Jao 2015 (0-0)

[justanobserver]

Kc -3 60/50

 

[justanobserver]

0-1 -60$

talk about a bad beat

 

[justanobserver]

10pt Tease

Texans over 29
NO PK
Steelers over 35.5
Patriots +11

50/55

 

[justanobserver]

Texans TT Over 18.5 42/35
Det +2 38.5/35
Ariz -2 38.5/35

 

[justanobserver]

1-4 -155.5

not a good day

 

[justanobserver]

Just going to throw out some trend queries i am doing, mainly for my record keeping.

 

[justanobserver]

Granted we all know the Bucs aren't a good team but even then i was surprised to see the Texans as a 6 point favorite

Home favorites of more than -5.5 in Week 3 that have not won a game:

week = 3 and wins = 0 and HF and line <= -6
SU: 19-7-0 (12.50, 73.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 16-10-0 (4.02, 61.5%) avg line: -8.5 +6: 18-8-0 (69.2%) -6: 12-14-0 (46.2%) +10: 19-6-1 (76.0%) -10: 9-15-2 (37.5%) O/U: 12-14-0 (0.81, 46.2%) avg total: 40.9 +6: 9-16-1 (36.0%) -6: 15-11-0 (57.7%) +10: 7-19-0 (26.9%) -10: 20-4-2 (83.3%)

This actually works for Seattle and Houston.

 

[justanobserver]

Winless teams that are home favorites and their opponents coming off of a ATSW in a division game:

wins = 0 and HF and op:ATSW and DIV and season >= 2002
SU: 11-3-0 (6.50, 78.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 8-4-2 (1.18, 66.7%) avg line: -5.3 +6: 12-2-0 (85.7%) -6: 4-10-0 (28.6%) +10: 12-2-0 (85.7%) -10: 2-12-0 (14.3%) O/U: 5-9-0 (-4.00, 35.7%) avg total: 42.1 +6: 2-12-0 (14.3%) -6: 6-8-0 (42.9%) +10: 2-12-0 (14.3%) -10: 8-6-0 (57.1%)

THis is for the Giants and Ravens

 

[justanobserver]

Play on Under tonight

Thursday Division games:

day = Thursday and HF and DIV
SU: 40-15-0 (6.58, 72.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 28-27-0 (0.14, 50.9%) avg line: -6.4 +6: 38-17-0 (69.1%) -6: 18-36-1 (33.3%) +10: 42-12-1 (77.8%) -10: 11-43-1 (20.4%) O/U: 19-36-0 (-3.84, 34.5%) avg total: 42.8 +6: 10-45-0 (18.2%) -6: 27-26-2 (50.9%) +10: 9-46-0 (16.4%) -10: 35-19-1 (64.8%)

Not sure if i will play it yet but that is 65.5% Thursday night division games going under, pretty substantial

 

[justanobserver]

Two game 7 pt Teaser

Wash +10
Under 51.5

62.5/50

 

[justanobserver]

Wager type: Teaser​

Teaser : FB 2-15T 7PTS TL

---

Select #1 : NFL Football for Game
Washington Redskins 9/24/2015 8:25 PM - (EST)
Spread +10 for Game

---

Select #2 : NFL Football for Game
Washington Redskins/New York Giants 9/24/2015 8:25 PM - (EST)
Total Points UNDER 51½ for Game

---

Amount : Risking 62.50 To Win 50.00 USD

 

[justanobserver]

1-5 -218

 

[justanobserver]

A trend i posted in another thread teams coming off of a Thursday night home game and playing monday night:

p:day = Thursday and p:H and day = Monday SU: 9-13-0 (-5.55, 40.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 5-17-0 (-6.09, 22.7%) avg line: -0.5 +6: 12-9-1 (57.1%) -6: 5-17-0 (22.7%) +10: 13-9-0 (59.1%) -10: 3-19-0 (13.6%) O/U: 12-10-0 (1.25, 54.5%) avg total: 42.8 +6: 7-14-1 (33.3%) -6: 15-7-0 (68.2%) +10: 4-17-1 (19.0%) -10: 16-6-0 (72.7%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 24.8 105.0 34.1 20.3 206.8 1.5 4.1 4.9 3.4 6.8 19.3 Opp 28.0 109.1 33.2 21.0 242.2 1.2 4.2 7.9 4.8 8.0 24.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 06, 1993 Monday 14 1993 Cowboys Eagles home 7-0 9-3 0-7 7-7 23-17 -16.5 37.5 6 -10.5 2.5 -4.0 6.5 W L O 0 Oct 24, 1994 Monday 8 1994 Oilers Eagles away 3-0 3-7 0-7 0-7 6-21 10.5 38.0 -15 -4.5 -11.0 -7.8 -3.2 L L U 0 Dec 04, 1995 Monday 14 1995 Lions Bears home 14-0 7-0 3-7 3-0 27-7 -3.0 49.0 20 17.0 -15.0 1.0 -16.0 W W U 0 Dec 08, 1997 Monday 15 1997 Cowboys Panthers home 0-3 6-7 0-7 7-6 13-23 -7.0 37.5 -10 -17.0 -1.5 -9.2 7.8 L L U 0 Dec 13, 1999 Monday 14 1999 Jaguars Broncos home 0-7 17-7 0-3 10-7 27-24 -9.0 41.0 3 -6.0 10.0 2.0 8.0 W L O 0 Dec 06, 2004 Monday 13 2004 Cowboys Seahawks away 3-14 16-0 10-3 14-22 43-39 7.0 42.5 4 11.0 39.5 25.2 14.2 W W O 0 Sep 18, 2006 Monday 2 2006 Steelers Jaguars away 0-0 0-0 0-3 0-6 0-9 -2.5 37.0 -9 -11.5 -28.0 -19.8 -8.2 L L U 0 Nov 17, 2008 Monday 11 2008 Browns Bills away 6-0 7-10 3-3 13-14 29-27 5.0 41.0 2 7.0 15.0 11.0 4.0 W W O 0 Dec 22, 2008 Monday 16 2008 Bears Packers home 0-0 3-14 7-0 7-3 20-17 -4.0 40.0 3 -1.0 -3.0 -2.0 -1.0 W L U 1 Sep 20, 2010 Monday 2 2010 Saints Fortyniners away 9-0 0-7 7-7 9-8 25-22 -5.0 43.5 3 -2.0 3.5 0.8 2.8 W L O 0 Dec 06, 2010 Monday 13 2010 Jets Patriots away 0-17 3-7 0-7 0-14 3-45 3.5 44.5 -42 -38.5 3.5 -17.5 21.0 L L O 0 Dec 12, 2011 Monday 14 2011 Seahawks Rams home 10-0 0-3 10-3 10-7 30-13 -10.0 37.0 17 7.0 6.0 6.5 -0.5 W W O 0 Dec 19, 2011 Monday 15 2011 Steelers Fortyniners away 0-3 0-3 3-7 0-7 3-20 2.5 37.5 -17 -14.5 -14.5 -14.5 0.0 L L U 0 Dec 26, 2011 Monday 16 2011 Falcons Saints away 10-7 0-14 3-10 3-14 16-45 7.0 52.5 -29 -22.0 8.5 -6.8 15.2 L L O 0 Sep 24, 2012 Monday 3 2012 Packers Seahawks away 0-0 0-7 6-0 6-7 12-14 -3.0 44.0 -2 -5.0 -18.0 -11.5 -6.5 L L U 0 Oct 29, 2012 Monday 8 2012 Fortyniners Cardinals away 7-0 10-0 7-3 0-0 24-3 -7.0 38.5 21 14 -11.5 1.2 -12.8 W W U 0 Nov 11, 2013 Monday 10 2013 Dolphins Buccaneers away 0-10 7-5 12-0 0-7 19-22 -2.0 40.5 -3 -5 0.5 -2.2 2.8 L L O 0 Dec 09, 2013 Monday 14 2013 Cowboys Bears away 7-7 7-17 0-11 14-10 28-45 1.5 49.0 -17 -15.5 24 4.2 19.8 L L O 0 Oct 06, 2014 view Monday 5 2014 Redskins Seahawks home 0-7 7-10 3-0 7-10 17-27 7.0 45.5 -10 -3.0 -1.5 -2.2 0.8 L L U 0 Oct 20, 2014 view Monday 7 2014 Texans Steelers away 7-0 6-24 0-0 10-6 23-30 3.0 44.5 -7 -4.0 8.5 2.2 6.2 L L O 0 Nov 10, 2014 view Monday 10 2014 Panthers Eagles away 7-17 0-14 0-7 14-7 21-45 7.0 48.0 -24 -17 18.0 0.5 17.5 L L O 0 Dec 15, 2014 view Monday 15 2014 Bears Saints home 0-0 0-14 0-10 15-7 15-31 3.0 54.0 -16 -13.0 -8.0 -10.5 2.5 L L U 0 Sep 28, 2015 Monday 3 2015 Chiefs Packers away 6.0 48.5

Hitting GB at -5.5 (-105) 52.50/50

 

[justanobserver]

Not any better in the modern era

p:day = Thursday and p:H and day = Monday and season >= 2004 SU: 6-11-0 (-7.41, 35.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 4-13-0 (-6.65, 23.5%) avg line: 0.8 +6: 10-7-0 (58.8%) -6: 4-13-0 (23.5%) +10: 10-7-0 (58.8%) -10: 2-15-0 (11.8%) O/U: 10-7-0 (2.50, 58.8%) avg total: 43.5 +6: 6-10-1 (37.5%) -6: 12-5-0 (70.6%) +10: 4-13-0 (23.5%) -10: 13-4-0 (76.5%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 24.1 100.8 35.5 21.4 212.8 1.6 3.9 3.9 4.2 7.2 19.3 Opp 28.1 113.8 33.3 21.3 249.5 1.2 4.8 8.8 4.4 8.8 26.7 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 06, 2004 Monday 13 2004 Cowboys Seahawks away 3-14 16-0 10-3 14-22 43-39 7.0 42.5 4 11.0 39.5 25.2 14.2 W W O 0 Sep 18, 2006 Monday 2 2006 Steelers Jaguars away 0-0 0-0 0-3 0-6 0-9 -2.5 37.0 -9 -11.5 -28.0 -19.8 -8.2 L L U 0 Nov 17, 2008 Monday 11 2008 Browns Bills away 6-0 7-10 3-3 13-14 29-27 5.0 41.0 2 7.0 15.0 11.0 4.0 W W O 0 Dec 22, 2008 Monday 16 2008 Bears Packers home 0-0 3-14 7-0 7-3 20-17 -4.0 40.0 3 -1.0 -3.0 -2.0 -1.0 W L U 1 Sep 20, 2010 Monday 2 2010 Saints Fortyniners away 9-0 0-7 7-7 9-8 25-22 -5.0 43.5 3 -2.0 3.5 0.8 2.8 W L O 0 Dec 06, 2010 Monday 13 2010 Jets Patriots away 0-17 3-7 0-7 0-14 3-45 3.5 44.5 -42 -38.5 3.5 -17.5 21.0 L L O 0 Dec 12, 2011 Monday 14 2011 Seahawks Rams home 10-0 0-3 10-3 10-7 30-13 -10.0 37.0 17 7.0 6.0 6.5 -0.5 W W O 0 Dec 19, 2011 Monday 15 2011 Steelers Fortyniners away 0-3 0-3 3-7 0-7 3-20 2.5 37.5 -17 -14.5 -14.5 -14.5 0.0 L L U 0 Dec 26, 2011 Monday 16 2011 Falcons Saints away 10-7 0-14 3-10 3-14 16-45 7.0 52.5 -29 -22.0 8.5 -6.8 15.2 L L O 0 Sep 24, 2012 Monday 3 2012 Packers Seahawks away 0-0 0-7 6-0 6-7 12-14 -3.0 44.0 -2 -5.0 -18.0 -11.5 -6.5 L L U 0 Oct 29, 2012 Monday 8 2012 Fortyniners Cardinals away 7-0 10-0 7-3 0-0 24-3 -7.0 38.5 21 14 -11.5 1.2 -12.8 W W U 0 Nov 11, 2013 Monday 10 2013 Dolphins Buccaneers away 0-10 7-5 12-0 0-7 19-22 -2.0 40.5 -3 -5 0.5 -2.2 2.8 L L O 0 Dec 09, 2013 Monday 14 2013 Cowboys Bears away 7-7 7-17 0-11 14-10 28-45 1.5 49.0 -17 -15.5 24 4.2 19.8 L L O 0 Oct 06, 2014 view Monday 5 2014 Redskins Seahawks home 0-7 7-10 3-0 7-10 17-27 7.0 45.5 -10 -3.0 -1.5 -2.2 0.8 L L U 0 Oct 20, 2014 view Monday 7 2014 Texans Steelers away 7-0 6-24 0-0 10-6 23-30 3.0 44.5 -7 -4.0 8.5 2.2 6.2 L L O 0 Nov 10, 2014 view Monday 10 2014 Panthers Eagles away 7-17 0-14 0-7 14-7 21-45 7.0 48.0 -24 -17 18.0 0.5 17.5 L L O 0 Dec 15, 2014 view Monday 15 2014 Bears Saints home 0-0 0-14 0-10 15-7 15-31 3.0 54.0 -16 -13.0 -8.0 -10.5 2.5 L L U 0 Sep 28, 2015 Monday 3 2015 Chiefs Packers away 6.0 48.5

 

[justanobserver]

2-5 -168

Early play this week

Buff/NYG over 47 55/50 (I may double down on this one later)

 

[justanobserver]

Teams coming off of a scoreless game in week 3 or later with the opponent scoring more than 24 previously and on a 2 game or greater win streak:

week >= 4 and points = 0 and o:streak >= 2 and opoints > 24
SU: 7-17-0 (-6.96, 29.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 9-15-0 (-2.25, 37.5%) avg line: 4.7 +6: 13-10-1 (56.5%) -6: 5-19-0 (20.8%) +10: 19-5-0 (79.2%) -10: 4-20-0 (16.7%) O/U: 12-12-0 (0.62, 50.0%) avg total: 39.8 +6: 8-16-0 (33.3%) -6: 14-8-2 (63.6%) +10: 5-19-0 (20.8%) -10: 17-7-0 (70.8%)

Play on the Raiders over the Bears.

 

[justanobserver]

Play on the Panthers

undefeated teams as a road favorite in division games

losses = 0 and week >= 4 and DIV and AF and season >= 2004
SU: 17-3-0 (11.45, 85.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 14-6-0 (4.47, 70.0%) avg line: -7.0 +6: 16-3-1 (84.2%) -6: 7-11-2 (38.9%) +10: 18-2-0 (90.0%) -10: 5-15-0 (25.0%) O/U: 11-9-0 (3.17, 55.0%) avg total: 45.2 +6: 7-13-0 (35.0%) -6: 16-4-0 (80.0%) +10: 7-13-0 (35.0%) -10: 17-3-0 (85.0%)

Carolina -3 (-120) 60/50

 

[justanobserver]

Ravens -3 (-105) 52.5/50

 

[justanobserver]

i'll take the push

2-5-1 -168

Love this Sunday, very confident.

 

[XSPower]

Good luck this weekend!!!!