J.J. BASCUS RENO NEVADA P/R & TPR RATING [ Week 8: October 23-27, 2014] & "Our Pick For Sunday"

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

J.J. BASCUS RENO NEVADA P/R & TPR RATING [ Week 8: October 23-27, 2014] & Our Pick For Sunday

Best J.J.Bascus Rating Date Time{ET] J.J.Bascus J.J.Bascus Power Line Game Vegas Prediction Team Wins Vegas Opening Line O/U Comments&Some Predictions 1 Th 10/23 825pm DEN -10 SD at DEN DEN -7.1/2 51.2 J.J.Bascus& HarryTheHats Pick For Thursdays Game 10 Su 10/26 9:30am DET -2 DET at ATL DET -3.1/2 47.2 9:30am Wembley Stadium, UK 13 Su 10/26 1pm TB -1 1/2 MIN at TB TB -2.5 47.1 11 Su 10/26 1pm NYJ -1 1/2 BUF at NYJ NYJ -3 42.1 2 Su 10/26 1pm NE -5 1/2 CHI at NE NE -6.5 49.6 15 Su 10/26 1pm CAR -1 SEA at CAR SEA -5 42.9 Game of the week, 8 Su 10/26 1pm MIA -2 MIA at JAC MIA -5.5 42.3 9 Su 10/26 1pm BAL -3 1/2 BAL at CIN CIN -2 1/2 43 Spread moved to +2 1/2 CIN 12 Su 10/26 1pm TEN -2 HOU at TEN HOU -1/2 44 Difference w Vegas 5 Su 10/26 1pm KC -9 1/2 STL at KC KC -7 44.8 J.J.Bascus & HarryTheHats Pick For Sunday 7 Su 10/26 4:05 ARI --2 PHI at ARI ARI -2.5 46.5 Eagles rested off bye, head west 14 Su 10/26 4:25 IND even IND at PIT IND -2.5 45.7 4 Su 10/26 4:25 CLE -5 OAK at CLE CLE -7 44.7 6 Su 10/26 830pm NO -2 GB at NO NO -1/2 50.4 3 Mo 10/27 830pm DAL -5 WAS at DAL DAL -9.5 50.6

Best = Ranks the spreads from high-to-low. A '1' means J.J.Bascus pick for that game has the best chance of winning relative to every other game that week.
J.J.Bascus = Pick. The team the J.J.Bascus predicts to win the game.
J.J.Bascus Power Line = forecast for how many points J.J.Bascus picks will win the game by.
Vegas = Team that Vegas picks to win.
V.Line = Vegas spread for the game (points the pick will win by).
O/U = J.J. Bascus Prediction for Over/Under. Prediction for the total amount of points scored by both teams.
*Home field advantage point spread= is factored in with the forecast for how many points J.J.Bascus picks will win the game by.

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***Closest Projected Game: Seattle at Carolina.

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***Best Chance (team to win by the most points): Denver Broncos. J.J.Bascus & HarryTheHats pick for Thursdays Game/Posted Thread On RX Sports Forum Before The Game.

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***My Big Play Of Sunday and also HarrytheHats is Kansas City at Home -7. As far as laying a touchdown with K.C. My power ratings differential page says there's ~Plenty Of Value With The Home Favorite.~ Just Look At Stats Here? KC-13.78 power rating as ranked #7 to the Rams17.93 ranked #20

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*****Cincinnati has won and covered in its last two home meetings against Baltimore, 34-17 as a 6.5-point favorite last season, and 23-17 as a 5.5-point favorite in 2012.The betting public has certainly taken notice of each team’s recent play, which has changed the Bengals from being small home favorites to underdogs.*Cincinnati has to come out offensively win this game, after being shut out last week, Big Game for Cincy in the division, loss here shuts them out altogether. Any lingering hopes that wide receiver A.J. Green would return to the Bengals lineup this Sunday are on life support at this point.

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Projected Results. NFL Predictions based on J.J. Bascus analysis of offensive and defensive points and yards per game and other statistics and factors. Picks include recent team statistics. Best= ranks best chances to win. This power rating is not ''computerized generated'' by J.J. analysis. These are the type of calculations from J.J.Bascus power rating analysis that Vegas doesn't want you to see. Plus his power rating predictions factors in slightly different factors which give differences with the Las Vegas predictions that can help you confirm and/or make your own decisions.

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J.J. BASCUS RENO NEVADA P/R & TPR RATING [ Week 8: October 23-27, 2014]

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Rank	Team	G	Power	Pts-0	Yds-0	Pts-D	Yds-D	SOGP*	SOSR*	Wins
1	Seattle Seahawks	6	7.93	26.5	357	23.5	324	15.644	14.376	3
2	San Francisco 49ers	7	8.82	22.6	357.4	23.6	306	14.463	15.523	4
3	Denver Broncos	6	10.38	31.5	394	20.2	316.8	12.027	17.434	5
4	Arizona Cardinals	6	11.62	23.3	317.3	19.8	357.3	16.342	14.088	5
5	Indianapolis Colts	7	12.5	30.9	452.9	19.4	311.1	16.894	19.341	5
6	Carolina Panthers	7	13.33	22.6	342	27.9	388.3	16.729	17.64	3
7	Kansas City Chiefs	6	13.78	23.7	340	20.2	326.7	14.209	16.675	3
8	Cincinnati Bengals	6	13.86	22.3	353.3	23.3	416.7	16.026	18.826	3
9	Baltimore Ravens	7	14.42	27.6	387.1	14.9	345.9	17.669	18.525	5
10	New England Patriots	7	14.45	26.7	345.4	22	334.3	17.448	15.374	5
11	Philadelphia Eagles	6	14.48	30.5	378.3	22	380.8	17.307	15.583	5
12	Dallas Cowboys	7	14.78	28	402.1	21	343.9	15.395	17.384	6
13	Detroit Lions	7	14.83	20	332.1	15	290.3	16.577	17.307	5
14	Green Bay Packers	7	14.99	28.4	325.4	21	362.7	15.23	17.506	5
15	New Orleans Saints	6	15.26	25.8	437	27.5	373.7	18.949	15.926	2
16	San Diego Chargers	7	15.6	26.3	360	16.3	316.4	17.066	12.706	5
17	Miami Dolphins	6	16.33	24.5	359.8	23	313.7	17.293	16.738	3
18	New York Jets	7	17.63	17.3	320.4	26.4	326.6	16.158	17.07	1
19	Buffalo Bills	7	17.9	19.3	333.6	20.3	328	16.767	16.828	4
20	St. Louis Rams	6	17.93	21.5	358.7	29.3	379	14.356	14.325	2
21	Chicago Bears	7	17.93	22.4	349.3	24.4	356	15.867	16.46	3
22	Minnesota Vikings	7	18.04	17.1	309.1	22.9	337.9	16.833	17.29	2
23	Pittsburgh Steelers	7	18.88	22	386.7	23.1	345	19.744	15.855	4
24	New York Giants	7	18.95	22	332.7	24.1	384.4	16.88	15.801	3
25	Houston Texans	7	19.45	22.1	345	21.4	387.3	18.187	18.674	3
26	Tennessee Titans	7	19.82	17.3	320.3	24.6	371.6	17.509	17.948	2
27	Washington Redskins	7	20.31	21.6	389.4	26.1	321.9	16.888	15.773	2
28	Cleveland Browns	6	21.66	23.3	363.7	23.2	397	18.845	17.316	3
29	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	6	21.85	20	306.8	34	422.8	16.947	15.059	1
30	Atlanta Falcons	7	22.05	24.4	387.7	28.4	412.1	17.168	16.227	2
31	Oakland Raiders	6	24.49	15.3	282.7	26.3	374.8	15.9	13.791	0
32	Jacksonville Jaguars	7	26.04	15	296.6	27.3	390.4	17.56	16.566	1

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*Stats Column explanations Pts-O= The teams points scored per game Yds-0- Total yards per game gained by the offense. Pts-D= Points given up per game by the team. Yds-D- Total yards per game given up by the defense. SOGP- Strength of Games Played. The average team power rating of all the opponents the team has already played. A lower value is tougher. SOSR- Strength of Schedule Remaining. A higher value is easier.

Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT
PS. Good Luck This Sunday With Your Picks And Bets RX Members & Friends

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

My betting system is heavily dependent on statistics, requiring some data gathering and assumption building regarding future performance. I use J.J. Bascus power point rating[is based on his model that factors in defense and offense statistics including points scored, points given up, win-loss record, and strength of games played and remaining. It indicates who is actually the better teams irrespective of record]. This is why I choose to wait until at least after the 1st week of the NFL season before making my bet with predictions. I live in Vegas so there shopping around for point spreads and money lines in varies sports books in town. While history does not always repeat itself perfectly, it does provide some valuable insight into behaviors and/or outcomes of certain events. If we ambitiously assume we can win 60% of 175 games, for a total of 105 wins and 70 losses, then we should never assume that any individual event within those 175 stands a chance greater than 60% of hitting. There are no guarantees, no “locks” and certainly no promises that any one game will end as predicted. The main point is to trust that the games played are the most advantageous, and will yield the highest result over the long-term. My betting style press one time on 2nd win...at 3 to1 return and will go back to an Original bet after the press Win Or Lose... One Bet at time ...You can't win? if you don,t press once. I believe my record does speak for itself as the single strongest winning formula I use in my NFL game prediction,with the same assumption of each about its probability to win. Remember,my method is not risking adverser [risk is an uncertain event or condition that, if it occurs], and considerable risk is assumed when you choose my method of predictions & Bet. As with any gambling, or investing, there is always risk whether it’s systemic or otherwise...............
Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

Top plays on the weekend are the ones you really need to go after...How a team will perform against the spread in Following week-of The season is an enormous trap. The fact is isolating road teams, road dogs, non-playoff teams vs. playoff teams and teams with a losing record or low margin vs.ones with a high margin from the previous Week is where the line value resides. It's not the dog in the fight; it's the fight in the dog when it comes to football. Certainly that's how upsets can happen," "You get a big play here and there, you get a loose fumble, pick it up and score, things like that. You generally need to get one or two big breaks to get a big upset. If you can get those and not give the other team anything, it can happen."

Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT

 

[Donkwin47]

Thanks for sharing, Harry. Best of luck to you this weekend!

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

Back Room Benny The Jews Pick For Sunday[ Brooklyn Heights N.Y.] [[[ A personal friend and fellow handicapper Of J.J. Bascus [Reno N.V]. betting the NFL only]]]]]

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Indianapolis Colts has the No. 1 ranked offense and the No. 3 ranked defense. Pittsburgh has done the win-loss-win thing seven straight weeks. It’s a big moment in the Steelers season. Lets Face it Indianapolis has too much fire power this game. Have this game giving Pittsburg + 3 for hometown advantage and the spread is -3 1/2 Indy in all sports book here in Vegas as of Saturday night.... With J.J. Bascus power rating at Indianapolis Colts 12.5 ranked # 5 with Pittsburgh Steelers ranked 23rd at 18.88. According to J.J. Colts should win by 6 1/2, Money Line Here In Vegas is -180 to -190 Colts win outright. I like Colts Here at -3 1/2.

Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT

 

[indiana]

H/hat..............solid info every week..........BOL Sunday with all your action...........indy

 

[stander]

Good luck Harry

 

[paulfmf]

HH-which one of these is your pick? KC or Indy? Thanks. Above it seems someone else is writing as it says "and HH" also likes KC.

Your last note is Indy I someone else's selection.

I'm bit confuse. Maybe dense?

Thanks.

 

[Slurve~Ball]

Good luck. Kc solid play. Im on it too.
One angle that is not good for STL, they just played SF on MNF, then short week and win vs SB champ, also both division games. And next week...SF again.

 

[Grindstone30]

Congrats on KC sir just wondering if you have any thoughts on GB @ NO tonight. I'm leaning GB here as I think public and Vegas wants us to believe that NO is in a must win situation. GB been playing really well I appreciate your thread and data sir thanks for all you do

 

[memphis]

kablammo whammo winnah harrys the hat nice cal) ls

 

[stander]

That Hat is fierce. Thanks for the posts Harry. Good luck if you press.

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

J.J. Bascus and Myself record of NFL in last two weeks & [only counting just myself press bet record of 3 to 1 in the money]. All games were posted on SX Sports Forum NFL Football....... Week #7, lost in New England game -9 points won New Orleans game - 2 1/2, won the Colts-3 and won on the Kansas city +3 1/2 & no brainier bet Denver -7 1/2.. 4 out of 5 with a two press.This week #8. 2-0 record. won the Denver Broncos game -10 and Kansas City at Home -7. Our Record Just in last two weeks not counting prior weeks in NFL season is 6-1 with [3 press bets]

Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT

Ps. Thanks for reading my thread & J.J. Bascus Power Rating and hope you were successful in your picks & bets of the NFL week #8, and very good luck to all of you for rest of NFL season.

 

[teamogf]

Thank you for your posts.

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

~You Welcome~ stander and teamogf also very good luck to you both in week#9 NFL games

 

[AcesandFaces]

Keep up the good work Harry!
A&F