J.J.BASCUS PLAYERS [ philosophies we use as a group are from are from stat's, information power rating analysis from J.J.Bascus power rating[ Reno N.V

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These philosophies I use are from are from stat's, information power rating analysis from J.J.Bascus power rating[ Cal-Neva Resort Spa and Casino lake Tahoe N.V..] considered the best 80% true.
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'' Fundamental Handicapping (aka Statistical Handicapping)" Use of statistics, power ratings, and personnel match-up to make selections.Typically, this method of handicapping takes the most consideration into NFL weather report, football injuries, and game time temperature. Since the NFL has fewer games in a season, compared to that of other sports league's the team is less prone to emotional components. This makes statistics more accurate as a team is ready, motivated, and prepared to play each week. However, this does mean there are less statistics to examine.



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"Situational Handicapping" All about assessing let down factors, scheduling, motivation, revenge games, and non-mathematical systems. Breaking NFL news is a critical component in situational handicapping .It concentrates on how teams fare in particular situations, such as being the underdog or title of some sort at stake.This form of handicapping is more prevalent in college football because of the maturity level of the players. It can be presumed that professional NFL players are less susceptible to mood swings and are more level-headed. (not always, of course)".



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Technical Handicapping" Investigates the technical circumstances of each team and game looks for the historical trends.Good for taking the coaching into consideration, as their game plan can be taken into account.Typically the method of handicapping which carries the least weight. While some might be partial to specific method of handicapping, there’s a lot to be gained from a combination of Fundamental, Situational, and Technical handicapping. Professional NFL handicappers, such as I am Rx members is being expert in finding the balance and capitalizing on sports betting. The look for the best NFL matchups as represented by the NFL odds and football lines each week.





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NOTE Technical analysis has come under scrutiny by fundamental handicappers and some sports betters due to the fact that anybody searching a database randomly for patterns will find situations that have produced very good results. However, the key is to look for situations that make sense. I don't use trends such as "The Steelers are 13-2 in week number 7" (Do they actually know that week 7 is their week and gain confidence from it?) and rarely or seldom "bet on home dogs from +2 to +4 if it's a weeknight MAC game" (the more narrow the point spread range is the more likely it is a random occurrence and not a true indicator of a real pattern).

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PS. I am always open to constructive criticism of my threads & discussions!!! Thanks for reading my thread Rx members[ Very good luck to you all in NFL season. When I win, you win too!!!!!!!! All my threads & predictions are on Rx sports Forum.

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PSS. Information of Fundamental, Situational, and Technical NFL techniques was taken from Allen Moody philosophies, which I respect as a NFL handicapper.

J.J. Bascus Sports NFL Power Rankings is based on his model that factors in defense and offense statistics including points scored, points given up, win-loss record, and strength of games played and remaining. It indicates who is actually the better teams irrespective of record. If you are looking for unbiased statistical analysis and comparisons of teams that can help you distinguish which teams really are better Here it is Ladies & Gentlemen Of The Jury [Rx Members]

PS There are some websites,sports analysis sites,sport handicapping sites that publish J.J. Bascus NFL Power Rankings. They do not publish his added Information and Prediction.

~J.J.BASCUS PLAYERS~

J.J. Bascus [Reno NV.//// System Smity Ryann II[ Las Vegas N.V./// Mr.HarryTheHat[ Las Vegas N.V./// Back Room Benny The Jew [ Brooklyn N.Y./// Sammy Sea Way [ Boston Mass] ///.Bee Bee Black widow [ Henderson N.V.]/// Little Bobby Lancer[ St. Paul Minnesota ] Angelo[ Pee-Wee] Moretti [Cicero Chicago] Guest Handicapper

I Remember the much-publicized $1 million wager on the 1989 Super Bowl? Rx members !!! About Stupak and Maday: Stupak, the owner of Vegas World, who lost the 1987 mayoral election to Ron Lurie. Basically, I saw other things at Little Caesars. Every bum, down and out whore and unemployed, degenerate gambler were given a handout by Gene. He introduced every member of his family, that came in, to everybody in the joint. I use to know Frank Lefty Rosenthal who was sports book manager at Stardust in 70S. J.J.Bascus, System Smitty Ryann Jr. myself use too hang out with Lefty Rosenthal and Bob Martin who told us stories about how the line got ironed out before it was given to the rest of the world. The bar was Thoroughbred lounge owned by Bill Miller[Boxing promoter for strip fight of week at the silver slipper casino on the strip in the 70s} where we use meet.The sportsbook we use you hang out was right next door where we use make our bets Sammie Cohen's Santa Anita Sports Book across street from Stardust in 70s. Maday gave Stupak a 5% break in vigorish, meaning Stupak got the Bengals plus 7 points over the 49ers and had to lay only $1 million plus an additional $50,000 to win $1 million. Stupak’s bet was rejected by other bookies in town (Jimmy Vaccaro was one). Stupak is a poker player who’s won a couple of big-money contests around town. Maday, owned Little Caesars and known as the man who took the biggest sports bets in town, from a hole-in-the-wall operation.” Those were days" Rx members !!! Nile County where every whore house that was legal[ where the Chicken Ranch was located] elected a mayor that was a madame of a whore house!!!! LOL!!! LOL!!!!

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sdf

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good to see you back Harry. Have a great season
 

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Harry,

I read Stanford Wong's book " Sharp Sports Betting" which was interesting as he is a statistician and had some good insights on technical analysis w trends and the proper use of data

He has concerns w using technical trends analysis as the main problem is the trends may not have a sample large enough to be statistically significant.

He found you need really high % trends for lower sample sizes to be relevant at all ie ATS wins > 80% for samples < 50
On the other hand for large samples > 500, trends of 58% can be relevant. Posted a thread on this fyi
 
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My pleasure and the crew for posting our picks and bets on the number one sports forum RX on the web. THERE IS SOME GREAT MEMBERS HERE ON RX SPORTS FORUM THAT BELIEVE IN SHARING IDEAS AND INFORMATION ON THREADS. "WE AS GROUP J.J. BASCUS [Reno N.V.] & SYSTEM SMITTY RYANN II [ Las Vegas N.V]. & BACK ROOM BENNY THE JEW[Brooklyn Heights N.Y.] & BEE BEE BLACK WIDOW [Henderson N.V]. & SAMMY SEAWAY[Boston Mass] & LITTLE BOBBY LANCER[St. Paul Minnesota] AND MYSELF HARRYTHE HAT[ Las Vegas N.V] . WISHING YOU ALL KINDS OF WONDERFUL THINGS, NOT JUST FOR NFL SEASON,BUT ALWAYS. HAVE A GREAT & SAFE 2015 NFL SEASON. 2015 NFL SEASON ON RX SPORTS FORUM, OUR 2nd YEAR HERE ON FORUM .



 

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Not a bad article, even if it was posted years before most of these players were even born. I read the exact same thing written up by Feist and Lawrence. Your efforts are appreciated, even if they are out dated. Harry, since you are in Vegas, why don't you tell the kiddie corps in here how easy it is for the big money guys to manipulate the lines, One of my favorites is the old "Bait and Switch".
 

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Does your group get into the West gate/Hilton contest?

You should, you guys seem to know how to pick games.......
 

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