Is a 5 point middle worth betting in college hoops?

[whalewager]

As a few of us know, there are opportunities with 4 to 5 point middles almost everyday now in college hoops. Assuming minus 10 on juice, are these worth betting? What about less than 110 on at least one side?

 

[Fishhead]

Your being sarcastic, right????

 

[whalewager]

No. I don't know everything. Quit assuming.

 

[Fishhead]

You really have to ask if laying -8.5 and taking back +13.5 is a longterm win at -110????

 

[whalewager]

Also, let's assume they are worth it. At minus 110, how much would you be willing to risk?

Would you bet more on the steam side and hedge on the peak?

 

[whalewager]

Fish, I am asking aint I? Don't start your shit with me this early! Plus I am driving. Don't make me mad.

 

[Fishhead]

Fish, I am asking aint I? Don't start your shit with me this early! Plus I am driving. Don't make me mad.

How is traffic this morning in Clifton?

 

[whalewager]

Do you have an opinion fish or are you on your way to the dumpster?

 

[whalewager]

My drive was pleasant until you came in here.

 

[OJS#32buff]

Also, let's assume they are worth it. At minus 110, how much would you be willing to risk?

Would you bet more on the steam side and hedge on the peak?

people I know well have been doing this for years. they never go 50-50.Most times they have a side they like and go 65-35_____last i knew it was mostly totals. NBA in the late 90's there were totals moving 6 points. I think due to computer group(Billy W.) Also some college totals and a few college games. if i remember right they did it looking for a min. 5 pts. on totals/ 3 1/2 on games. max was 70-30---60-40 at the lowest. In mid 70's they were the first one known to chart umps. in MLB. they're all retired or dead now,but I know they were living well.

 

[Fishhead]

Do a search on "college middles" here........you will find tons of threads regarding this subject.

Yes, a five point middle is profitable longterm.

Use the "KELLY CRITERION" and rules of standard deviation to determine the size of your wagers.

 

[whalewager]

I don't want to search. I want you to guide me. Thanks oj.

 

[Fishhead]

A little off the subject of "middling" perse, but I just bumped this thread in the CLASSIC THREAD forum for you..............



http://therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=357615

 

[BetIt]

On another side note: I've been beating pinny's numbers in hoops for the last few weeks and have been getting beat.

 

[totalsquare]

if you can bet simultaneously, then hell yeah..but if you bet over 144, then 30 minutes later it jumps to 149, then just keep your original bet..it's +ev in the long run...

 

[Iceman]

Yes long term it is huge +ev. In fact with totals (assuming totals is what you are talking about) anything over 2/2.5 points is good but with that said it may be more beneficial too skip the middle and just bet the bad number as longterm you will be up more money. I use too bet middles all day long in CBB but have done beter not buying back as the second number is usually not +ev this time of year, IMO.

 

[VIEJODINOSAUR]

college middles are profitable because all numbers are live...same with NBA and college totals...have known a handful of sharp players that make money with these scenarios...

 

[trytrytry]

that is a huge profit situation! 3 points is more than enough especially if at reduced juice.

 

[TheWolf]

Yes it is, but I also agree with what Ice said too.