~ J.J.BASCUS WEEK #9 NFL P/R & TPR RATING FROM RENO N.V ( My Pick For Thursdays Night Game]~

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

J.J.BASCUS WEEK #9 NFL POWER RATING FROM RENO N.V. Week 9: October 30-November 3, 2014. ~ BEST~ J.J.BASCUS RATING Date Time[ET] J.J. BASCUS J.J.BASCUS POWER LINE Game VEGAS PREDICTING TEAM WIN VEGAS OPENING LINE O/U Comments 11 Th 10/30 825pm NO -3 NO at CAR NO -2.5 45.1 **NFC South up for grabs HarryThe Hats Pick NO-3 2 Su 11/2 1pm CIN -101/2 JAC at CIN CIN -11 43.8 - 5 Su 11/2 1pm CLE -5.1/2 TB at CLE CLE -6.5 44.6 - 7 Su 11/2 1pm DAL -2 ARI at DAL DAL -4 46.6 Romo status? 4 Su 11/2 1pm KC -7 NYJ at KC KC -10 43.4 - 9 Su 11/2 1pm MIA -1 SD at MIA MIA -1.5 43.4 Dolphins have momentum. 6 Su 11/2 1pm MIN -3 WAS at MIN MIN -2.5 47.5 RGIII likely back 13 Su 11/2 1pm HOU -0.2 PHI at HOU PHI -2 46.3 Difference with Vegas 3 Su 11/2 4:05 SF -7.3 STL at SF SF -10 44.1 On 49ers home turf 10 Su 11/2 4:25 NE -1 DEN at NE DEN -3 53.3 J.J. Line 1 Brady, Vegas Peyton 1 Su 11/2 4:25 SEA -11 1/2 OAK at SEA SEA -15.5 43.4 Both Vegas/ odds makers not giving up on SEA 8 Su 11/2 830pm PIT -1 1/2 BAL at PIT n/a n/a 46 - 12 Mo 11/3 830pm IND -1 IND at NYG IND -3 45.8 - Closest Projected Game: Eagles at Texans. Best Chance (team to win by the most points): Seattle Seahawks NFL Predictions based on J.J. Bascus analysis of offensive and defensive points and yards per game and other statistics and factors. Picks include recent team statistics. Best= ranks best chances to win. These are the type of calculations from J.J.Bascus power rating analysis that Vegas doesn't want you to see. Plus his power rating predictions factors in slightly different factors which give differences with the Las Vegas predictions that can help you confirm and/or make your own decisions. Best = Ranks the spreads from high-to-low. A '1' means J.J.Bascus pick for that game has the best chance of winning relative to every other game that week. J.J.Bascus = Pick. The team the J.J.Bascus predicts to win the game. J.J.Bascus Power Line = forecast for how many points J.J.Bascus picks will win the game by. Vegas = Team that Vegas picks to win. V.Line = Vegas spread for the game (points the pick will win by). O/U = J.J. Bascus Prediction for Over/Under. Prediction for the total amount of points scored by both teams. *Home field advantage point spread is factored in with the forecast for how many points J.J.Bascus picks will win the game by. J.J. BASCUS RENO NEVADA TPR RATING 2014 NFL Team Power Rankings Week 9 (including all week 8 games), updated: 10/29/14. Rank Team G Power Pts-O Yds-O Pts-D Yds-D SOGP* SOSR* Wins 1 Seattle Seahawks 7 7.64 24.6 350.3 21.4 316.1 15.519 14.53 4 2 Denver Broncos 7 9.03 32 398.4 20.3 315.3 12.394 17.629 6 3 San Francisco 49ers 7 9.26 22.6 357.4 23.6 306 14.219 15.411 4 4 Arizona Cardinals 7 10.68 23.4 329.1 19.9 380.7 15.832 14.133 6 5 Kansas City Chiefs 7 13.03 25.1 343 18.3 308.6 14.811 16.121 4 6 Indianapolis Colts 8 13.3 31.3 452.3 23.4 352.1 16.733 19.267 5 7 Baltimore Ravens 8 13.61 27.1 375.5 16.4 346.4 17.582 18.711 5 8 New England Patriots 8 13.77 29.8 363.1 22.1 340.5 17.767 14.916 6 9 Philadelphia Eagles 7 13.88 29 398.7 22.3 383.6 16.894 16.251 5 10 San Diego Chargers 8 14.36 25.6 353.3 18.6 330 15.95 12.873 5 11 New Orleans Saints 7 14.49 28.4 445.3 26.9 390.4 18.555 16.506 3 12 Cincinnati Bengals 7 14.5 23 352.9 23.4 399.1 16.07 18.664 4 13 Dallas Cowboys 8 14.55 26.6 400.6 20.9 352 16.179 17.05 6 14 Detroit Lions 8 14.57 20.3 338.8 15.8 290.4 17.671 17.079 6 15 Carolina Panthers 8 15.03 20.9 332.5 26 378.5 15.662 18.772 3 16 Green Bay Packers 8 16.28 27.8 346.1 23.9 379.3 15.516 17.708 5 17 Miami Dolphins 7 16.59 24.9 355 21.6 322.7 18.647 15.287 4 18 Buffalo Bills 8 17.2 22.3 326.9 20.6 326 16.576 16.664 5 19 Pittsburgh Steelers 8 17.26 25.6 418.3 24.5 357.9 18.932 16.483 5 20 Houston Texans 8 17.69 23.1 352.5 20.8 379.6 18.486 18.82 4 21 Minnesota Vikings 8 18.38 17.4 312 21.6 323.8 17.57 17.324 3 22 New York Jets 8 18.45 18 319.4 28.5 320.8 16.106 16.768 1 23 Chicago Bears 8 18.92 22.5 353.6 27.8 372.4 16.078 16.758 3 24 New York Giants 7 19.05 22 332.7 24.1 384.4 16.22 16.22 3 25 St. Louis Rams 7 19.53 19.4 336.4 30 376.4 14.259 14.014 2 26 Washington Redskins 8 20.17 21.4 391.9 25 330.4 16.443 16.364 3 27 Cleveland Browns 7 21.22 23.3 355.4 21.7 395.6 19.394 16.73 4 28 Tennessee Titans 8 21.47 17.1 321 25.3 375.8 17.566 17.469 2 29 Atlanta Falcons 8 22.13 24 375.6 27.6 408.8 17.027 16.679 2 30 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7 22.89 19 295.1 31.9 409.9 17.231 14.998 1 31 Oakland Raiders 7 25.01 15 297.6 25.9 365 16.129 12.417 0 32 Jacksonville Jaguars 8 26.2 14.8 306.6 27.3 382.4 17.272 16.458 1 *Stats Column explanations Pts-O= The teams points scored per game Yds-O- Total yards per game gained by the offense. Pts-D= Points given up per game by the team. Yds-D- Total yards per game given up by the defense. SOGP- Strength of Games Played. The average team power rating of all the opponents the team has already played. A lower value is tougher. SOSR- Strength of Schedule Remaining. A higher value is easier. Carolina ranks in the middle of the pack (17th) in sacks and they only had 1 last week. If they cannot pressure Brees in the pocket they may be in big trouble in this division match up. Despite their shortcomings on the road, the Saints rate 7 points better than Carolina at a neutral site, so laying a short price with them in this spot is enticing. The Panthers have had issues defending the run all season, where they rank 28th, and in the Seattle game they gave up 119 yards on the ground. New Orleans features the far better offense, and its defense should fare just fine against a sluggish Panthers offense. The Saints are winless on the road this season, but that will change this Thursday night, as Brees will have another good game and New Orleans will win and cover. Panthers and their 18th ranked pass defense will have their hands full. There is no reason why the Saints shouldn't be in first place after Thursday's Panthers game. In order for the Saints to go into a hostile enviroment such as the one they’ll be facing to night and come away with a victory, the Saints will need Jordan to step up yet again, and take matter into his own hands. I believe that he’s fully capable of doing it; and as such, its the reason that I personally believe that Saints defensive ends Cam.... Jordan is the best choice that I can possibly make as my selection — for this week’s “X-Factor” against the Carolina Panthers….Caesars Sport Book has NO at -3 And That's My Bet For Thursdays Game.[ Opened At -1 /1/2] Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT ***My Record 16-5-1 With & Against the spread [including 5 press bet wins] 2-0 in money lines after the 8th week. All games were posted on SX Sports NFL Forum From Week #1 To Week #8 [Monday & Thursday Games Included}.

 

[paulfmf]

Thanks as always and GL

 

[teamogf]

Thank you once again

 

[3pointdog]

I tip my hat to the hat....

 

[cgarn]

Nice hit Mr Hat

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

***My Record 17-5-1 With & Against the spread [including 5 press bet wins] 2-0 in money lines going into the 9th week. All games were posted on SX Sports NFL Forum From Week #1 To Week #8 [Monday & Thursday Games Included}. I make my money on presses[ My betting system posted on earlier threads of beginning of the NFL season on SX sports forum]. So This Sundays pick and my bet pressing my win is worth 3-1, I will be very selective with my play, researching the entire card finding the play that that has best chance of winning my Press bet. So I will posting my Sunday pick and of course with help Information, Stats & picks from J.J Bascus, System Smitty Ryan, Back Room Benny The Jew, and Bee Bee late Saturday Nite or early Sunday Morning. Thanks for reading my thread & J.J. Bascus Power Rating and hope you will be successful in your picks & bets of the NFL Week #9, and very good luck to all of you for rest of NFL season too.
Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT

 

[turbo350z]

Thanks for another winner Harry. Nice run you are on!

 

[indiana]

H/hat..........nice call ............good luck with your press bet this week end.............indy

 

[comrade666]

Rx sports forum

 

[LecheMocha]

cheersgif

Mr HarrytheHat,

Great info.

 

[Slurve~Ball]

Rx sports forum

Ya know! Once or twice, maybe a simple mistake, but I haven't seen "RX" once.
Cmon Harry, maybe a little less disrespect to the fine cappers here at the RX?
Not trying to be dick, just wondering why you always use "SX" instead.

Congrats on the play.

 

[phantom888]

Congrats!

 

[SaintsFan1977]

I'm guessing it's he hit s instead of r so now it autocorrects for him. Guy is as solid as they come. I watched him on SBR which is a shit forum compared to this site.

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

How a team will perform against the spread in following week-of The season is an enormous trap. Its going to be a little tougher 2nd half the season for me. The fact is isolating road teams, road dogs, non-playoff teams vs. playoff teams and teams with a losing record or low margin vs.ones with a high margin from the previous week will be lot more home work for me. Sports Books will adjust inflated lines in some spots especially on non-playoff teams in the second part of the season that are just playing with team pride. My opinion in betting 2nd half season is really watching the money lines because it will have a major impact on the spread with these non-playoff teams. Walk softly and utilize all your past performance, determining your picks is key here.

Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

Rx sports forum

Yes a typing mistake on my part

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

Ya know! Once or twice, maybe a simple mistake, but I haven't seen "RX" once.
Cmon Harry, maybe a little less disrespect to the fine cappers here at the RX?
Not trying to be dick, just wondering why you always use "SX" instead.
Yes a typing mistake on my part

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

Looking at two teams Sunday for my press bet. I will still need to do more research and watch the point spread and money line movement, before I post my pick & bet for Sundays game? Miami [ home] -1 & -$125 vs. San Diego and Tampa Bay +7 vs. Cleveland & -$285
Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT

 

[LeftyRosenthal]

Do you consider emotional factors as well? I just read hat Miami's head coach will be back with the team for the game Sunday as he was away most of the week due to his father's death. Does stuff like this inspire the team or since it happened to a coach and not a player does it not mean very much? Thanks for all the great info you have provided.

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

Do you consider emotional factors as well? I just read hat Miami's head coach will be back with the team for the game Sunday as he was away most of the week due to his father's death. Does stuff like this inspire the team or since it happened to a coach and not a player does it not mean very much? Thanks for all the great info you have provided.

I use to know Frank Lefty Rosenthal who was sports book manager at Stardust in 70S. J.J. myself use too hang out with Lefty Rosenthal and Bob Martin who told us stories about how the line got ironed out before it was given to the rest of the world. The bar was Thoroughbred lounge owned by Bill Miller[Boxing promoter for strip fight of week at the silver slipper casino on the strip in the 70s} where we use meet.The sportsbook we use you hang out was right next door where we use make our bets Sammie Cohen's Santa Anita Sports Book across street from Stardust in 70s.
Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT

 

[sleepwalker]

Bob Martin was the best linemaker, his trap lines were like Gold in those days.
It's much more difficult today to discern (for me) the fools gold. Enjoy your
posts, great work and skill.