Patriots’ Penalty Differential, 2011–17
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This sample isn’t especially small, either, as the Patriots have played 17 playoff games since 2011. That total yields more data than a team accumulates in a full regular season, and throughout league history, only about one team per year has gained such a disparate penalty yardage advantage as the Patriots have in recent postseasons.
Amazing how playoff teams "suddenly" become less disciplined when playing the Patriots! LOL
| Stat | Regular Season | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|
| New England Penalties vs. Opponents' | 13% less | 25% less |
| New England Penalty Yards vs. Opponents' | 10% less | 35% less |
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This sample isn’t especially small, either, as the Patriots have played 17 playoff games since 2011. That total yields more data than a team accumulates in a full regular season, and throughout league history, only about one team per year has gained such a disparate penalty yardage advantage as the Patriots have in recent postseasons.
Amazing how playoff teams "suddenly" become less disciplined when playing the Patriots! LOL
5. The Patriots’ advantage manifests predominantly in close games.
Here’s the most suspicious data point. It involves splitting all contests—regular and postseason—from 2011 through the 2017 conference championships into two categories: close games and others. For these purposes, a close game is defined as one with a final margin of eight points or fewer, or a margin after the third quarter of eight points or fewer—in other words, a game in which the fourth quarter either ended or began as a one-possession contest.
In 55 non-close games in the sample, the Patriots amassed slightly more penalties than their opponents. In 74 close games, though, they benefited from a massive disparity.
Patriots’ Penalty Differential, 2011–17
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The flags just disappear during the close games! Even though Pats are forced to pass during the "comebacks" never an offensive holding call!
Here’s the most suspicious data point. It involves splitting all contests—regular and postseason—from 2011 through the 2017 conference championships into two categories: close games and others. For these purposes, a close game is defined as one with a final margin of eight points or fewer, or a margin after the third quarter of eight points or fewer—in other words, a game in which the fourth quarter either ended or began as a one-possession contest.
In 55 non-close games in the sample, the Patriots amassed slightly more penalties than their opponents. In 74 close games, though, they benefited from a massive disparity.
Patriots’ Penalty Differential, 2011–17
| Stat | New England vs. Opponents | NFL Rank in the Split |
|---|---|---|
| Penalties in Other Games | 2% more | 20 |
| Penalty Yards in Other Games | 2% more | 22 |
| Penalties in Close Games | 24% less | 1 |
| Penalty Yards in Close Games | 21% less | 1 |
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The flags just disappear during the close games! Even though Pats are forced to pass during the "comebacks" never an offensive holding call!
your facts are weak, you're acting like a member of the resist resist resist movement
denying greatness, making excuses and crying all the time
act like a conservative, act like a man
Feb 4, 2018
5:10 PM
#1802822211082
Placed by Web
Single #1802822211082 (Outcome: Win)
Football - Super Bowl - Total Number of Penalties Assessed on the New England Patriots
Philadelphia Eagles @ New England Patriots
Under 5.5 (-175) Feb 4, 2018 6:30 PM
Outcome: Win
Date settled: Feb 5, 2018 3:39 AM
Easiest money ever!!
5:10 PM
#1802822211082
Placed by Web
Single #1802822211082 (Outcome: Win)
Football - Super Bowl - Total Number of Penalties Assessed on the New England Patriots
Philadelphia Eagles @ New England Patriots
Under 5.5 (-175) Feb 4, 2018 6:30 PM
Outcome: Win
Date settled: Feb 5, 2018 3:39 AM
Easiest money ever!!
