Interesting short term trend

justanobserver · Nov 3, 2015

Games thats O/U are set between 43 and 44 are hitting over 90% of the time since week 5:

season = 2015 and week >= 5 and total >= 43 and total <= 44 and A

SU:	5-6-0 (2.36, 45.5%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	6-4-1 (3.00, 60.0%)	avg line: 0.6	+6: 9-2-0 (81.8%)	-6: 3-8-0 (27.3%)	+10: 10-1-0 (90.9%)	-10: 2-8-1 (20.0%)
O/U:	9-1-1 (5.68, 90.0%)	avg total: 43.4	+6: 6-4-1 (60.0%)	-6: 10-1-0 (90.9%)	+10: 3-7-1 (30.0%)	-10: 10-1-0 (90.9%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	27.0	128.0	36.4	23.3	263.8	1.1	5.2	5.4	5.4	9.5	25.7
Opp	25.1	88.5	40.0	26.0	286.5	1.5	3.5	6.3	5.5	7.7	23.4

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Oct 11, 2015	view	Sunday	5	2015	Seahawks	Bengals	away	7-7	3-0	14-0	0-17	24-27	3.0	44.0	-3	0.0	7.0	3.5	3.5	L	P	O	1
Oct 11, 2015	view	Sunday	5	2015	Fortyniners	Giants	away	3-3	3-10	7-7	14-10	27-30	7.0	43.5	-3	4	13.5	8.8	4.8	L	W	O	0
Oct 18, 2015	view	Sunday	6	2015	Bengals	Bills	away	7-7	10-7	14-0	3-7	34-21	-3.0	43.0	13	10.0	12.0	11.0	1.0	W	W	O	0
Oct 18, 2015	view	Sunday	6	2015	Broncos	Browns	away	3-0	7-0	3-7	10-16	26-23	-4.0	43.0	3	-1.0	6.0	2.5	3.5	W	L	O	1
Oct 18, 2015	view	Sunday	6	2015	Ravens	Fortyniners	away	0-6	6-10	7-3	7-6	20-25	-2.5	43.5	-5	-7.5	1.5	-3.0	4.5	L	L	O	0
Oct 18, 2015	view	Sunday	6	2015	Texans	Jaguars	away	7-0	3-7	0-7	21-6	31-20	2.0	43.5	11	13.0	7.5	10.2	-2.8	W	W	O	0
Oct 18, 2015	view	Sunday	6	2015	Dolphins	Titans	away	10-3	7-0	7-7	14-0	38-10	2.0	43.5	28	30.0	4.5	17.2	-12.8	W	W	O	0
Oct 18, 2015	view	Sunday	6	2015	Chiefs	Vikings	away	0-3	0-7	0-3	10-3	10-16	3.5	43.0	-6	-2.5	-17.0	-9.8	-7.2	L	L	U	0
Oct 25, 2015	view	Sunday	7	2015	Buccaneers	Redskins	away	10-0	14-7	0-14	6-10	30-31	3.0	43.5	-1	2.0	17.5	9.8	7.8	L	W	O	0
Nov 01, 2015	view	Sunday	8	2015	Vikings	Bears	away	7-3	3-7	0-3	13-7	23-20	-1.5	43.0	3	1.5	0	0.8	-0.8	W	W	P	0
Nov 01, 2015	view	Sunday	8	2015	Jets	Raiders	away	3-7	3-14	7-10	7-3	20-34	-2.5	44.0	-14	-16.5	10	-3.2	13.2	L	L	O	0
Nov 08, 2015	view	Sunday	9	2015	Dolphins	Bills	away						3.0	44.0

justanobserver · Nov 8, 2015

Make that 10-1-1

kicking myself in the ass for not making this bet!

Jajajajayjay · Nov 8, 2015

great observation. best of luck! there's 2 more games like that today!

sparticus · Nov 8, 2015

Atl/sf is set at 44

Gooch · Nov 8, 2015

Philly/Dallas @ 43.5

justanobserver · Nov 8, 2015

Already on the Philly over, couldnt get on the SF

justanobserver · Nov 9, 2015

SU:	6-8-0 (1.07, 42.9%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	7-6-1 (1.11, 53.8%)	avg line: 0.0	+6: 10-4-0 (71.4%)	-6: 3-11-0 (21.4%)	+10: 12-2-0 (85.7%)	-10: 2-11-1 (15.4%)
O/U:	11-2-1 (5.32, 84.6%)	avg total: 43.5	+6: 7-5-2 (58.3%)	-6: 12-2-0 (85.7%)	+10: 4-9-1 (30.8%)	-10: 12-2-0 (85.7%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	26.4	121.6	37.0	24.2	268.9	0.9	4.3	5.9	5.2	8.9	24.9
Opp	27.1	107.6	36.9	24.1	269.1	1.4	3.9	6.9	5.4	7.5	23.9

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Oct 11, 2015	view	Sunday	5	2015	Seahawks	Bengals	away	7-7	3-0	14-0	0-17	24-27	3.0	44.0	-3	0.0	7.0	3.5	3.5	L	P	O	1
Oct 11, 2015	view	Sunday	5	2015	Fortyniners	Giants	away	3-3	3-10	7-7	14-10	27-30	7.0	43.5	-3	4	13.5	8.8	4.8	L	W	O	0
Oct 18, 2015	view	Sunday	6	2015	Bengals	Bills	away	7-7	10-7	14-0	3-7	34-21	-3.0	43.0	13	10.0	12.0	11.0	1.0	W	W	O	0
Oct 18, 2015	view	Sunday	6	2015	Broncos	Browns	away	3-0	7-0	3-7	10-16	26-23	-4.0	43.0	3	-1.0	6.0	2.5	3.5	W	L	O	1
Oct 18, 2015	view	Sunday	6	2015	Ravens	Fortyniners	away	0-6	6-10	7-3	7-6	20-25	-2.5	43.5	-5	-7.5	1.5	-3.0	4.5	L	L	O	0
Oct 18, 2015	view	Sunday	6	2015	Texans	Jaguars	away	7-0	3-7	0-7	21-6	31-20	2.0	43.5	11	13.0	7.5	10.2	-2.8	W	W	O	0
Oct 18, 2015	view	Sunday	6	2015	Dolphins	Titans	away	10-3	7-0	7-7	14-0	38-10	2.0	43.5	28	30.0	4.5	17.2	-12.8	W	W	O	0
Oct 18, 2015	view	Sunday	6	2015	Chiefs	Vikings	away	0-3	0-7	0-3	10-3	10-16	3.5	43.0	-6	-2.5	-17.0	-9.8	-7.2	L	L	U	0
Oct 25, 2015	view	Sunday	7	2015	Buccaneers	Redskins	away	10-0	14-7	0-14	6-10	30-31	3.0	43.5	-1	2.0	17.5	9.8	7.8	L	W	O	0
Nov 01, 2015	view	Sunday	8	2015	Vikings	Bears	away	7-3	3-7	0-3	13-7	23-20	-1.5	43.0	3	1.5	0	0.8	-0.8	W	W	P	0
Nov 01, 2015	view	Sunday	8	2015	Jets	Raiders	away	3-7	3-14	7-10	7-3	20-34	-2.5	44.0	-14	-16.5	10	-3.2	13.2	L	L	O	0
Nov 08, 2015	view	Sunday	9	2015	Dolphins	Bills	away	0-9	7-10	7-7	3-7	17-33	4.0	44.0	-16	-12.0	6.0	-3.0	9.0	L	L	O	0
Nov 08, 2015	view	Sunday	9	2015	Eagles	Cowboys	away	0-7	7-0	7-7	13-13	33-27	-3.0	43.5	6	3.0	16.5	9.8	6.8	W	W	O	1
Nov 08, 2015	view	Sunday	9	2015	Falcons	Fortyniners	away	3-0	10-17	0-0	3-0	16-17	-7.5	43.5	-1	-8.5	-10.5	-9.5	-1.0	L	L	U	0
Nov 12, 2015	view	Thursday	10	2015	Bills	Jets	away						3.0	43.0

Showing 1 to 15 of 15 entries

84% aint bad

HotRocks · Nov 9, 2015

Great post, I saw this yesterday and went with the over last night, looking forward to what next week has

Thnx for sharing

sparticus · Nov 9, 2015

43-44 over @ over 90%, whose line ?

justanobserver said:
Games thats O/U are set between 43 and 44 are hitting over 90% of the time since week 5:

season = 2015 and week >= 5 and total >= 43 and total <= 44 and A

SU: 5-6-0 (2.36, 45.5%) Teaser Records
ATS: 6-4-1 (3.00, 60.0%) avg line: 0.6 +6: 9-2-0 (81.8%) -6: 3-8-0 (27.3%) +10: 10-1-0 (90.9%) -10: 2-8-1 (20.0%)
O/U: 9-1-1 (5.68, 90.0%) avg total: 43.4 +6: 6-4-1 (60.0%) -6: 10-1-0 (90.9%) +10: 3-7-1 (30.0%) -10: 10-1-0 (90.9%)

Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final
Team 27.0 128.0 36.4 23.3 263.8 1.1 5.2 5.4 5.4 9.5 25.7
Opp 25.1 88.5 40.0 26.0 286.5 1.5 3.5 6.3 5.5 7.7 23.4

Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Seahawks Bengals away 7-7 3-0 14-0 0-17 24-27 3.0 44.0 -3 0.0 7.0 3.5 3.5 L P O 1
Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Fortyniners Giants away 3-3 3-10 7-7 14-10 27-30 7.0 43.5 -3 4 13.5 8.8 4.8 L W O 0
Oct 18, 2015 view Sunday 6 2015 Bengals Bills away 7-7 10-7 14-0 3-7 34-21 -3.0 43.0 13 10.0 12.0 11.0 1.0 W W O 0
Oct 18, 2015 view Sunday 6 2015 Broncos Browns away 3-0 7-0 3-7 10-16 26-23 -4.0 43.0 3 -1.0 6.0 2.5 3.5 W L O 1
Oct 18, 2015 view Sunday 6 2015 Ravens Fortyniners away 0-6 6-10 7-3 7-6 20-25 -2.5 43.5 -5 -7.5 1.5 -3.0 4.5 L L O 0
Oct 18, 2015 view Sunday 6 2015 Texans Jaguars away 7-0 3-7 0-7 21-6 31-20 2.0 43.5 11 13.0 7.5 10.2 -2.8 W W O 0
Oct 18, 2015 view Sunday 6 2015 Dolphins Titans away 10-3 7-0 7-7 14-0 38-10 2.0 43.5 28 30.0 4.5 17.2 -12.8 W W O 0
Oct 18, 2015 view Sunday 6 2015 Chiefs Vikings away 0-3 0-7 0-3 10-3 10-16 3.5 43.0 -6 -2.5 -17.0 -9.8 -7.2 L L U 0
Oct 25, 2015 view Sunday 7 2015 Buccaneers Redskins away 10-0 14-7 0-14 6-10 30-31 3.0 43.5 -1 2.0 17.5 9.8 7.8 L W O 0
Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Vikings Bears away 7-3 3-7 0-3 13-7 23-20 -1.5 43.0 3 1.5 0 0.8 -0.8 W W P 0
Nov 01, 2015 view Sunday 8 2015 Jets Raiders away 3-7 3-14 7-10 7-3 20-34 -2.5 44.0 -14 -16.5 10 -3.2 13.2 L L O 0
Nov 08, 2015 view Sunday 9 2015 Dolphins Bills away 3.0 44.0

Not being smart but whose line are you using to determine this? TU & GL!

justanobserver · Nov 9, 2015

sparticus said:
Not being smart but whose line are you using to determine this? TU & GL!

that is from SDQL, not sure where they get their lines

HotRocks · Nov 9, 2015

I looked on scoresandodds, it matches up on the closing lines, not opening

ActionMan · Nov 9, 2015

justanobserver said:
Make that 10-1-1

Very good information...also noticed that more points were scored in 2H

I am interested to see the over % where O/U are set between 47 and 48/49?

justanobserver · Nov 10, 2015

ActionMan said:
Very good information...also noticed that more points were scored in 2H

I am interested to see the over % where O/U are set between 47 and 48/49?

Not much there as far as a total thing, but interesting to see that road teams are 8-0 when the total is set at 47-49

season = 2015 and week >= 5 and total >= 47 and total <= 49 and A

SU:	4-4-0 (0.88, 50.0%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	8-0-0 (5.62, 100.0%)	avg line: 4.8	+6: 8-0-0 (100.0%)	-6: 3-4-1 (42.9%)	+10: 8-0-0 (100.0%)	-10: 2-5-1 (28.6%)
O/U:	4-4-0 (1.50, 50.0%)	avg total: 48.4	+6: 2-6-0 (25.0%)	-6: 7-1-0 (87.5%)	+10: 2-6-0 (25.0%)	-10: 7-1-0 (87.5%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	26.0	96.6	36.6	22.8	238.8	1.6	4.9	8.5	3.9	7.8	25.4
Opp	23.6	122.5	44.9	28.5	307.0	2.1	4.0	5.5	3.1	11.1	24.5

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Oct 11, 2015	view	Sunday	5	2015	Redskins	Falcons	away	0-0	7-3	0-3	12-13	19-25	7.0	48.0	-6	1.0	-4.0	-1.5	-2.5	L	W	U	1
Oct 25, 2015	view	Sunday	7	2015	Raiders	Chargers	away	10-3	20-3	7-0	0-23	37-29	3.5	47.5	8	11.5	18.5	15.0	3.5	W	W	O	0
Oct 25, 2015	view	Sunday	7	2015	Jets	Patriots	away	3-3	7-10	7-3	6-14	23-30	7.5	48.5	-7	0.5	4.5	2.5	2.0	L	W	O	0
Oct 26, 2015	view	Monday	7	2015	Ravens	Cardinals	away	3-7	7-7	0-6	8-6	18-26	9.0	49.0	-8	1	-5	-2.0	-3.0	L	W	U	0
Nov 01, 2015	view	Sunday	8	2015	Buccaneers	Falcons	away	3-3	10-0	7-7	0-10	23-20	7.0	48.5	3	10.0	-5.5	2.2	-7.8	W	W	U	1
Nov 01, 2015	view	Sunday	8	2015	Bengals	Steelers	away	3-7	3-0	0-3	10-0	16-10	0.0	48.5	6	6	-22.5	-8.2	-14.2	W	W	U	0
Nov 08, 2015	view	Sunday	9	2015	Giants	Buccaneers	away	10-6	7-3	3-3	12-6	32-18	-2.0	49.0	14	12.0	1.0	6.5	-5.5	W	W	O	0
Nov 08, 2015	view	Sunday	9	2015	Raiders	Steelers	away	7-3	7-18	7-0	14-17	35-38	6.0	48.0	-3	3.0	25	14.0	11.0	L	W	O	0
Nov 15, 2015	view	Sunday	10	2015	Lions	Packers	away						11.5	47.5
Nov 15, 2015	view	Sunday	10	2015	Jaguars	Ravens	away						5.5	48.0
Nov 16, 2015	view	Monday	10	2015	Texans	Bengals	away						10.5	47.5

Showing 1 to 11 of 11 entries

HotRocks · Nov 15, 2015

Looking like TB/Dal Over, Minn/Oak Over and Ariz/Sea Over

justanobserver · Nov 15, 2015

Im on Dallas, not the others just yet. Minnesota is hard for me to bet over on. Seattle is tough too.

HotRocks · Nov 15, 2015

I like that they're all at different times, I'm on Dallas Over too, win or lose will probably do the next one but if I go 2-0 wont mess with the night game

adub034 · Nov 15, 2015

GL fellas! Read this thread last week and when looking at the totals this week I had this in mind...

I'm all over Tb/dal over!

ActionMan · Nov 15, 2015

Thank you for the work JOA...I will focus on these for my 2H plays

justanobserver · Nov 16, 2015

Goddamn that Dallas was a stinker but Minnesota was a push and Arizona went over so sitting at 12-2-2

Still going to keep an eye on them.

skyline69 · Nov 16, 2015

What about Tenn-Carolina @ 43-43 1/2 ???

Interesting short term trend

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