Statistically Louisville is the better team. They are averaging 246 yards per game rushing and 257 yards per game in the air for a total of 503 yards per game. Miami is averaging 151 yards per game on the ground and 186 yards in the air. Pretty bad stats for Miami in the air, if that tells you anything about their QB. Defensively is where things get confusing, IMO. Who has the better defense? This is where you need to look at the schedules. It is obvious that Miami has the better defense at home. Miami is flat, Toxic, in the redzone. Although the stats may appear that they favor Louiville, the strength of schedule favors Miami. I would normally lay off this bet and watch the game play for play to determine whether I will take Louisville the rest of the season. However, I am a gambling man. I am going to catch the points at +9 and cross my fingers for the under 42. Look for the turnovers to keep this game on the under.
Basically I am doing the trifecta Thursday night Special.
Louisville +9
Louisville/Miami Under 42
and hook them both for a parlay.
Oh, and I am going to drink heavily.:drink:
Go Cats,
Cat
Louisville 13 Miami 20