. After all, who would really back the old vet against 3 solid AL East offenses? As we saw in the 5 games prior to that interleague stretch, Hernandez is much better against the pitcher-friendly National League. In his previous 5 games, he had gone 2-1 while giving up only 11 ERs in 37 innings against SF, NYM, Houston, and back to back starts against Colorado. Finally, Hernandez comes in with a 2.82 ERA against the Giants in 10 starts. Should be a tight game but in the end I think the far better team takes this one. 1 unit to win 1.24.
Will be back in a bit as I continue to sift through today's card.