Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills 10/10/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with the Jacksonville Jaguars winning 57% of simulations, and the Buffalo Bills 43% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Jacksonville Jaguars commit fewer turnovers in 45% of simulations and they go on to win 80% when they take care of the ball. The Buffalo Bills wins 64% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Maurice Jones-Drew is averaging 100 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37% chance) then he helps his team win 80%. Marshawn Lynch is averaging 33 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (13% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BUF -1 --- Over/Under line is 40

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