Jason's 2010 MLB picks

[jasonthebeaver]

sun results
2-7 -22.6 units mother FUCKER!
YTD 138-153 -55.46 units

 

[jasonthebeaver]

Mon may 17, 2010
phillies RL +105
marlins RL +145
blue jays ML -103
royals ML +119

3 units each

 

[jasonthebeaver]

adding for mon

rockies ML +112
rangers RL +120

3 units each

 

[jasonthebeaver]

last add for mon

astros ML +143 3 units

 

[jasonthebeaver]

mon results
2-5 -8.28 units
YTD 140-160 -63.74 units
At what point do you start fading yourself?

 

[jasonthebeaver]

Well I'm 300 games into this and stand at -63 units. I've tweaked my system a couple times but even if I had applied those changes from the beginning I would still be around -40 units. So disappointing. I know there are ups and downs but wow.
I've decided to continue till I hit -100 units or the end of the season, whichever comes first. But I'm going to diligently continue working on this and forge ahead. If my bankroll disappears then at least I know I didn't give up too early. Maybe it will give me time to save up for hockey and b-ball next year.

 

[jasonthebeaver]

Upon further analysis I discovered that over the last 39 games my ML picks are down to 41% accuracy. In my opinion, a slump like that over 39 games isn't cause for panic. What does need to be addressed is the amount of units bet so I'm going to lower that.

 

[jasonthebeaver]

tue may 18, 2010

reds RL +150 1 unit

 

[jasonthebeaver]

adding for tue

diamondbacks ML +168
tigers RL +150

1 unit each

 

[jasonthebeaver]

adding for tue

rockies ML -105

 

[jasonthebeaver]

last adds for tue

dodgers RL +110
athletics ML +105

1 unit each

 

[jasonthebeaver]

tue results
2-4 -1.85 units
YTD 142-164 -65.59 units

 

[jasonthebeaver]

wed may 18, 2010 (I saw Mt St. Helens blow 30 years ago today)

1 unit each
all ML picks

mets+122
cubs +122
reds +110
giants +150
rays +134
twins +110

 

[jasonthebeaver]

wed results
2-4 -1.44 units
YTD 144-168 -67.03 units