J.J.BASCUS WEEK #4 NFL POWER RATING FROM RENO N.V.
Closest Projected Game: Carolina at Baltimore.
Best Chance (team to win by the most points): San Diego Chargers.
Projected Results. NFL Predictions based on J.J. Bascus analysis of offensive and defensive points and yards per game and other statistics and factors. Picks include recent team statistics. Best= ranks best chances to win.
These are the type of calculations from J.J.Bascus power rating analysis that Vegas doesn't want you to see. Plus his power rating predictions factors in slightly different factors which give differences with the Las Vegas predictions that can help you confirm and/or make your own decisions.
Best = Ranks the spreads from high-to-low. A '1' means J.J.Bascus pick for that game has the best chance of winning relative to every other game that week.
J.J.Bascus = Pick. The team the J.J.Bascus predicts to win the game.
J.J.Bascus Power Line = forecast for how many points J.J.Bascus picks will win the game by.
Vegas = Team that Vegas picks to win.
V.Line = Vegas spread for the game (points the pick will win by).
O/U = J.J. Bascus Prediction for Over/Under. Prediction for the total amount of points scored by both teams.
*Home field advantage point spread is factored in with the forecast for how many points J.J.Bascus picks will win the game by.
Based on Chicago's personnel, Green Bay has to do a couple of things to come out of Soldier Field with a win on Sunday morning. Offensively, the Packers need to finally get their running game going against the more-than-giving Bears defensive front. Defensively, slowing down the Bears' passing game is a must. Will the real Aaron Rodgers please stand up? Yes, he will, and maybe even this week. Rodgers, Lacy, Jordy Nelson and Cobb will Step up at 1-2 record Throwing against a banged up Chicago secondary will surely help.Green Bay has just dominated Chicago in recent seasons, winning four in a row at Soldier Field and seven of eight overall, as well as covering six of the last seven meetings. Tough trends to go against. I don’t think it matters if the line shifts off the pick ‘em either way but it would be interesting to see how bettors feel about the Packers after their struggles appear to be more than just a slow start. And while it's hard not to be impressed with the Bears so far this season, all those injuries are bound to catch up with them. By generating pressure with a limited amount of pass-rushers, it'll force Cutler to throw tight throws in non-ideal situations to bracketed targets.If Green Bay's able to get those goals accomplished, it can avoid a dreaded 1-3 start to the season. With a win here, the Packers can kick-start their team through a midseason schedule and attempt a run toward the playoffs .Despite being 2-1 and having a high-powered offensive attack, I believe Chicago will fall to the Packers this week +1 1/2
~Stats to consider from J.J. Bascus power rating analysis~
*Since Mike McCarthy became head coach in 2006, the Packers are 7-2 against the number (77.8 percent) and 6-3 straight-up (66.7 percent) at Chicago. *The Packers are 20-16 against the spread (55.6 percent) and 24-12 straight-up (66.7 percent) as road favorites under McCarthy. *The Packers are 26-17-3 against the number (60.5 percent) and 29-16-1 straight-up (64.4 percent) in the game after a loss under McCarthy. *The Bears are 5-4 straight-up (55.6 percent) but just 1-6-2 against the number (14.3 percent) at Soldier Field since Marc Trestman became coach in 2013.
Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT
PS.. Good luck on your picks bets for week #4 NFL season SX members & friends
| ~ BEST~ J.J.BASCUS RATING | DATE | TIME[ET] | J.J. BASCUS | J.J.BASCUS POWER LINE | GAME | VEGAS PREDICTING TEAM WIN | VEGAS OPENING LINE | O/U | COMMENTS |
| 6 | Thur 9/25 | 8:25 | NYG | -10.67 | NYG at WAS | WAS | -3 | 49.8 | Money line is not adjusted to the point spread[no action on this game] |
| 9 | Sun 9/28 | 1pm | GB | -6.08 | GB at CHI | CHI | -1 | 51.3 | Mr.HARRYtheHAT'S Pick Green Bay + Points |
| 7 | Sun 9/28 | 1pm | HOU | -2.31 | BUF at HOU | HOU | -3 | 45.3 | Both surprising 2-1 in AFC |
| 3 | Sun 9/28 | 1pm | IND | -5.03 | TEN at IND | IND | -8 | 47 | Indy needs win again. |
| 13 | Sun 9/28 | 1pm | BAL | -0.13 | CAR at BAL | BAL | -3 | 41.9 | To close to call |
| 12 | Sun 9/28 | 1pm | NYJ | -0.24 | DET at NYJ | DET | -1 1/2 | 45.2 | flip a coin hope for heads?- |
| 2 | Sun 9/28 | 1pm | PIT | -5.19 | TB at PIT | PIT | -7.5 | 45.1 | PIT running the ball strong |
| 8 | Sun 9/28 | 1pm | MIA | -6.27 | MIA at OAK | MIA | -4 | 43.6 | playing in England might help Miami |
| 1 | Sun 9/28 | 4:05 | SD | -16.01 | JAC at SD | SD | -14 | 45.1 | J.J.Bascus pick this week |
| 4 | Sun 9/28 | 4:25 | SF | -4.47 | PHI at SF | SF | -5.5 | 46.6 | This game over,it might get there at half-time |
| 5 | Sun 9/28 | 4:25 | ATL | -3.41 | ATL at MIN | ATL | -2.5 | 49.8 | MIN needs defense to stand up big |
| 11 | Sun 9/28 | 8:30 | DAL | -0.53 | NO at DAL | NO | -3 | 50.8 | NO needs a win here at DAL |
| 10 | Mon 9/29 | 8:30 | NE | -1.36 | NE at KC | NE | -3.5 | 47 | This game could be close |
Closest Projected Game: Carolina at Baltimore.
Best Chance (team to win by the most points): San Diego Chargers.
Projected Results. NFL Predictions based on J.J. Bascus analysis of offensive and defensive points and yards per game and other statistics and factors. Picks include recent team statistics. Best= ranks best chances to win.
These are the type of calculations from J.J.Bascus power rating analysis that Vegas doesn't want you to see. Plus his power rating predictions factors in slightly different factors which give differences with the Las Vegas predictions that can help you confirm and/or make your own decisions.
Best = Ranks the spreads from high-to-low. A '1' means J.J.Bascus pick for that game has the best chance of winning relative to every other game that week.
J.J.Bascus = Pick. The team the J.J.Bascus predicts to win the game.
J.J.Bascus Power Line = forecast for how many points J.J.Bascus picks will win the game by.
Vegas = Team that Vegas picks to win.
V.Line = Vegas spread for the game (points the pick will win by).
O/U = J.J. Bascus Prediction for Over/Under. Prediction for the total amount of points scored by both teams.
*Home field advantage point spread is factored in with the forecast for how many points J.J.Bascus picks will win the game by.
Based on Chicago's personnel, Green Bay has to do a couple of things to come out of Soldier Field with a win on Sunday morning. Offensively, the Packers need to finally get their running game going against the more-than-giving Bears defensive front. Defensively, slowing down the Bears' passing game is a must. Will the real Aaron Rodgers please stand up? Yes, he will, and maybe even this week. Rodgers, Lacy, Jordy Nelson and Cobb will Step up at 1-2 record Throwing against a banged up Chicago secondary will surely help.Green Bay has just dominated Chicago in recent seasons, winning four in a row at Soldier Field and seven of eight overall, as well as covering six of the last seven meetings. Tough trends to go against. I don’t think it matters if the line shifts off the pick ‘em either way but it would be interesting to see how bettors feel about the Packers after their struggles appear to be more than just a slow start. And while it's hard not to be impressed with the Bears so far this season, all those injuries are bound to catch up with them. By generating pressure with a limited amount of pass-rushers, it'll force Cutler to throw tight throws in non-ideal situations to bracketed targets.If Green Bay's able to get those goals accomplished, it can avoid a dreaded 1-3 start to the season. With a win here, the Packers can kick-start their team through a midseason schedule and attempt a run toward the playoffs .Despite being 2-1 and having a high-powered offensive attack, I believe Chicago will fall to the Packers this week +1 1/2
~Stats to consider from J.J. Bascus power rating analysis~
*Since Mike McCarthy became head coach in 2006, the Packers are 7-2 against the number (77.8 percent) and 6-3 straight-up (66.7 percent) at Chicago. *The Packers are 20-16 against the spread (55.6 percent) and 24-12 straight-up (66.7 percent) as road favorites under McCarthy. *The Packers are 26-17-3 against the number (60.5 percent) and 29-16-1 straight-up (64.4 percent) in the game after a loss under McCarthy. *The Bears are 5-4 straight-up (55.6 percent) but just 1-6-2 against the number (14.3 percent) at Soldier Field since Marc Trestman became coach in 2013.
Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT
PS.. Good luck on your picks bets for week #4 NFL season SX members & friends
