Innaugural Baseball Play for 2005....(505-472, +143.01 units Last Year)

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bucsfan67

bucsfan67

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Welcome back guys, its time to play ball again....hopefully we can all team up again like last year, and make some money....Many cappers had a good year around here last year, and hoping for more of the same this year.....I am certainly hoping to pick right up where i left off last year........

As i did last year, most days i will have between 4-7 plays ranking from 1-3 units, and usually only (1) 3 unit (fav play) of the day, of course some days i wont have a 3 unit play if nothing jumps out......as i have told people before that ask what my "unit" amount is....I am not as high a roller as many of you around here, i have my own style of betting, however a 1 unit play means i played the game straight for my avg wager, a 2unit play means i played it, and parlayed it with another game or 2, and a 3 unit play means i played it straight, and parlayed it with several others....but it still comes down to the same system as others have, the more units played, the more i like it...However, you wont see me posting 100 unit games, makes a person's record very deceiving...you can check my record for last year, and am most proud of being +143 units, with NO PLAY over 3 units.....its easy to be 100 units ahead when u play a game for 100 units...it just takes 1 win.....i grind it out...LOL

anyways, lets start off tonight, and we will be taking an early favorite in the first game.......as i have stated before I have NO RULE against playing fav's, i play who i like, and where i see value, i would rather win on a -200 game, than lose on a +160 game......it all comes down to picking the right side, and right games....However, i will rarely play anything over -200, i tend to play runlines as well, but dont like them as much on the "home teams" for the obvious reasons........

tonights game , simply think the Yankees are far more familiar with Wells, than the Bosox are familiar with Johnson....I am sure Schilling has been trying to fill them in, but easier said than done.....Yankees have been living with the blown series lead for months now, and hopefully they can extract a slight bit of revenge tonight, in a game that means far less, however could help their psyche a little.....strong right handed bats of Yankees could make for long night for Wells


Yankees (-186).......2 units
 
CHOPTALK

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I think all plays from everyone should be 1 to 3 units. Im in total agreement with you on the deception issue.
 
bucsfan67

bucsfan67

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thanks chop
 

Arodd

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i agree, 5 units max i'd say, it's a good limit and no inflated stats...


good luck with your plays this year, on the Yankees too tonight

DSeth
 

MathProf

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Bucsfan,

Can you estimate the ttotal number of units involved
in your last year's performance?

I suspect that the statistical significance of your
performance is quite high; would like to calculate it.:103631605
 
bucsfan67

bucsfan67

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MathProf said:
Bucsfan,

Can you estimate the ttotal number of units involved
in your last year's performance?

I suspect that the statistical significance of your
performance is quite high; would like to calculate it.:103631605


I would guess if you wanted an "average" guess, it would have averaged out at 2 units per play.....I mean i only had (1) 3 unit play a day, but on average, i had a couple more 2's then 1's, of course the fav's are risking more than the units to win "that amount" so i would think that would be a fair estimated at 977 total plays for the year, i would guess 3000 units total wagered would be a close approximation......
 

STALLIONSPORTS

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gl this year bucsfan..very impressive numbers last year..hope u have the same this year
 

SHACK

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good luck this year Bucs
 
bucsfan67

bucsfan67

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Thanks guys....


Hey "guns" how ya been? Havent seen ya around lately.....doin alright?

YOu plannin on goin this year?
 
spreadbeater

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Bucs,

Good luck on the yanks tonight. I am on them as well. When you get a chance check out the "weekend warrior" forum as I have a question for you in there. Thanks and good luck tonight.
 
rugby

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Nice stat buc..........I too only play small units. I usually play just 1 or 2 units, and I try to parlay 2 to 4 teams a couple of times a week at 1 unit. I had a nice little spring season at 5 - 0 - 2 inluding a nice little 2-teamer

GL This Season.............Rugby
 

yubnolck

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I'm new to baseball betting, that being said i have a question for you. The Yankees tonight at the moment are -200, and you have them at a 2 unit bet. Do i bet 2 units on the game or bet to win 2 units? Thanks for the feedback.
 
Jincka

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i hear your good bucs ..... im gonna ride with you this year if you don't mind
 
bucsfan67

bucsfan67

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yubnolck said:
I'm new to baseball betting, that being said i have a question for you. The Yankees tonight at the moment are -200, and you have them at a 2 unit bet. Do i bet 2 units on the game or bet to win 2 units? Thanks for the feedback.


yub, when i play units on a fav, it is to win that many units, in other words, risking 186 to win 100, per unit


when i play dog's it risking 1 unit to win the + line
 
Mr.Leisure

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good luck on the season will be riding alot of your plays!
 
bucsfan67

bucsfan67

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Thanks ML....

Hopefully it will follow right along where last year left off......

would be nice...:103631605
 
Dante

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best of luck Bucman I will be following you more this year in bases....:103631605
 

Poopanugget

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Hey Buc,

How often do you play totals?

Poopanugget
 
bucsfan67

bucsfan67

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Poopanugget said:
Hey Buc,

How often do you play totals?

Poopanugget



just depends poopa.....i just play what i like.....when i see one that jumps out, and like the price i play it.....

but overall probably only about 20% of my plays overall turn out to be totals...
 

MathProf

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Nice call last night; are you playing today?:103631605
 

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