"If we take Degan's number of 1/2000, and use 10% infection in the target group (and that is probably too large, but we'll go with it), we arrive at 13,862.6 sexual encounters to have a 50% probability of infection. That's a different partner every single day for about 38 years, and then it is only even money you are infected."
I'd have thought the Math here would be 1/2000 X 1/10 = 1/20,000, so one time in every 20,000 "sexual encounters" you'ld become infected. Or after 10,000 "sexual encounters to have a 50% probability of infection."
The context of the quote is from post #87 at:
http://www.thaivisa.com/forum/topic/327875-the-hiv-scam/page__st__75
I'd have thought the Math here would be 1/2000 X 1/10 = 1/20,000, so one time in every 20,000 "sexual encounters" you'ld become infected. Or after 10,000 "sexual encounters to have a 50% probability of infection."
The context of the quote is from post #87 at:
http://www.thaivisa.com/forum/topic/327875-the-hiv-scam/page__st__75