Is Washington Getting Public Money?

[chonce]

I know it is early but in the consensus figures I can find (all of which are imperfect) the Skins are either a 50/50 split or even sometimes getting just under 60 percent of the money.

Is this early wiseguy money or are the public so turned off by GB that they are no longer a public team -- even in a Pick-em game vs the Redskins.

Anyway, as a cursory glance I like Washington but I was expecting GB to be a major public team (along with Pitt, KC and SEA)

 

[LENBO]

Although it's hard to ignore recent performance, GB does look like a shell of itself.
However, remember when GB was coming off three straight losses earlier in the season then went up to Minn. as a 1 pt dog?
Bet % rising in Skins favor as well.
Maybe the public has given up GB.
Pack or pass for me. Rodgers should have more time to throw against Wash. than in his last two games.

 

[chonce]

I like Washington, but I like it better if the public is all over GB and the line doesn't move radically. I expected GB to get at least 60 percent of the money. They still might -- a lot of public money comes in from the weekend and a lot more wiseguys bet early (or so I am told by people who know)

 

[TheComputerGroup]

The public never bets this early......& the percentages don'treflect actual money being bet, just the bets being placed.......do you see the difference?

Anyway, don't ever believe what these sites actually show either......you will never know the actual real numbers unless you work at a sports book or have someone on the inside.

 

[sportsfantatic44]

Redskins haven't beaten a team over .500 all year. Best win was home vs. Buffalo. The 3 best teams they played NE, Jets, and Carolina lost by 17, 14, and 28 (they were all on the road). Granted Skins have been a good home team but have beaten all cream puffs. Would expect GB to be favored come Sunday.

 

[ofred]

I expect Green Bay will get most of the weekend bettor's money. Washington is a much better team now than they were earlier in the season. And despite all the disparaging opinions about how lucky they are to be in the NFC East and are the worst team to make the playoffs, and going against Aaron Rodgers, I think this line says the books are inviting Green Bay money.

 

[fightgood]

I kept expecting Green Bay to start playing like the world class team everyone "thought " they were. But they never did. This team needed a hail mary to beat Detroit at home and really couldn't move the ball at all against Minnesota. I don't think they will find their rhythm on the road in the playoffs. Wasington isn't very good either but these teams are going in opposite directions.

 

[Slurve~Ball]

Redskins haven't beaten a team over .500 all year. Best win was home vs. Buffalo. The 3 best teams they played NE, Jets, and Carolina lost by 17, 14, and 28 (they were all on the road). Granted Skins have been a good home team but have beaten all cream puffs. Would expect GB to be favored come Sunday.

Ya, WSH hasn't been tested since Nov 22 when they got blown out by CAR. Then they played 6 relatively easy games, toughest would have been vs BUF, but BUF was on 2nd of b2b road games and pretty much eliminated from playoffs after loss to PHI week before. WSH has had it pretty easy of late. It's also going to be real hard for the public to put their money on GB this week I think. If books wanted GB $, why not WSH -2.5/-3???

 

[chonce]

The public never bets this early......& the percentages don'treflect actual money being bet, just the bets being placed.......do you see the difference?

Anyway, don't ever believe what these sites actually show either......you will never know the actual real numbers unless you work at a sports book or have someone on the inside.

Yes, I take all this info with a grain of salt. Some sites that claim to document this stuff, like Sports Book Review, claims to show both the percentage of the ticket count and then seperatly the amount bet and the average size of the bets. But yes, I have learned not to put too much stock. But you can probably get a vague idea of what games are pretty liked by the public as short road favs are almost always the top consensus picks every week, in all of these sites. I also listen to Behind the Bets, where Bookmaker Bob Scucci will sometimes say what the ticket count is and how much wiseguy action there is. But he does the podcast on Wednesday and things can change a lot from Wed to Sunday.

 

[wizardofodd]

line already shifted to GB-1

wouldnt be surprised to see it close at -2.5/-3

 

[Serbone]

GB has played poorly, OL is weak and banged up; the receivers cannot separate from good DB's.
The Skins have played well, though mostly against weak competition.
Skins DB's banged up and the Skins DL not known for getting to the QB.
SO will the Pack be able to throw on the Skins? Or will their slide continue?

 

[BleedingPurple]

Redskins haven't beaten a team over .500 all year. Best win was home vs. Buffalo. The 3 best teams they played NE, Jets, and Carolina lost by 17, 14, and 28 (they were all on the road). Granted Skins have been a good home team but have beaten all cream puffs. Would expect GB to be favored come Sunday.

Green Bay hasnt beat anyone good in a long time and look at Rodgers history against playoff teams on the road. After 2010 he's been abysmal

 

[ldabdou]

I also listen to Behind the Bets, where Bookmaker Bob Scucci will sometimes say what the ticket count is and how much wiseguy action there is. But he does the podcast on Wednesday and things can change a lot from Wed to Sunday.

The Podcast is over for the year now correct?

 

[sportsfantatic44]

Green Bay hasnt beat anyone good in a long time and look at Rodgers history against playoff teams on the road. After 2010 he's been abysmal

Redskins haven't faced a good defense in 6 weeks. Packers D is underrated and should be able to get to Cousins. I understand Packers look like a shell of themselves from last season but I need to see Washington beat somebody of substance which they haven't done this season. Redskins have absolutely no running game. Cousins slinging it around 40 times is not beating GB.

 

[bodyforlife]

I don't know about public money but they are definitely getting my money

cheersgif

 

[BleedingPurple]

Redskins haven't faced a good defense in 6 weeks. Packers D is underrated and should be able to get to Cousins. I understand Packers look like a shell of themselves from last season but I need to see Washington beat somebody of substance which they haven't done this season. Redskins have absolutely no running game. Cousins slinging it around 40 times is not beating GB.

Excellent points

 

[bodyforlife]

Redskins haven't faced a good defense in 6 weeks. Packers D is underrated and should be able to get to Cousins. I understand Packers look like a shell of themselves from last season but I need to see Washington beat somebody of substance which they haven't done this season. Redskins have absolutely no running game. Cousins slinging it around 40 times is not beating GB.

And yet, you put the onus on the Redskins to prove themselves instead of the Packers.

 

[chonce]

Either the books are betting on Washington or they need some Wash money. Bob Scucci was saying that the books intentionally lowered the Vikings like to 5 because they want more public money (and less sharps who are "all over" Minn). He said his books like to bet on a few teams and that they are definintely betting on Minny this week -- they don't even want equal action.

 

[Greenbacks]

When Pinnacle puts a team at -1....I like to go the other way.

Right now I would be on the Skins +1

See how the line shakes out at weeks end.

Good luck!

 

[sportsfantatic44]

And yet, you put the onus on the Redskins to prove themselves instead of the Packers.

Packers have beaten 3 playoff teams this season. Washington beat a .500 team and there 8 other wins were vs. bottom feeders. Cousins 1st playoff game and he didn't exactly light up the 3 best teams they faced at NE, at NYJ, and at Carolina.....3 TDs, 4 picks and under 220 yards passing in all 3. Rogers and McCarthy have won plenty of playoff games before. Just remember that Jay Gruden was the OC of the Bengals before he became head coach. He doesn't exactly come here with a lot playoff success at all. I could very well be wrong here but think Packers win something like a 30-20 type of game.