To just start betting on every over, and in-game/intermission betting on the losing team? The lead changes in this year's playoffs have been staggering, and don't seem to show any sign of stopping. Same goes for the overs. The books still don't seem to have adjusted, with both totals today again at 5. Most playoffs you can make money by just blindly betting on ties, and usually unders. This year, if you had blindly bet every over, on every team losing after 2, and on the 3p over to hit, as McBain said, you'd be: "sleeping on a big pile of money, surrounded by many beautiful ladies."
I mean, Vegas must just be getting pounded on the totals this year, as every day I see the public, forum posters, anyone and everyone 60 or 70%+ on the over and they are hitting at an insane clip. And as I said, I really don't think we've seen any sort of adjustment from Vegas. Is the money too small peanuts for them to care? Fat chance; they'd steal their grandmother's last dime on the slots if they could. Do they think this is just a statistical aberration that has to stop sooner or later and regress to the mean? What do you guys think? Ride the wave until it crashes? I have to admit that it drives me insane to see every fucking square in the world blindly better every over, TT over, whatever and cashing in. Am I jealous of that? Fucking right I am! I've hit a few of them, sure, but mostly I've laid off, because I just can't see the overs continuing the way they have so far. What do you guys think?
I've spent a lot of my life in the stock and business world, and while this is different, there are certainly similarities. When everybody says the World is ending, it's too late to sell, and you should probably be buying already. Conversely, when your grandma starts giving her money to hedge funds, and everybody is talking about the bull run never ending, you should be selling faster than Rob Ford running from a salad bar. Of course very few people do this, but those that do have more money than god, and aren't sharing their secrets on Mad Money.
I'm shocked that Vegas hasn't adjusted yet, and since they're smarter than me, I'm inclined to think that they don't expect the current trends to continue, or you'd see a lot more 5.5s, or at least heavy juice on the over 5. Of course Vegas is wrong sometimes, and maybe I'm reading too much into this, but my bank account tells me that they're right more often than they're wrong.
What do you guys think? Ride the wave, or bet on the crash? I just think that the fact that I'm terrified of betting any under now, since it feels like burning money, probably means that it's high time to start.
Would love to hear thoughts from anyone and everyone. Let's use the forum to share ideas and make money; not just for me to (not) post my shitty picks.
F
I mean, Vegas must just be getting pounded on the totals this year, as every day I see the public, forum posters, anyone and everyone 60 or 70%+ on the over and they are hitting at an insane clip. And as I said, I really don't think we've seen any sort of adjustment from Vegas. Is the money too small peanuts for them to care? Fat chance; they'd steal their grandmother's last dime on the slots if they could. Do they think this is just a statistical aberration that has to stop sooner or later and regress to the mean? What do you guys think? Ride the wave until it crashes? I have to admit that it drives me insane to see every fucking square in the world blindly better every over, TT over, whatever and cashing in. Am I jealous of that? Fucking right I am! I've hit a few of them, sure, but mostly I've laid off, because I just can't see the overs continuing the way they have so far. What do you guys think?
I've spent a lot of my life in the stock and business world, and while this is different, there are certainly similarities. When everybody says the World is ending, it's too late to sell, and you should probably be buying already. Conversely, when your grandma starts giving her money to hedge funds, and everybody is talking about the bull run never ending, you should be selling faster than Rob Ford running from a salad bar. Of course very few people do this, but those that do have more money than god, and aren't sharing their secrets on Mad Money.
I'm shocked that Vegas hasn't adjusted yet, and since they're smarter than me, I'm inclined to think that they don't expect the current trends to continue, or you'd see a lot more 5.5s, or at least heavy juice on the over 5. Of course Vegas is wrong sometimes, and maybe I'm reading too much into this, but my bank account tells me that they're right more often than they're wrong.
What do you guys think? Ride the wave, or bet on the crash? I just think that the fact that I'm terrified of betting any under now, since it feels like burning money, probably means that it's high time to start.
Would love to hear thoughts from anyone and everyone. Let's use the forum to share ideas and make money; not just for me to (not) post my shitty picks.
F
