Jerry Bailey Question

[Boxer22]

I was thinking of this earlier. If you put $20 across or whatever same amount on every lifetime race that Jerry Bailey road in on whatever horse he was on. Would you have come out ahead?.... To me horse racing has not been the same since he left the sport. I loved Bailey he made me tons of money countless amounts of times.

 

[JudgeWapner]

I'm thinking if you bet him every time he rode on turf, you would have made $.

 

[DrunkenHorseplayer]

Not a chance; he was 5,893 for 30,804 lifetime so you would've needed an average of $10.45 per winner just to break even on the win end and keep in mind that, for the last ten years of his career, he was one of the top jocks around and therefore got bet blindly quite a bit.

 

[Objection]

a "name" rider over any long length of time you're probably looking at best an ROI in the area of .80/1.00 or maybe even a few pennies higher

 

[GoSooners]

You would be better off putting your money on the trainers. I know that Steve Asmussen, who trained the filly who won the Preakness, won about a third of his races when he was here at Remington Park. But his horses were in the money a much higher percentage of the time.

 

[trytrytry]

my guess is you would be almost exactly the track take out or a tiny bit better maybe -14% ROI (versus a track take out of 16%) ROI a bit worse on show wagering maybe -18% ROI due to dime breakage killing ya..

 

[Objection]

over Asmussens last 12,503 starts, your ROI would be 76 cents to the dollar