Hey Guys,
This thread will have all my plays that meet my in conference qualifications to make a play based on several factors like revenge, head to head, home & away splits, back to back road or home games, opening line & line moves, ect.
I will give as much info as possible for my reasoning:
Plays will be from 1* - 5* My normal size wager is 3* (please bet responsibly with good money management)
Posted record:
ATS 1-0 +5*
ML 1-0 +5*
Here we go
1/6 5:30 Troy @ Texas St -1 / 136 (opening line)
This is a rematch of the Sun Belt Championship game last year. Troy won 59-53
Troy
returning starters from champ game - Jordan Varnado (Jr) 18pts/12reb, Kevin Baker (Sr) 0pts, Wesley Person (Sr) 16pts
not returning from champ game - Jeremy Hollimon 15pts, Daniel Peace 0pts, Devon Walker 8 pts
2-7 on the road this year giving up 76 points per game
Trend to keep an eye on if this line moves to pick or a favorite - as a road fav of 3pt or less or pick 0-2 current, 0-4 last 3 years & 1-9 since 1997
This is 2nd road game of 3 straight they lost last game @ Texas Arlington 86-76
Texas State
returning starters from champ game - Immanuel King (Sr) 11pts/8reb, Nedeljko Prijovic (So) 7pts, Nijal Pearson (So) 7 pts
not returning from champ game - Kevin Gilder -Tidbury 19pts/6reb, Ojai Black 6pts, Bobby Conley 3pts
5-1 @ home scoring 79 & giving up 59
last 3 seasons at home vs Troy 2-0 SU & ATS / all time 4-0 SU & ATS
This is 2nd straight home game they won last game 72-69 vs South Alabama
Thoughts:
This is a solid revenge spot for Texas State... This game is circled on the calendar and they will be ready to go!!!
Based on Troy's current road record & being 2nd game of 3 straight along with the poor history @ Texas State that is another huge advantage.
The opening line of Texas State -1 makes me think they are happy to take Troy $ and they did early and I think they will late. The line did move to a pick & now is at Texas State -1.5.
Based on past history and style of play I liked the Under from the beginning so I am happy to see the total move from 136-137.5...
current line Texas St -1.5 / 137.5
Plays:
I will be on Texas St & Under but I am not putting them in till closer to game time... I will update lines once I wager.
5* Texas St -
2* Under -
I will have another game @ 8:00 - I will do the write up shortly
Also if you can get a line on the Winthrop/Campbell game @ 2:00 let me know what it is I might have a play.
I can not get a line for it
Best of luck
JS
This thread will have all my plays that meet my in conference qualifications to make a play based on several factors like revenge, head to head, home & away splits, back to back road or home games, opening line & line moves, ect.
I will give as much info as possible for my reasoning:
Plays will be from 1* - 5* My normal size wager is 3* (please bet responsibly with good money management)
Posted record:
ATS 1-0 +5*
ML 1-0 +5*
Here we go
1/6 5:30 Troy @ Texas St -1 / 136 (opening line)
This is a rematch of the Sun Belt Championship game last year. Troy won 59-53
Troy
returning starters from champ game - Jordan Varnado (Jr) 18pts/12reb, Kevin Baker (Sr) 0pts, Wesley Person (Sr) 16pts
not returning from champ game - Jeremy Hollimon 15pts, Daniel Peace 0pts, Devon Walker 8 pts
2-7 on the road this year giving up 76 points per game
Trend to keep an eye on if this line moves to pick or a favorite - as a road fav of 3pt or less or pick 0-2 current, 0-4 last 3 years & 1-9 since 1997
This is 2nd road game of 3 straight they lost last game @ Texas Arlington 86-76
Texas State
returning starters from champ game - Immanuel King (Sr) 11pts/8reb, Nedeljko Prijovic (So) 7pts, Nijal Pearson (So) 7 pts
not returning from champ game - Kevin Gilder -Tidbury 19pts/6reb, Ojai Black 6pts, Bobby Conley 3pts
5-1 @ home scoring 79 & giving up 59
last 3 seasons at home vs Troy 2-0 SU & ATS / all time 4-0 SU & ATS
This is 2nd straight home game they won last game 72-69 vs South Alabama
Thoughts:
This is a solid revenge spot for Texas State... This game is circled on the calendar and they will be ready to go!!!
Based on Troy's current road record & being 2nd game of 3 straight along with the poor history @ Texas State that is another huge advantage.
The opening line of Texas State -1 makes me think they are happy to take Troy $ and they did early and I think they will late. The line did move to a pick & now is at Texas State -1.5.
Based on past history and style of play I liked the Under from the beginning so I am happy to see the total move from 136-137.5...
current line Texas St -1.5 / 137.5
Plays:
I will be on Texas St & Under but I am not putting them in till closer to game time... I will update lines once I wager.
5* Texas St -
2* Under -
I will have another game @ 8:00 - I will do the write up shortly
Also if you can get a line on the Winthrop/Campbell game @ 2:00 let me know what it is I might have a play.
I can not get a line for it
Best of luck
JS