The total opened 10.5 under -125
currently 10 under -120
Fuck that I am playing the OVER
I know trends are to the under
fuck that I am playing the OVER
The Rangers will send Derek Holland to the hill tonight and hope he can help the team end its struggles. Holland, however, has had issues of his own and is just 1-4 with a 6.23 earned run average in seven starts this season.
The rookie left-hander, who has never faced Minnesota, is making his first start since July 4 following three appearances in relief. He is just 2-4 with an 8.38 ERA in eight appearances (4 starts) at home this season.
Francisco Liriano will get the call for Minnesota tonight and is trying to avoid an AL-worst 10th loss on the year. In his last start on July 9, Liriano was reached for six runs - three earned - and seven hits in 5 1/3 innings of a 6-4 loss to the Yankees. It was his first defeat in nearly a month.
<table bgcolor="#e6e6e6" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="581"><tbody><tr><td height="20"><table border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr><td align="left">
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Rangers Ballpark in Arlington | 8:05 PM ET </td> </tr></tbody></table></td></tr> <tr><td>
</td></tr> <tr><td><table border="0" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr> <td width="38">
</td> <td class="textSm" width="50%"> Francisco Liriano, LHP (4-9, 5.47)
Twins (47-44) </td> <td class="textXl"> @ </td> <td width="38">
</td> <td class="textSm" width="50%"> Derek Holland, LHP (3-5, 5.97)
Rangers (48-41) </td> </tr></tbody></table></td></tr> <tr><td>
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Scouting Report:
Twins: Prior to earning the loss against New York, Liriano had seen improvement in his last two starts -- games in which he pitched seven innings each. But the lefty's progression seemed to take a step backwards against the Yankees, as he lasted 5 1/3 innings and allowed six hits (although only three were earned). As he has been prone to do, Liriano let one inning change the course of the game, as Minnesota couldn't dig out of a three-run deficit when New York scored three times in the second inning. He also surpassed the 100-pitch count for the fourth time in five starts. Liriano is 1-0 in one career start (three games total) against Texas.Rangers: Holland is 2-1 with a 4.91 ERA in his last six appearances, including three starts. He is 1-4 with a 6.23 ERA in seven starts this season and 2-1 with a 5.48 ERA in 12 relief appearances. The Rangers prefer him in the bullpen but he is going to stay in the rotation for the next couple of weeks while the club looks to add a starting pitcher by trade. This will be his first appearance against the Twins.
Liriano gave up six runs (three earned) over 5.1 innings with five strikeouts and two walks in Thursday's loss to the Yankees. His record fell to 4-9.
Liriano labored through his outing by allowing nine baserunners. An error on a potential double play limited the damage to three earned runs for fantasy owners. Liriano remains an enigma after the first half since he's healthy and at times can resemble his top 2008 form, but he always seems to fall apart with runners on base. He may be a buy-low candidate for the second half, but we'll need to see improved control before we get too excited.
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currently 10 under -120
Fuck that I am playing the OVER
I know trends are to the under
fuck that I am playing the OVER
The Rangers will send Derek Holland to the hill tonight and hope he can help the team end its struggles. Holland, however, has had issues of his own and is just 1-4 with a 6.23 earned run average in seven starts this season.
The rookie left-hander, who has never faced Minnesota, is making his first start since July 4 following three appearances in relief. He is just 2-4 with an 8.38 ERA in eight appearances (4 starts) at home this season.
Francisco Liriano will get the call for Minnesota tonight and is trying to avoid an AL-worst 10th loss on the year. In his last start on July 9, Liriano was reached for six runs - three earned - and seven hits in 5 1/3 innings of a 6-4 loss to the Yankees. It was his first defeat in nearly a month.
<table bgcolor="#e6e6e6" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="581"><tbody><tr><td height="20"><table border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr><td align="left">
</td> <td align="right">
Rangers Ballpark in Arlington | 8:05 PM ET </td> </tr></tbody></table></td></tr> <tr><td>
</td> <td class="textSm" width="50%"> Francisco Liriano, LHP (4-9, 5.47) Twins (47-44) </td> <td class="textXl"> @ </td> <td width="38">
</td> <td class="textSm" width="50%"> Derek Holland, LHP (3-5, 5.97) Rangers (48-41) </td> </tr></tbody></table></td></tr> <tr><td>
Scouting Report:
Twins: Prior to earning the loss against New York, Liriano had seen improvement in his last two starts -- games in which he pitched seven innings each. But the lefty's progression seemed to take a step backwards against the Yankees, as he lasted 5 1/3 innings and allowed six hits (although only three were earned). As he has been prone to do, Liriano let one inning change the course of the game, as Minnesota couldn't dig out of a three-run deficit when New York scored three times in the second inning. He also surpassed the 100-pitch count for the fourth time in five starts. Liriano is 1-0 in one career start (three games total) against Texas.Rangers: Holland is 2-1 with a 4.91 ERA in his last six appearances, including three starts. He is 1-4 with a 6.23 ERA in seven starts this season and 2-1 with a 5.48 ERA in 12 relief appearances. The Rangers prefer him in the bullpen but he is going to stay in the rotation for the next couple of weeks while the club looks to add a starting pitcher by trade. This will be his first appearance against the Twins.
Liriano gave up six runs (three earned) over 5.1 innings with five strikeouts and two walks in Thursday's loss to the Yankees. His record fell to 4-9.
Liriano labored through his outing by allowing nine baserunners. An error on a potential double play limited the damage to three earned runs for fantasy owners. Liriano remains an enigma after the first half since he's healthy and at times can resemble his top 2008 form, but he always seems to fall apart with runners on base. He may be a buy-low candidate for the second half, but we'll need to see improved control before we get too excited.
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The Rangers bats have not been on fire lately. They've only scored 15 total runs in their last 6 games (2 home to Minny; 4 on the road in Seattle).
But the Twins bats have been on fire scoring 39 runs in their last 6 games (2 on the road in Texas; 3 at home to the WS; and 1 at home to the Yanks).
Twinsies for the sweep for me.
But the Twins bats have been on fire scoring 39 runs in their last 6 games (2 on the road in Texas; 3 at home to the WS; and 1 at home to the Yanks).
Twinsies for the sweep for me.
A mature market like baseball would not move on such rational without bigger market particpants correcting this. If the line opened at its current price, the line would still be here, leaving chasing rationale obsolete.
There has been a disconnect between market and oddsmakers perception with Liriano, with the market being more prone to leave out the upside potential the opening line is suggesting Liriano has. The market has continued to bid down Liriano, and the early movement was probably predominately because of this factor. Later movement was on lineup information. The market (and righfully so) does not value the Twins lineup tonight as much as their normal lineup, thus the drop in price on the Twins and the Over.
Interesting insight on the market value of the Minny Line + Total buffetgambler, still seems like hard game to pick in my opinion. Do you have leans on the game so far? I know you listed your overnight lines in another thread but I was wondering what you're thinking about the closing line for the Twins game at this point.
