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I don't know shit about UFC, but I played some picks from my Buddy's site . He's not a tout, posts here at RX as Sherwood.
This UFC guy is new, I played it small, couldn't parlay, but won about 1 unit ( one smaller UFC unit, like 20 % of a regular unit for me).
unproven guy, after the fights began, but I did post it at SBR before the fights.
Consider it a review, and experimental, OK !
UFC-113 picks are brought to you courtesy of Robert Reid Jr. His bio will be up sometime next week.
Lyoto Machida -190 over Mauricio Rua<o
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Josh Koscheck -270 over Paul Daley<o></o>
Parlay +1.09 5Dimes
If the UFC were the WWE Josh Koscheck would be the biggest heel in the business. Paul Daley has lethal hands and most people will be hoping for a one-shot knockout. Koscheck is by far the superior wrestler and it would behoove him to take this fight to the ground. He has stated that he will stand and throw punches with Daley and that's the only reason why this fight hasn't hit -300. Koscheck understands the importance of this fight and what awaits him if he is victorious (GSP). He will use his wrestling skills and abuse Daley's questionable takedown defense. He will win the fight via ground and pound or submission, just like he did against another much-hyped puncher Anthony "Rumble" Johnson.
This fight happened 8 months ago and the MMA world was up in arms that Mauricio "Shogun" Rua didn't get the nod and Lyoto Machida's belt via decision. I grew up wagering on fights knowing the adage "If you want to beat the champ you must knock him out". Sure that statement was meant for boxing, but it certainly applies to the UFC and MMA. Not only does Machida still get to fight this one as the champion, but he also has a Rua's playbook. It was blatantly obvious that Machida did not take the first fight seriously and for the last 8 months you can be sure that he has eaten, slept and breathed with Rua on the brain. He is the superior athlete and let’s not forget he is still 16-0 in MMA and 8-0 in the UFC. Machida was 1-5 in the previous fight and now better than 1-2 sure looks like value. Expect Machida to retain his title tonight, leaving no doubt with a much better performance.
Play: KOSCHECK/MAHCIDA parlay +109 (Risking 2 units). <o></o>
KIMBO SLICE +1.00 over MATT MITRIONE 5Dimes
When I first looked at this fight I thought there would all kinds of value on Mitrione, but this is not the case. Matt Mitrione has unbelievable punching power, which allowed him to knockout prospect Marcus Jones. I wasn't ultra impressed with that fight though, as I have my doubts about the jaw of Jones. The other issue with Mitrione is his cardio, as he tends to gas out very early in his bouts. Kimbo Slice showed discipline and a very good ground game in his decision victory against Houston Alexander. It sure looks like he is taking his training at 'American Top Team' seriously and no one has ever questioned his raw athletic ability. Don't forget that the Slice was knocked off of "The Ultimate Fighter" by Roy "Big Country" Nelson, who went onto win the competition and is now rising up the heavyweight ranks. The UFC wants Kimbo Slice to win this fight and you can rest assured that they hand picked an opponent that they know he can beat. PLAY: KIMBO SLICE +1.00 (Risking 2 units).
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ALAN BELCHER -108 over PATRICK COTE 5Dimes
Alan Belcher was nothing short of amazing in his destruction of Wilson Gouveia, which ended up earning him Fight of the Night honors. He has won 3 of his last 4 fights, with his only loss coming to Yoshihiro Akiyama, who is now slated to fight Wanderlai Silva. I don't think this is a very good spot for Patrick Cote. He isn't just fighting a guy who is very hungry and he’s also attempting to come back from a year and a half layoff with a knee injury. If Cote is tentative at all, Belcher will pounce and he is capable of finishing a fight fast. The price on Belcher sure looks to be value, especially considering the question marks that surround the reconstructed knee of Cote. PLAY: ALAN BELCHER -114 (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).
JOEY BELTRAN +188 over TIM HAGUE PINNACLE
Tim Hague is coming off of two straight losses, including a 7 second knockout loss to Todd Duffee. Chad Corvin was supposed to fight Beltran in this spot, but pulled out on April 21st. Hague has to take this fight on short notice and that is never a good thing. Sure Hague is a physical specimen, but that's about the only thing that sits in his favor for this fight. Beltran is 1-0 in the UFC after an easy victory over the now fired Rolles Gracie. Beltran will have the training edge and he sports all kinds of value here. PLAY: JOEY BELTRAN +188 (Risking 2 units).
This UFC guy is new, I played it small, couldn't parlay, but won about 1 unit ( one smaller UFC unit, like 20 % of a regular unit for me).
unproven guy, after the fights began, but I did post it at SBR before the fights.
Consider it a review, and experimental, OK !
UFC-113 picks are brought to you courtesy of Robert Reid Jr. His bio will be up sometime next week.
Lyoto Machida -190 over Mauricio Rua<o
></o>Josh Koscheck -270 over Paul Daley<o
></o>Parlay +1.09 5Dimes
If the UFC were the WWE Josh Koscheck would be the biggest heel in the business. Paul Daley has lethal hands and most people will be hoping for a one-shot knockout. Koscheck is by far the superior wrestler and it would behoove him to take this fight to the ground. He has stated that he will stand and throw punches with Daley and that's the only reason why this fight hasn't hit -300. Koscheck understands the importance of this fight and what awaits him if he is victorious (GSP). He will use his wrestling skills and abuse Daley's questionable takedown defense. He will win the fight via ground and pound or submission, just like he did against another much-hyped puncher Anthony "Rumble" Johnson.
This fight happened 8 months ago and the MMA world was up in arms that Mauricio "Shogun" Rua didn't get the nod and Lyoto Machida's belt via decision. I grew up wagering on fights knowing the adage "If you want to beat the champ you must knock him out". Sure that statement was meant for boxing, but it certainly applies to the UFC and MMA. Not only does Machida still get to fight this one as the champion, but he also has a Rua's playbook. It was blatantly obvious that Machida did not take the first fight seriously and for the last 8 months you can be sure that he has eaten, slept and breathed with Rua on the brain. He is the superior athlete and let’s not forget he is still 16-0 in MMA and 8-0 in the UFC. Machida was 1-5 in the previous fight and now better than 1-2 sure looks like value. Expect Machida to retain his title tonight, leaving no doubt with a much better performance.
Play: KOSCHECK/MAHCIDA parlay +109 (Risking 2 units). <o
></o>KIMBO SLICE +1.00 over MATT MITRIONE 5Dimes
When I first looked at this fight I thought there would all kinds of value on Mitrione, but this is not the case. Matt Mitrione has unbelievable punching power, which allowed him to knockout prospect Marcus Jones. I wasn't ultra impressed with that fight though, as I have my doubts about the jaw of Jones. The other issue with Mitrione is his cardio, as he tends to gas out very early in his bouts. Kimbo Slice showed discipline and a very good ground game in his decision victory against Houston Alexander. It sure looks like he is taking his training at 'American Top Team' seriously and no one has ever questioned his raw athletic ability. Don't forget that the Slice was knocked off of "The Ultimate Fighter" by Roy "Big Country" Nelson, who went onto win the competition and is now rising up the heavyweight ranks. The UFC wants Kimbo Slice to win this fight and you can rest assured that they hand picked an opponent that they know he can beat. PLAY: KIMBO SLICE +1.00 (Risking 2 units).
<o
></o>ALAN BELCHER -108 over PATRICK COTE 5Dimes
Alan Belcher was nothing short of amazing in his destruction of Wilson Gouveia, which ended up earning him Fight of the Night honors. He has won 3 of his last 4 fights, with his only loss coming to Yoshihiro Akiyama, who is now slated to fight Wanderlai Silva. I don't think this is a very good spot for Patrick Cote. He isn't just fighting a guy who is very hungry and he’s also attempting to come back from a year and a half layoff with a knee injury. If Cote is tentative at all, Belcher will pounce and he is capable of finishing a fight fast. The price on Belcher sure looks to be value, especially considering the question marks that surround the reconstructed knee of Cote. PLAY: ALAN BELCHER -114 (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).
JOEY BELTRAN +188 over TIM HAGUE PINNACLE
Tim Hague is coming off of two straight losses, including a 7 second knockout loss to Todd Duffee. Chad Corvin was supposed to fight Beltran in this spot, but pulled out on April 21st. Hague has to take this fight on short notice and that is never a good thing. Sure Hague is a physical specimen, but that's about the only thing that sits in his favor for this fight. Beltran is 1-0 in the UFC after an easy victory over the now fired Rolles Gracie. Beltran will have the training edge and he sports all kinds of value here. PLAY: JOEY BELTRAN +188 (Risking 2 units).
