Jets +2.5 - HUGE Pick among Hilton Guys.... & overall!

[DARKSCORPIONBOY]

But............ why do you think they get CRUSHED so badly ??? This was absolutely flat out embarassing.... 17 out of the TOP 27 cappers picked them too & 90% of EVERYONE in the Supercontest picked them as well, how could alllllllllll of these people be wrong? Because normally when there's such strong concensus on a game like this it covers!!Explanations welcome!!! PLEASE!!!

 

[theDonger]

Mods I'd love an IP check with this guy and The Out. If it's not too much to ask, just curious.

 

[sendacash]

I don't play in the Super Contest, but I'm guessing they were all just taking the line value of Jets +4.5 that was given early in the week and then re-dealt at +2.5 after the game was moved. Essentially they were getting they extra points for home field when game was being played on a neutral field.

 

[fade2win]

everybody figured bills would be shit with all they dealt with and no practice, WRONG

 

[JSHTAX]

But............ why do you think they get CRUSHED so badly ??? This was absolutely flat out embarassing.... 17 out of the TOP 27 cappers picked them too & 90% of EVERYONE in the Supercontest picked them as well, how could alllllllllll of these people be wrong? Because normally when there's such strong concensus on a game like this it covers!!Explanations welcome!!! PLEASE!!!

Because gambling is all luck no matter what we try to convince ourselves otherwise.

 

[DARKSCORPIONBOY]

I don't play in the Super Contest, but I'm guessing they were all just taking the line value of Jets +4.5 that was given early in the week and then re-dealt at +2.5 after the game was moved. Essentially they were getting they extra points for home field when game was being played on a neutral field.

Yes, but of course a good chunk of them also simply thought NYJ would win outright as well..... when the spread is so small the points hardly matter.

 

[Kaveman]

Good thing the Jets are a zillion times better, as Rex said.

 

[DARKSCORPIONBOY]

Because gambling is all luck no matter what we try to convince ourselves otherwise.

No it's not, you are wrong. If you disagree, then how are the Top 27 guys picking 70%+? If it's all "luck" like you foolishly proclaim, then the leader would not even be 50%.

 

[olballcoach]

I guess no one watched the first game these two teams played in New Jersey. Do you really think these freak athletes who train year around were gonna be effected by missing a couple of days practice? The stupidity is unreal.

 

[LENBO]

Yes, but of course a good chunk of them also simply thought NYJ would win outright as well..... when the spread is so small the points hardly matter.

4 1/2 is not a small spread .
Strictly a value play by contestants that didn't work out .

 

[JSHTAX]

I guess no one watched the first game these two teams played in New Jersey. Do you really think these freak athletes who train year around were gonna be effected by missing a couple of days practice? The stupidity is unreal.

probably helped them

 

[DARKSCORPIONBOY]

4 1/2 is not a small spread . Strictly a value play by contestants that didn't work out .

Uh yeah it is. Jets were +5 couple weeks ago against Pit and you know what? It didn't even matter bec Jets won outright! +4.5 it would still make sense to get the 4.5 points, but when the line is +2.5 or smaller I dont see why people bother playing that versus simply the MONEYLINE as you get much better value since it's rare that the underdog team loses by EXACTLY 1 or 2. There's a much higher chance that they'll simply win the game if they end up covering!

 

[LENBO]

Uh yeah it is. Jets were +5 couple weeks ago against Pit and you know what? It didn't even matter bec Jets won outright! +4.5 it would still make sense to get the 4.5 points, but when the line is +2.5 or smaller I dont see why people bother playing that versus simply the MONEYLINE as you get much better value since it's rare that the underdog team loses by EXACTLY 1 or 2. There's a much higher chance that they'll simply win the game if they end up covering!

No chance most of those guys are playing Jets at 2.5 . They played a stale line.
I don't understand why you're mentioning 2.5 line and Hilton guys in the same sentence.

 

[The Guesser]

It was an auto play. Teams involved weren't even relevant. A stale line of 4.5, vs the actual line of 2, 2.5. Didn't work out, but in a stale line contest like this, will always be used by an overwhelming % of the top contestants, because they know the other top guys will use them.

 

[MackDonald]

It's the NFL guys.....For the Saint backers, no-one can convince me that the (pic-6) Brees threw didn't take the wind out of the
N.O. sails......they never recovered.

 

[DARKSCORPIONBOY]

It was an auto play. Teams involved weren't even relevant. A stale line of 4.5, vs the actual line of 2, 2.5. Didn't work out, but in a stale line contest like this, will always be used by an overwhelming % of the top contestants, because they know the other top guys will use them.

Why autoplay though? How could the best cappers in a million dollar contest pick that line and be 40 points wrong?! Unbelievable because i've been following the top plays of the HILTON guys for the last 5 years and when it's that much consensus on one game it wins at a 70%+ clip!Well why would they use it unless than all really thought it'd be a close battle which it obviously wasn't? This is the 1st STRONG game this season in which the favored team really got wiped out.... last week it was CLE (at home) who should have beaten the Texans (8-1 consensus!) but that was hardly the case as well.....

 

[DARKSCORPIONBOY]

Hello? Not at all at once now...

 

[texansfan]

What are the odds the OP is the banned poster crockodileater or whatever his name was. Same abrasive, know-it-all style of vCard posting.

 

[packer2012]

Because gambling is all luck no matter what we try to convince ourselves otherwise.

If you throw to many games at the wall like shit, and see if any stick..... then it is about luck..... mostly bad luck.

But with discipline, some brains, and patience, a guy can make a buck. Most people on here are in the former group..... throwing shit.

Good thing that are full of it and therefore have plenty. Also good that their plays are $ and $22.... not what they claim they are playing!

 

[Cantpickem]

Jets have been good to me betting against them.