Ohlendorf is having an incredible spring but he's simply no better then a #4 or #5 pitcher while Cueto has #1 potential. Reds lineup is a little strong IMO as well.
I'm a little scared about their pitcher but he has dominated this spring and is hard for some guys to get a read on. He's the kid that threw a no-hitter for the Netherlands in the 06 WBC. Galarraga has a dinged shoulder and will have his pitches cut short today. Washington has a full lineup while Detroit has almost no regulars.